Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 29 August 2010 at 21:16:26 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 August 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          3    9  +14      89.70     7.93    82.13    66.68    89.93    97.42    99.22    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          3    7   +7      76.65     8.94    46.88     8.84    32.66    67.13    83.32    95.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          3    7   +6      82.58     8.36    55.95    22.71    64.77    87.14    94.99    99.23     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      3    6   -2      57.38     8.96     2.53     0.06     0.65     3.20    10.03    32.97     0.55R    0.05  
Bolton           3    5   +2      40.52     8.59   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.41    23.09R    4.98  
Birmingham       3    5   +1      46.83     8.75   -10.13     0.00     0.03     0.24     1.09     6.04     6.89R    0.99  
Wolverhampton    3    5   +1      39.11     8.17   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.73    27.47R    6.09  
Newcastle        3    4   +3      58.29     9.77    12.66     0.14     1.25     5.44    14.53    39.66     0.74R    0.07  
Man_City         3    4   +2      66.86     9.02    27.54     1.02     6.27    20.45    43.93    75.91     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland       3    4   +0      46.94     8.86   -10.84     0.00     0.02     0.22     1.03     6.20     7.49R    1.18  
Tottenham        3    4   +0      61.14     9.13    14.11     0.21     1.84     7.52    19.82    51.25     0.17R    0.01  
Blackpool        3    4   -2      36.22     9.06   -37.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.71    42.76R   13.48  
Liverpool        3    4   -2      63.13     8.91    15.37     0.30     2.36     9.66    25.67    60.63     0.10R    0.00  
Fulham           3    3   +0      46.74     8.65    -7.72     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.91     5.76     6.67R    0.98  
Blackburn        3    3   -1      42.91     8.71   -16.51     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.34     2.52    15.71R    3.03  
West_Brom        3    3   -6      43.49     9.59   -21.17     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.68     3.77    16.93R    3.83  
Wigan            3    3   -9      28.78     7.79   -56.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    77.03R   44.43  
Everton          3    1   -2      51.90     9.15     1.21     0.02     0.18     1.09     3.95    16.44     2.55R    0.33  
Stoke            3    0   -4      38.71     8.42   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.73    28.66R    6.86  
West_Ham         3    0   -8      36.04     8.77   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.45    43.18R   13.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Barnsley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               4   10   +9      69.15    10.95    10.95     4.34    10.05    37.36    15.72P    2.17R    0.37  
Cardiff           4   10   +7      81.87    11.09    30.18    28.48    46.01    79.54    55.46P    0.11R    0.01  
Ipswich           4   10   +5      64.38    10.68     0.10     1.52     4.21    21.74     7.49P    5.12R    1.03  
Millwall          4    9   +7      76.77    11.71    23.20    15.73    29.20    64.11    38.85P    0.59R    0.09  
Burnley           4    7   +3      75.23    12.20    20.14    13.87    25.73    58.73    34.54P    1.15R    0.24  
Leeds_United      4    7   +2      71.15    11.73    12.27     6.81    14.66    44.70    22.52P    2.21R    0.42  
Norwich           4    7   +2      73.63    11.91    16.33    10.46    20.64    53.29    29.39P    1.32R    0.22  
Coventry          4    7   +1      55.38    10.43   -13.36     0.19     0.60     5.36     1.34P   21.66R    6.63  
Doncaster         4    7   +0      64.15    10.88    -0.67     1.45     4.18    21.53     7.99P    6.00R    1.27  
