Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 1 September 2010 at 21:16:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +14      89.54     8.01    81.62    66.02    89.28    96.95    99.08    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.52     8.83    46.67     8.75    31.60    66.46    82.71    95.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +6      82.78     8.27    56.42    23.21    66.09    87.70    95.17    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.47     9.03     2.67     0.09     0.68     3.31    10.26    33.57     0.52R    0.04  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.40     8.63   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.39    23.45R    5.12  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      46.94     8.70    -9.92     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.04     5.85     6.65R    0.92  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.17     8.21   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.77    27.01R    5.97  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.62     9.88    13.25     0.21     1.41     5.97    15.47    40.94     0.70R    0.09  
Man_City         3    4   +2      67.03     9.01    27.83     1.09     6.37    20.54    44.21    76.25     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.85     8.87   -11.05     0.00     0.04     0.21     0.94     6.17     7.51R    1.18  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      60.99     9.14    13.85     0.22     1.78     7.23    19.30    50.13     0.22R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      36.50     9.12   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.77    41.69R   13.09  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.24     8.93    15.54     0.37     2.50     9.93    25.96    60.33     0.06R    0.00  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.61     8.70    -7.84     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.89     5.71     7.10R    1.04  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.76     8.65   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.25     2.19    15.88R    2.99  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.29     9.60   -21.59     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.71     3.67    17.50R    3.81  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.63     7.81   -56.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    77.70R   45.01  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.85     9.17     1.21     0.02     0.19     1.01     3.65    16.21     2.71R    0.35  
Stoke            3    0   -4      38.80     8.40   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.73    28.17R    6.38  
West_Ham         3    0   -8      35.92     8.77   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.42    43.11R   13.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      69.47    10.99    11.49     4.60    10.55    38.73    16.67P    2.14R    0.39  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      82.14    11.05    30.54    28.87    46.59    80.34    56.46P    0.10R    0.01  
Ipswich           4   10   +5      64.29    10.62    -0.12     1.44     3.92    21.39     7.00P    5.28R    1.02  
Millwall          4    9   +7      76.95    11.86    23.43    16.17    29.83    64.25    39.30P    0.56R    0.08  
Burnley           4    7   +3      75.45    11.97    20.62    13.39    25.49    59.34    34.66P    1.00R    0.19  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      71.41    11.80    12.69     7.21    15.17    45.70    23.09P    2.06R    0.41  
Norwich           4    7   +2      73.71    11.92    16.51    10.39    20.93    53.71    29.84P    1.40R    0.29  
Coventry          4    7   +1      55.64    10.47   -13.07     0.20     0.65     5.80     1.54P   21.23R    6.28  
Doncaster         4    7   +0      63.94    10.82    -1.04     1.39     3.82    20.86     7.31P    6.13R    1.35  
Barnsley          4    7   -1      54.77    10.55   -17.83     0.17     0.56     4.92     1.21P   24.33R    7.59  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.37    10.91   -14.52     0.24     0.77     6.20     1.65P   23.32R    7.56  
Swansea           4    6   +1      64.38    10.04     4.01     1.12     3.35    20.08     7.32P    3.95R    0.75  
Reading           4    5   +0      65.19    11.05     3.46     1.96     5.17    25.00     9.60P    5.30R    1.19  
Watford           4    5   +0      58.83    10.85    -6.63     0.52     1.65    10.58     3.29P   13.94R    3.69  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.49    10.66   -11.08     0.17     0.68     5.85     1.73P   21.67R    6.74  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -3      62.11    10.68    -1.74     0.86     2.71    16.29     5.92P    7.96R    1.89  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      62.09    10.70    -2.08     0.94     2.66    16.00     5.58P    8.02R    1.89  
