Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 30 August 2010 at 21:16:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +13      89.17     7.96    78.86    64.24    88.59    96.82    99.09    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.58     8.92    46.65     9.10    32.12    66.48    82.94    95.51     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +6      82.87     8.29    56.46    24.63    66.21    87.90    95.32    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.41     9.01     2.61     0.06     0.61     3.33    10.28    33.77     0.54R    0.05  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.53     8.65   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.47    23.22R    5.11  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      47.02     8.69    -9.60     0.00     0.03     0.20     1.00     6.16     6.61R    0.85  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.27     8.20   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.73    26.66R    5.58  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.41     9.90    12.93     0.18     1.34     5.70    15.15    40.31     0.64R    0.06  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.93     9.13    27.54     1.22     6.56    20.87    44.06    75.92     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.84     8.87   -10.89     0.00     0.03     0.23     1.02     5.97     7.50R    1.19  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      60.98     9.11    13.81     0.18     1.66     7.17    19.13    50.49     0.25R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      35.98     9.02   -37.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.60    44.15R   14.04  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.21     8.95    15.47     0.36     2.64     9.79    25.89    60.70     0.10R    0.00  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.68     8.67    -7.61     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.92     5.79     6.87R    0.95  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.66     8.64   -16.74     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.28     2.19    16.02R    3.05  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.53     9.57   -21.09     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.70     3.83    16.72R    3.66  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.60     7.70   -56.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    77.90R   44.87  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.66     9.22     0.96     0.02     0.16     0.99     3.70    15.97     2.79R    0.37  
Stoke            3    0   -3      39.21     8.53   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.92    26.53R    6.10  
West_Ham         3    0   -8      35.87     8.85   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.45    43.46R   14.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      68.99    10.82    11.21     4.54    10.78    38.59    16.70P    2.10R    0.36  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      81.47    11.09    29.00    29.14    46.74    80.03    56.49P    0.11R    0.01  
Millwall          4    9   +6      75.57    11.53    19.95    14.01    26.86    62.11    36.47P    0.77R    0.15  
Ipswich           4    8   +3      60.50    10.52    -4.01     0.76     2.21    13.70     4.36P   10.19R    2.50  
Burnley           4    7   +3      74.78    12.06    19.12    13.72    25.70    58.86    34.58P    1.18R    0.20  
Coventry          4    7   +2      56.02    10.33   -10.20     0.23     0.82     6.49     1.79P   19.76R    5.68  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      70.94    11.56    11.93     7.09    15.04    45.44    22.89P    2.07R    0.41  
Norwich           4    7   +2      73.39    11.97    15.72    11.24    21.97    54.43    30.63P    1.52R    0.27  
Doncaster         4    7   -1      63.07    10.76    -2.99     1.36     3.77    19.67     6.97P    6.96R    1.49  
Barnsley          4    7   -2      54.16    10.45   -18.76     0.18     0.58     4.79     1.22P   26.08R    8.73  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.20    10.84   -13.80     0.29     0.84     6.46     1.74P   23.58R    8.14  
Swansea           4    6   +1      64.04     9.81     3.87     0.99     3.23    20.29     7.25P    4.01R    0.73  
Reading           4    5   +0      64.68    11.17     2.91     2.29     5.76    25.22    10.18P    5.95R    1.39  
Watford           4    5   +0      58.97    10.88    -5.91     0.66     1.80    11.69     3.75P   13.92R    3.97  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.50    10.56    -9.92     0.20     0.72     6.30     1.81P   21.91R    7.04  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -2      62.62    10.57     0.36     1.16     3.20    18.51     6.91P    7.00R    1.61  
