Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 31 August 2010 at 21:16:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +14      89.66     7.96    81.95    66.93    89.64    97.18    99.12    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.63     8.84    46.98     8.69    32.32    66.99    83.26    95.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +6      82.55     8.35    55.97    22.67    65.28    87.19    94.97    99.13     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.40     9.02     2.56     0.06     0.70     3.35    10.19    33.41     0.59R    0.05  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.52     8.62   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.19     1.47    23.31R    5.21  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      47.05     8.71    -9.78     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.98     6.08     6.80R    0.92  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.33     8.16   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.78    26.19R    5.52  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.45     9.82    12.93     0.17     1.32     5.55    15.06    40.56     0.70R    0.09  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.71     9.05    27.27     0.97     6.12    20.10    42.95    75.38     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.85     8.90   -11.01     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.00     6.13     7.68R    1.12  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      60.92     9.13    13.73     0.20     1.70     7.25    19.36    50.17     0.20R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      36.26     9.10   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.69    43.13R   13.43  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.42     8.98    15.80     0.31     2.65    10.39    26.99    61.21     0.07R    0.00  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.72     8.61    -7.72     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.92     5.71     6.63R    0.90  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.92     8.60   -16.49     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.27     2.30    15.17R    2.81  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.41     9.60   -21.34     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.62     3.73    17.41R    3.86  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.51     7.74   -57.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    78.47R   45.63  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.81     9.20     1.09     0.01     0.17     1.08     3.86    16.23     2.82R    0.33  
Stoke            3    0   -4      38.78     8.48   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.88    28.42R    6.80  
West_Ham         3    0   -8      36.17     8.85   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.46    42.37R   13.32  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      69.20    10.89    11.05     4.32    10.20    37.89    16.09P    2.04R    0.34  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      81.88    11.04    30.09    28.18    45.56    79.94    55.63P    0.11R    0.01  
Ipswich           4   10   +5      64.21    10.69    -0.28     1.38     3.96    21.47     7.15P    5.71R    1.19  
Millwall          4    9   +7      76.85    11.94    23.28    16.48    30.04    64.38    39.56P    0.71R    0.11  
Burnley           4    7   +3      75.27    12.08    20.23    13.33    25.35    58.89    34.40P    1.00R    0.18  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      71.48    11.60    12.72     6.86    15.13    45.99    23.11P    1.88R    0.34  
Norwich           4    7   +2      74.05    11.86    17.13    11.05    21.67    54.79    30.65P    1.32R    0.23  
Coventry          4    7   +1      55.62    10.43   -12.92     0.19     0.62     5.83     1.48P   21.24R    6.43  
Doncaster         4    7   +0      63.88    10.89    -1.12     1.49     4.00    20.82     7.60P    6.23R    1.39  
Barnsley          4    7   -1      54.80    10.62   -17.73     0.18     0.53     5.09     1.24P   24.62R    8.01  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.61    10.88   -14.12     0.30     0.87     6.46     1.83P   22.34R    7.39  
Swansea           4    6   +1      64.02     9.95     3.48     1.02     2.91    19.35     6.88P    4.37R    0.81  
Reading           4    5   +0      65.10    11.13     3.31     2.07     5.59    25.14    10.01P    5.46R    1.18  
Watford           4    5   +0      59.26    10.89    -5.96     0.54     1.71    11.36     3.49P   13.27R    3.72  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.46    10.65   -11.15     0.23     0.67     5.78     1.58P   22.04R    7.01  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -3      62.23    10.63    -1.53     0.93     2.76    16.36     5.83P    7.83R    1.88  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      61.86    10.82    -2.41     0.87     2.65    15.93     5.75P    8.75R    2.15  