Barnsley          4    7   -1      54.83    10.68   -17.74     0.17     0.59     5.29     1.27P   24.46R    7.83  
Scunthorpe        4    6   +1      55.56    10.98   -14.20     0.28     0.83     6.59     1.84P   22.84R    7.43  
Swansea           4    6   +1      64.23     9.94     3.77     0.99     3.11    19.48     7.20P    4.10R    0.68  
Reading           4    5   +0      65.26    11.09     3.57     2.19     5.57    25.31     9.96P    5.22R    1.13  
Watford           4    5   +0      59.13    11.05    -6.26     0.55     1.73    11.50     3.61P   14.02R    3.96  
Derby             4    4   -1      55.43    10.70   -11.17     0.22     0.72     5.86     1.68P   22.00R    6.93  
Middlesbrough     4    4   -3      62.31    10.58    -1.44     0.94     2.73    16.44     6.00P    7.50R    1.66  
Sheff_Utd         4    4   -3      62.10    10.76    -2.03     0.90     2.69    16.26     5.74P    8.01R    1.87  
Hull              4    4   -4      59.77    11.81    -7.07     1.00     2.58    14.00     5.15P   14.74R    4.51  
Nott'm_Forest     4    3   -1      73.98    10.45    19.23     7.94    18.34    55.62    30.62P    0.63R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace    4    3   -4      53.98    10.35   -13.56     0.12     0.44     4.07     1.16P   25.49R    8.35  
Preston           4    3   -6      48.19    10.55   -27.94     0.03     0.12     1.46     0.33P   48.08R   22.40  
Bristol_City      4    2   -5      50.42    10.66   -20.75     0.06     0.23     2.37     0.61P   38.66R   16.14  
Leicester         4    1   -5      63.35    10.79     2.61     1.28     3.59    19.68     7.99P    6.47R    1.49  
Portsmouth        4    1   -5      57.59    11.31    -6.15     0.49     1.45     9.70     3.54P   17.44R    5.27  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Wed         4   10   +8      78.23    12.41    24.10    12.83    25.48    63.10    35.30P    0.74R    0.04  
Peterborough      4    9   +4      67.66    12.77     4.40     2.98     7.41    30.51    12.07P    6.11R    0.73  
Carlisle          4    8   +5      69.62    11.85    10.52     3.24     8.09    34.99    13.69P    3.30R    0.30  
Oldham            4    8   +4      57.77    10.59    -6.61     0.16     0.56     6.68     1.55P   16.76R    1.92  
Bournemouth       4    7   +6      63.08    12.25     3.22     1.20     3.28    18.63     6.40P   10.13R    1.20  
Huddersfield      4    7   +3      81.40    11.76    30.10    17.65    34.25    73.26    45.67P    0.27R    0.01  
Brighton          4    7   +1      64.86    11.35     0.95     1.07     3.22    20.41     6.70P    6.55R    0.63  
Charlton          4    7   +1      79.28    11.63    23.52    13.03    26.88    67.02    38.69P    0.40R    0.02  
Colchester        4    6   +1      71.91    11.44    13.46     4.07    10.46    42.31    18.40P    1.80R    0.13  
Walsall           4    6   +0      62.36    11.55    -2.93     0.74     2.34    15.41     4.95P   10.35R    1.25  
MK_Dons           3    6   -1      61.65    11.93    -7.63     0.79     2.30    14.62     4.45P   12.50R    1.74  
Rochdale          4    5   +1      61.78    12.41    -1.33     1.03     2.76    16.27     5.58P   12.98R    1.96  
Hartlepool        4    5   -3      57.21    11.52   -12.63     0.23     0.81     7.37     1.98P   20.76R    3.35  
Southampton       3    4   +3      86.53    11.60    41.05    33.67    52.72    85.56    64.71P    0.07R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient     4    4   +0      57.99    11.28    -6.08     0.29     0.90     8.08     2.24P   17.77R    2.57  
Yeovil            4    4   -2      56.79    11.12    -9.66     0.18     0.65     6.56     1.83P   20.42R    3.03  
Plymouth          4    4   -3      58.64    11.77    -7.40     0.44     1.25     9.68     2.96P   17.60R    2.69  
Notts_County      4    4   -5      71.13    12.33     9.33     4.30    10.57    40.49    19.20P    3.15R    0.28  