Hull              4    4   -3      60.20    11.61    -4.91     1.19     3.09    15.36     5.90P   13.21R    4.05  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      62.09    10.68    -1.76     1.00     2.87    17.50     6.16P    8.09R    2.00  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.36    10.38    18.00     7.91    18.06    55.12    30.13P    0.65R    0.08  
Bristol_City      4    3   -3      52.61    10.71   -15.57     0.12     0.46     4.02     1.13P   31.20R   11.55  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      54.02    10.29   -12.81     0.17     0.48     4.42     1.29P   25.18R    8.24  
Preston           4    3   -6      47.72    10.53   -27.62     0.02     0.12     1.50     0.35P   49.95R   24.37  
Leicester         4    1   -5      62.91    10.64     2.05     1.26     3.44    19.38     7.72P    6.76R    1.54  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.50    11.22    -5.84     0.47     1.47    10.11     3.58P   17.86R    5.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Wed         4   10   +7      76.51    12.12    20.38    12.18    23.51    59.09    32.57P    1.04R    0.06  
Bournemouth       4    9   +7      66.15    11.82     6.55     2.32     5.89    26.20    10.04P    6.25R    0.55  
Peterborough      4    9   +4      67.68    12.54     4.64     3.67     8.34    31.34    13.10P    6.01R    0.63  
Carlisle          4    8   +5      69.43    11.63    10.36     3.77     9.04    35.80    14.77P    3.42R    0.26  
Oldham            4    8   +4      58.08    10.45    -5.67     0.21     0.73     7.16     1.80P   16.87R    1.93  
Huddersfield      4    7   +3      80.93    11.74    29.05    20.36    36.41    73.45    47.26P    0.39R    0.01  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.36    11.21     0.57     1.22     3.51    20.05     6.81P    7.46R    0.72  
Charlton          4    7   +1      79.01    11.31    23.01    14.85    28.99    68.16    40.78P    0.41R    0.02  
Colchester        4    6   +1      71.70    11.32    13.18     4.90    11.66    43.05    19.76P    1.98R    0.12  
Walsall           4    6   +0      62.25    11.44    -2.76     0.95     2.64    16.02     5.30P   10.82R    1.25  
MK_Dons           3    6   -1      61.56    11.56    -7.31     0.90     2.46    14.60     4.70P   12.60R    1.57  
Rochdale          4    5   +1      61.88    12.41    -1.03     1.28     3.41    17.50     6.51P   13.58R    2.13  
Hartlepool        4    5   -2      58.08    11.19    -9.71     0.27     1.01     8.46     2.37P   18.92R    2.86  
Leyton_Orient     4    4   +0      57.63    11.16    -6.25     0.29     0.98     8.05     2.34P   19.54R    2.72  
Southampton       3    4   +0      83.04    11.47    31.30    26.09    43.86    79.09    55.92P    0.16R    0.01  
Yeovil            4    4   -2      57.09    10.97    -8.78     0.23     0.80     7.04     2.01P   20.32R    3.04  
Bristol_Rovers    4    4   -3      54.61    11.27   -14.87     0.16     0.53     5.19     1.40P   28.76R    5.42  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      58.11    11.78    -7.91     0.42     1.32     9.61     3.04P   20.15R    3.20  
Notts_County      4    3   -6      68.38    12.01     5.59     3.38     7.93    32.59    15.09P    4.80R    0.46  
Swindon           4    2   -2      66.50    11.54     8.40     2.24     5.83    27.05    11.43P    5.38R    0.51  
Exeter            3    2   -3      51.19    10.97   -17.90     0.07     0.25     2.57     0.69P   39.59R    8.64  
Tranmere          4    2   -4      42.22    10.30   -31.37     0.01     0.02     0.26     0.04P   72.06R   29.57  
Dag_&_Red         3    1   -3      42.59    11.71   -32.55     0.02     0.05     0.75     0.16P   69.12R   31.47  
Brentford         4    1   -5      57.07    10.97    -6.92     0.22     0.81     6.93     2.11P   20.36R    2.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               4   12   +8      79.81    10.88    23.48    26.53    53.81    80.75    60.76P    0.02R    0.01  
Rotherham             4   10   +4      70.37    10.69     8.75     6.57    21.50    49.51    28.02P    0.49R    0.14  
Chesterfield          4    8   +5      67.93    10.87     8.66     4.66    16.25    41.76    22.11P    1.01R    0.33  
Shrewsbury            4    8   +3      67.28    10.54     6.30     3.49    14.05    38.59    19.88P    0.97R    0.29  
Port_Vale             4    7   +2      72.42    10.61    13.90     8.72    27.26    57.74    35.30P    0.29R    0.08  
Cheltenham            4    7   +0      57.06    10.76   -12.56     0.49     2.56    11.17     3.95P    9.46R    4.06  
Crewe                 4    6   +6      64.21    11.26     6.41     2.76    10.61    30.29    15.24P    2.64R    0.99  