Hull              4    4   -4      59.43    11.53    -7.54     0.82     2.25    12.88     4.65P   14.71R    4.48  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.92    10.52    19.15     8.00    18.09    55.38    30.15P    0.62R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.26    10.45   -13.15     0.13     0.47     4.47     1.27P   24.99R    8.07  
Preston           4    3   -6      48.26    10.54   -27.93     0.05     0.14     1.42     0.34P   47.57R   22.39  
Bristol_City      4    2   -5      50.51    10.65   -20.51     0.08     0.24     2.39     0.59P   38.84R   15.61  
Leicester         4    1   -5      62.94    10.71     1.96     1.05     3.17    18.42     7.24P    6.94R    1.71  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.61    11.20    -6.07     0.46     1.40     9.58     3.49P   17.42R    5.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Wed         4   10   +8      78.41    12.39    24.31    12.93    25.86    63.54    35.73P    0.70R    0.03  
Peterborough      4    9   +4      67.74    12.66     4.56     2.97     7.21    30.49    11.73P    5.68R    0.64  
Carlisle          4    8   +5      69.39    11.68    10.19     2.86     7.44    33.94    12.94P    3.23R    0.24  
Oldham            4    8   +4      57.92    10.59    -6.32     0.15     0.55     6.78     1.57P   16.33R    1.89  
Bournemouth       4    7   +6      62.70    12.13     2.65     1.03     3.00    17.77     5.95P   10.60R    1.22  
Huddersfield      4    7   +3      81.78    11.84    30.74    18.73    35.40    74.46    46.81P    0.33R    0.01  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.79    11.40     0.85     1.11     3.13    20.23     6.44P    6.75R    0.65  
Charlton          4    7   +1      79.20    11.43    23.44    12.32    26.11    66.96    38.22P    0.33R    0.01  
Colchester        4    6   +1      71.91    11.38    13.45     3.98    10.23    41.94    18.23P    1.73R    0.13  
Walsall           4    6   +0      62.32    11.59    -2.98     0.73     2.32    15.54     4.93P   10.42R    1.35  
MK_Dons           3    6   -1      61.47    11.86    -7.94     0.73     2.17    14.13     4.23P   12.60R    1.73  
Rochdale          4    5   +1      61.45    12.43    -1.96     1.04     2.76    15.70     5.45P   13.37R    2.02  
Hartlepool        4    5   -3      57.62    11.28   -11.98     0.21     0.70     7.66     1.99P   19.35R    2.95  
Southampton       3    4   +3      86.79    11.54    41.49    33.96    53.37    86.24    65.47P    0.06R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient     4    4   +0      57.63    11.32    -6.67     0.21     0.81     7.80     2.02P   18.99R    2.77  
Yeovil            4    4   -2      56.62    11.08    -9.94     0.14     0.56     6.18     1.63P   20.82R    3.10  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      58.27    11.94    -7.87     0.39     1.22     9.51     2.92P   19.00R    3.11  
Notts_County      4    4   -5      71.36    12.40     9.69     4.52    11.07    41.31    19.84P    2.93R    0.25  
Bristol_Rovers    4    4   -6      52.45    11.38   -22.54     0.05     0.28     3.39     0.76P   34.81R    7.58  
Swindon           4    2   -2      66.65    11.70     8.50     1.75     4.97    26.56    10.62P    5.18R    0.59  
Exeter            3    2   -3      50.95    11.02   -18.82     0.03     0.13     2.26     0.46P   39.11R    8.28  
Tranmere          4    2   -4      41.84    10.39   -32.81     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   71.92R   29.42  
Dag_&_Red         3    1   -3      42.88    11.97   -32.84     0.01     0.05     0.77     0.16P   66.30R   29.20  
Brentford         4    1   -5      57.13    11.09    -7.20     0.17     0.64     6.58     1.85P   19.47R    2.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               4   12   +8      80.33    10.94    24.30    25.69    53.54    80.68    60.78P    0.05R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            4   10   +7      72.05    10.85    14.06     7.91    25.19    54.84    32.07P    0.30R    0.08  
Rotherham             4   10   +4      71.04    10.84     9.58     6.47    21.75    50.49    28.54P    0.40R    0.10  
Chesterfield          4    8   +5      67.81    11.06     8.45     4.20    15.05    39.63    20.71P    1.01R    0.29  
Port_Vale             4    7   +2      72.85    10.88    14.55     8.65    27.00    57.52    35.25P    0.26R    0.05  
Cheltenham            4    7   +0      56.92    10.98   -12.98     0.43     2.46    10.77     3.89P    9.43R    3.85  
Accrington_Stanley    4    6   +3      60.72    10.94    -1.42     1.08     5.09    18.43     7.87P    4.43R    1.68  