Hull              4    4   -4      59.81    11.69    -6.95     0.92     2.49    13.72     4.93P   13.98R    4.42  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.74    10.50    18.93     7.62    17.54    54.85    29.92P    0.65R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.16    10.43   -13.37     0.14     0.46     4.34     1.23P   25.14R    7.99  
Preston           4    3   -6      48.09    10.69   -28.22     0.04     0.13     1.41     0.34P   48.09R   22.92  
Bristol_City      4    2   -5      50.43    10.66   -20.77     0.05     0.20     2.27     0.53P   38.73R   16.05  
Leicester         4    1   -5      63.17    10.65     2.27     1.10     3.19    18.87     7.42P    6.55R    1.50  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.33    11.38    -6.50     0.49     1.47     9.52     3.46P   18.47R    5.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Wed         4   10   +8      78.58    12.38    24.59    13.46    26.38    64.26    36.29P    0.70R    0.04  
Peterborough      4    9   +4      67.41    12.65     3.99     2.82     6.77    29.39    11.22P    6.04R    0.66  
Carlisle          4    8   +5      69.51    11.76    10.33     3.00     7.73    34.54    13.38P    3.20R    0.26  
Oldham            4    8   +4      57.90    10.60    -6.31     0.18     0.67     6.75     1.72P   16.28R    1.95  
Bournemouth       4    7   +6      63.14    12.11     3.34     1.13     3.08    18.51     6.20P   10.04R    1.21  
Huddersfield      4    7   +3      81.59    11.82    30.48    18.26    34.78    73.79    46.63P    0.34R    0.01  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.91    11.46     1.04     1.09     3.37    20.57     6.73P    6.61R    0.67  
Charlton          4    7   +1      79.41    11.47    23.70    12.81    26.80    67.65    38.73P    0.43R    0.04  
Colchester        4    6   +1      72.16    11.52    13.79     4.38    10.82    42.87    18.95P    1.82R    0.13  
Walsall           4    6   +0      62.27    11.59    -3.11     0.73     2.36    15.35     4.83P   10.42R    1.24  
MK_Dons           3    6   -1      61.34    11.95    -8.09     0.69     2.10    14.20     4.27P   12.85R    1.68  
Rochdale          4    5   +1      61.65    12.46    -1.58     0.93     2.66    16.17     5.44P   13.20R    1.93  
Hartlepool        4    5   -3      57.05    11.47   -12.90     0.22     0.74     7.27     1.84P   21.28R    3.34  
Southampton       3    4   +3      86.59    11.55    41.08    33.18    52.53    85.73    64.47P    0.08R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient     4    4   +0      57.90    11.30    -6.15     0.25     0.85     8.02     2.22P   18.09R    2.62  
Yeovil            4    4   -2      56.86    11.22    -9.56     0.21     0.72     6.65     1.88P   20.54R    3.10  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      58.50    11.77    -7.61     0.37     1.17     9.33     2.83P   17.71R    2.86  
Notts_County      4    4   -5      70.94    12.39     9.05     4.20    10.39    39.51    18.67P    3.11R    0.28  
Bristol_Rovers    4    4   -6      52.26    11.35   -22.78     0.05     0.23     3.13     0.66P   35.35R    7.73  
Swindon           4    2   -2      66.58    11.72     8.36     1.77     5.00    26.37    10.42P    5.40R    0.57  
Exeter            3    2   -3      50.99    11.11   -18.84     0.04     0.17     2.38     0.53P   38.73R    8.54  
Tranmere          4    2   -4      41.79    10.41   -32.95     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   71.91R   29.84  
Dag_&_Red         3    1   -3      43.08    11.80   -32.50     0.02     0.05     0.75     0.16P   66.17R   28.28  
Brentford         4    1   -5      56.97    11.10    -7.39     0.19     0.63     6.52     1.90P   19.73R    2.99  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               4   12   +8      80.39    11.12    24.41    26.14    53.41    80.38    60.31P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury            4   10   +7      72.35    10.77    14.45     8.01    25.29    55.65    32.53P    0.26R    0.05  
Rotherham             4   10   +4      70.82    10.73     9.35     6.20    20.75    49.37    27.41P    0.41R    0.12  
Chesterfield          4    8   +5      68.40    11.20     9.40     4.62    16.56    41.57    22.36P    0.93R    0.29  
Port_Vale             4    7   +2      72.79    10.89    14.45     8.47    26.75    57.55    34.81P    0.29R    0.08  
Cheltenham            4    7   +0      56.75    10.91   -13.27     0.43     2.33    10.32     3.71P    9.16R    3.91  
Accrington_Stanley    4    6   +3      60.94    11.05    -1.18     1.13     5.15    19.27     7.87P    4.28R    1.65  