Accrington_Stanley    4    6   +3      60.53    10.90    -1.55     1.16     5.32    19.14     8.10P    4.92R    2.03  
Wycombe               4    6   +2      74.32    11.69    18.32    14.36    35.86    63.75    44.26P    0.37R    0.12  
Aldershot             4    6   +1      71.14    10.85    12.58     7.48    24.13    53.32    31.95P    0.53R    0.17  
Stevenage             4    5   +1      70.83    11.26    13.49     7.80    24.27    52.21    32.63P    0.61R    0.22  
Burton_Albion         4    5   +0      61.59    11.01    -1.91     1.46     6.32    21.66     9.59P    4.31R    1.67  
Bury                  4    5   +0      59.46    10.57    -3.89     0.80     4.03    15.52     6.43P    5.51R    2.14  
Southend              4    4   -1      68.45    11.56     9.55     5.82    18.95    43.92    25.93P    1.36R    0.45  
Hereford              4    4   -4      53.72    10.33   -14.65     0.16     1.07     5.93     2.00P   14.56R    6.61  
Gillingham            4    3   -1      66.58    11.21     8.41     3.79    14.09    37.48    20.99P    1.64R    0.64  
Oxford_Utd            4    3   -1      55.16    10.49    -6.11     0.28     1.60     8.17     3.01P   11.51R    4.98  
Stockport             4    3   -2      48.92    10.74   -18.28     0.08     0.54     3.07     1.01P   28.85R   15.65  
Lincoln_City          4    3   -3      46.68     9.71   -21.48     0.02     0.11     1.11     0.26P   35.19R   19.43  
Northampton           4    3   -3      63.17    10.65     1.45     1.56     7.54    25.21    11.76P    2.81R    1.00  
Bradford              4    3   -5      56.76    10.63   -10.37     0.34     2.16    10.46     3.90P    9.66R    4.23  
Morecambe             4    2   -3      62.42    11.03     1.38     1.56     7.20    24.18    11.38P    3.91R    1.53  
Macclesfield          4    2   -4      51.85    10.20   -14.11     0.10     0.64     4.08     1.28P   18.47R    8.85  
Barnet                4    2   -8      45.47     9.92   -27.77     0.01     0.14     0.97     0.26P   40.91R   24.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Mansfield           6   15   +7      80.19    10.69    23.66    12.31    63.38    22.23P    0.05R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon       6   14   +7      80.63    10.26    24.98    12.22    65.70    24.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        6   13   +3      65.88    10.24     0.64     0.70    14.54     2.70P    1.87R    0.30  
Luton               6   11   +4      89.06    10.10    41.28    39.93    88.91    56.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      6   10   +2      61.91    11.65    -2.01     0.54    10.69     2.24P    6.70R    1.60  
Southport           5   10   +2      60.10    11.87    -6.75     0.54     8.78     1.84P    9.52R    2.43  
Grimsby             6   10   -1      75.25    10.97    14.75     5.59    45.00    15.28P    0.37R    0.05  
Darlington          6    9   +2      62.69    10.69     1.22     0.43    10.07     2.15P    4.37R    0.85  
Tamworth            6    9   +1      60.53    10.19    -3.20     0.16     6.15     1.03P    5.52R    1.01  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    6    8   +1      83.65    10.23    33.53    19.51    76.44    38.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow              6    8   -1      55.52    10.30   -12.61     0.04     2.57     0.34P   14.23R    3.64  
Hayes_&_Yeading     6    8   -4      50.55    10.50   -26.75     0.01     0.97     0.09P   29.39R    9.76  
Newport_County      6    7   +2      57.39    11.70    -4.53     0.27     5.70     1.19P   13.44R    3.85  
Eastbourne_Boro     6    7   +1      48.35    10.00   -21.61     0.00     0.45     0.03P   35.44R   12.78  
Wrexham             6    7   -2      62.63     9.92     0.38     0.26     8.23     1.80P    3.29R    0.51  
York                6    6   +1      76.27    10.04    23.82     5.61    49.90    19.03P    0.10R    0.01  
Forest_Green        6    6   +0      49.24    10.22   -19.34     0.01     0.67     0.09P   32.49R   11.26  
Cambridge_Utd       6    6   +0      66.77    10.51     9.26     1.03    18.00     4.50P    1.77R    0.29  
Gateshead           5    5   -2      48.35    10.08   -22.27     0.00     0.45     0.06P   35.54R   13.17  
Kettering           6    5   -2      65.54     9.95     7.08     0.51    13.57     3.44P    1.68R    0.24  
Histon              6    5   -3      47.15     9.97   -23.04     0.00     0.28     0.03P   40.06R   15.57  
Bath_City           6    5   -3      48.91    11.32   -20.06     0.03     1.13     0.21P   35.52R   14.65  
Kidderminster       6    5   -5      60.79    10.64    -3.78     0.27     7.15     1.37P    6.36R    1.42  
Altrincham          6    1  -10      52.37    10.27   -14.65     0.01     1.26     0.21P   22.26R    6.62