Wycombe               4    6   +2      74.48    11.73    18.67    13.54    34.36    62.75    42.79P    0.33R    0.08  
Aldershot             4    6   +1      72.00    10.98    13.73     7.73    24.75    54.81    32.73P    0.38R    0.10  
Stevenage             4    5   +1      70.69    11.30    13.25     7.01    21.95    50.02    30.08P    0.52R    0.14  
Burton_Albion         4    5   +0      62.03    11.17    -1.24     1.55     6.57    22.22     9.92P    3.74R    1.37  
Bury                  4    5   +0      59.23    10.57    -4.36     0.58     3.29    14.24     5.61P    5.15R    1.86  
Crewe                 4    4   +5      61.67    11.34     4.40     1.63     6.86    22.24    10.25P    3.86R    1.40  
Southend              4    4   -1      68.29    11.79     9.29     5.35    17.29    41.90    24.03P    1.33R    0.45  
Lincoln_City          4    4   -2      48.08     9.91   -20.35     0.02     0.21     1.47     0.37P   27.96R   14.10  
Hereford              4    4   -4      53.97    10.48   -14.63     0.18     1.07     6.07     1.98P   13.02R    5.62  
Gillingham            4    3   -1      67.17    11.32     9.18     3.99    14.32    37.77    21.25P    1.37R    0.43  
Oxford_Utd            4    3   -1      55.22    10.58    -6.17     0.25     1.38     7.73     2.80P   10.44R    4.38  
Northampton           4    3   -3      63.48    10.71     1.88     1.48     7.17    24.91    11.62P    2.34R    0.80  
Bradford              4    3   -5      56.51    10.78   -10.87     0.29     1.92     9.70     3.41P    9.45R    3.91  
Morecambe             4    2   -3      63.26    11.28     2.55     1.83     7.92    25.56    12.15P    3.07R    1.17  
Macclesfield          4    2   -4      52.15    10.36   -13.93     0.09     0.67     4.24     1.40P   16.52R    7.45  
Stockport             4    2   -6      44.10    10.81   -29.52     0.02     0.14     1.11     0.27P   45.02R   28.45  
Barnet                4    2   -8      45.28    10.03   -28.43     0.01     0.07     0.90     0.22P   39.62R   22.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Mansfield           6   13   +6      77.95    10.98    22.47     8.41    54.08    17.18P    0.14R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon       6   13   +6      79.49    10.56    24.12     9.55    59.76    21.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        6   13   +5      67.56    10.40     4.94     0.98    18.00     3.69P    1.16R    0.16  
Luton               6   11   +4      89.40    10.22    42.40    38.63    88.51    55.64P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      6   10   +2      62.36    11.85    -1.49     0.60    11.12     2.35P    6.26R    1.41  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    6   10   +2      86.78    10.17    36.96    26.93    83.65    45.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Southport           5   10   +2      59.94    12.03    -7.27     0.55     8.11     1.69P    9.48R    2.54  
Grimsby             6   10   -1      75.60    11.12    15.29     5.52    44.82    15.03P    0.32R    0.04  
Darlington          6    9   +2      62.67    10.88     1.00     0.40     9.70     2.04P    4.36R    0.80  
Tamworth            6    9   +1      60.32    10.29    -3.76     0.15     5.75     1.00P    5.71R    1.03  
Forest_Green        6    8   +1      51.91    10.36   -17.59     0.02     1.08     0.13P   22.84R    6.71  
Wrexham             6    8   -1      64.33    10.05     2.20     0.34    10.65     2.30P    2.31R    0.31  
Newport_County      6    7   +2      56.81    11.76    -5.62     0.18     5.06     0.90P   13.76R    3.90  
Eastbourne_Boro     6    7   +1      48.07    10.22   -23.21     0.00     0.46     0.04P   35.85R   12.70  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    7   -7      47.55    10.46   -34.54     0.01     0.49     0.06P   39.16R   15.19  
York                6    6   +1      76.54    10.19    24.51     5.39    49.29    19.07P    0.10R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd       6    6   +0      67.26    10.71    10.03     1.10    18.54     4.78P    1.56R    0.28  
Kettering           6    6   +0      68.13    10.19    11.30     0.85    19.29     5.02P    0.92R    0.13  
Barrow              6    6   -2      52.67    10.41   -15.42     0.02     1.42     0.18P   20.79R    6.08  
Gateshead           5    5   -2      48.53    10.24   -22.45     0.01     0.53     0.07P   33.97R   11.98  
Bath_City           6    5   -3      49.07    11.36   -20.13     0.01     1.04     0.17P   33.45R   13.17  
Histon              6    5   -4      46.50    10.02   -25.66     0.00     0.22     0.03P   41.36R   16.21  
Kidderminster       6    5   -5      60.76    10.81    -3.98     0.31     7.05     1.43P    6.43R    1.40  
Altrincham          6    1  -10      52.92    10.47   -14.10     0.02     1.40     0.23P   20.02R    5.93