Wycombe               4    6   +2      74.78    11.78    19.09    13.67    34.92    63.69    43.31P    0.30R    0.08  
Aldershot             4    6   +1      71.70    10.97    13.34     7.35    23.88    53.52    31.60P    0.40R    0.10  
Stevenage             4    5   +1      70.91    11.39    13.52     7.24    22.77    50.67    31.28P    0.60R    0.17  
Burton_Albion         4    5   +0      61.76    11.20    -1.74     1.43     6.27    21.39     9.59P    3.98R    1.48  
Bury                  4    5   +0      59.13    10.71    -4.48     0.62     3.34    14.08     5.61P    5.44R    2.01  
Crewe                 4    4   +5      61.84    11.37     4.68     1.57     6.96    22.65    10.55P    3.89R    1.39  
Southend              4    4   -1      68.45    11.76     9.50     5.24    17.61    42.32    24.68P    1.28R    0.41  
Lincoln_City          4    4   -2      48.00     9.86   -20.44     0.03     0.18     1.47     0.36P   27.81R   13.98  
Hereford              4    4   -4      53.84    10.47   -14.74     0.16     0.99     5.75     1.80P   13.17R    5.76  
Gillingham            4    3   -1      67.02    11.31     8.94     3.66    13.69    37.46    20.60P    1.38R    0.49  
Oxford_Utd            4    3   -1      55.40    10.67    -5.98     0.23     1.51     8.19     3.03P   10.04R    4.21  
Northampton           4    3   -3      63.42    10.80     1.76     1.53     7.19    24.46    11.58P    2.45R    0.90  
Bradford              4    3   -5      56.78    10.85   -10.55     0.40     2.13    10.01     3.66P    8.88R    3.82  
Morecambe             4    2   -3      62.92    11.26     2.07     1.75     7.52    24.63    11.70P    3.11R    1.18  
Macclesfield          4    2   -4      51.82    10.31   -14.45     0.09     0.59     3.78     1.19P   17.16R    7.66  
Stockport             4    2   -6      44.20    10.80   -29.37     0.02     0.14     1.10     0.33P   44.55R   27.70  
Barnet                4    2   -8      45.07     9.92   -28.76     0.00     0.06     0.73     0.15P   40.18R   22.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Mansfield           6   13   +6      78.23    10.81    22.82     8.45    55.01    17.34P    0.12R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon       6   13   +6      79.39    10.63    23.97     9.38    59.16    20.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        6   13   +5      67.42    10.35     4.65     0.92    17.45     3.55P    1.28R    0.15  
Luton               6   11   +4      89.56    10.23    42.71    38.78    88.86    56.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      6   10   +2      62.45    11.77    -1.36     0.55    10.80     2.22P    6.03R    1.41  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    6   10   +2      86.92    10.22    37.14    27.31    83.80    46.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Southport           5   10   +2      59.66    11.79    -7.60     0.38     7.57     1.46P    9.54R    2.48  
Grimsby             6   10   -1      75.54    11.15    15.20     5.47    44.61    14.87P    0.28R    0.04  
Darlington          6    9   +2      62.50    10.80     0.76     0.37     9.32     1.92P    4.25R    0.74  
Tamworth            6    9   +1      60.56    10.26    -3.43     0.16     5.85     0.88P    5.31R    1.06  
Forest_Green        6    8   +1      51.77    10.29   -17.87     0.01     1.06     0.12P   22.93R    6.61  
Wrexham             6    8   -1      64.34    10.16     2.19     0.37    10.92     2.46P    2.35R    0.33  
Newport_County      6    7   +2      57.20    11.76    -4.97     0.17     5.36     1.06P   12.90R    3.60  
Eastbourne_Boro     6    7   +1      47.87    10.18   -23.58     0.01     0.45     0.05P   36.17R   13.18  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    7   -7      47.58    10.45   -34.51     0.00     0.46     0.05P   39.03R   14.87  
York                6    6   +1      76.57    10.22    24.55     5.42    49.54    18.86P    0.09R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd       6    6   +0      67.11    10.69     9.76     1.03    18.15     4.63P    1.65R    0.28  
Kettering           6    6   +0      68.30    10.19    11.51     0.89    19.99     5.16P    0.89R    0.13  
Barrow              6    6   -2      52.71    10.52   -15.49     0.02     1.42     0.21P   20.67R    5.92  
Gateshead           5    5   -2      48.66    10.30   -22.17     0.01     0.53     0.07P   33.42R   11.92  
Bath_City           6    5   -3      48.83    11.34   -20.56     0.02     0.98     0.16P   34.39R   13.55  
Histon              6    5   -4      46.45    10.08   -25.73     0.01     0.32     0.04P   41.78R   16.39  
Kidderminster       6    5   -5      60.94    10.85    -3.72     0.26     7.20     1.38P    6.23R    1.39  
Altrincham          6    1  -10      52.78    10.44   -14.28     0.01     1.20     0.19P   20.62R    5.93