Bristol_Rovers    4    4   -6      52.33    11.31   -22.68     0.05     0.23     3.19     0.69P   35.16R    7.76  
Swindon           4    2   -2      66.39    11.84     8.06     1.84     5.02    25.94    10.34P    5.70R    0.60  
Exeter            3    2   -3      50.79    11.10   -19.10     0.03     0.14     2.26     0.47P   39.56R    8.76  
Tranmere          4    2   -4      42.14    10.49   -32.33     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   70.94R   28.69  
Dag_&_Red         3    1   -3      42.84    11.86   -32.95     0.01     0.05     0.76     0.16P   66.95R   29.38  
Brentford         4    1   -5      57.02    11.21    -7.39     0.17     0.60     6.62     1.92P   20.04R    2.95  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               4   12   +8      80.32    10.98    24.36    25.72    53.70    80.59    60.56P    0.03R    0.01  
Shrewsbury            4   10   +7      72.10    10.83    14.16     7.92    24.74    54.84    31.89P    0.28R    0.08  
Rotherham             4   10   +4      70.89    10.75     9.38     6.30    21.04    50.02    27.87P    0.35R    0.09  
Chesterfield          4    8   +5      68.26    11.03     9.13     4.23    15.78    41.11    21.37P    0.87R    0.27  
Port_Vale             4    7   +2      72.77    10.83    14.38     8.56    26.65    57.29    34.80P    0.30R    0.07  
Cheltenham            4    7   +0      56.71    10.89   -13.28     0.46     2.35    10.04     3.60P    9.20R    3.66  
Accrington_Stanley    4    6   +3      60.78    10.91    -1.38     1.01     5.03    18.42     7.71P    4.20R    1.59  
Wycombe               4    6   +2      74.66    11.84    18.98    13.83    34.67    63.27    43.23P    0.32R    0.08  
Aldershot             4    6   +1      71.65    10.99    13.25     7.25    23.82    53.15    31.72P    0.44R    0.11  
Stevenage             4    5   +1      71.04    11.33    13.72     7.44    23.23    51.08    31.57P    0.51R    0.17  
Burton_Albion         4    5   +0      61.89    11.19    -1.52     1.48     6.50    21.69     9.79P    3.87R    1.38  
Bury                  4    5   +0      59.28    10.67    -4.33     0.63     3.36    14.30     5.58P    5.36R    1.89  
Crewe                 4    4   +5      61.45    11.39     4.05     1.52     6.51    21.87     9.90P    4.15R    1.59  
Southend              4    4   -1      68.69    11.64     9.86     5.59    17.90    43.24    24.91P    1.21R    0.42  
Lincoln_City          4    4   -2      48.20     9.93   -20.10     0.01     0.18     1.66     0.43P   27.42R   13.55  
Hereford              4    4   -4      53.78    10.48   -14.85     0.14     1.00     5.69     1.93P   13.23R    5.78  
Gillingham            4    3   -1      67.17    11.36     9.17     3.95    14.23    37.80    21.13P    1.34R    0.42  
Oxford_Utd            4    3   -1      55.24    10.67    -6.16     0.25     1.56     7.96     3.00P   10.49R    4.27  
Northampton           4    3   -3      63.59    10.82     1.92     1.55     7.35    25.50    11.97P    2.25R    0.80  
Bradford              4    3   -5      56.66    10.82   -10.66     0.34     2.06    10.05     3.74P    9.20R    3.88  
Morecambe             4    2   -3      62.96    11.16     2.09     1.70     7.43    24.42    11.37P    3.13R    1.10  
Macclesfield          4    2   -4      51.97    10.36   -14.18     0.08     0.65     4.03     1.38P   16.85R    7.63  
Stockport             4    2   -6      44.12    10.83   -29.45     0.02     0.16     1.09     0.29P   45.13R   28.42  
Barnet                4    2   -8      45.21    10.10   -28.57     0.01     0.12     0.90     0.25P   39.88R   22.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 August 2010, Darlington vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon       5   12   +6      81.17    10.65    26.42    10.44    66.34    23.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Luton               5   10   +4      93.22    10.21    50.41    52.77    93.99    67.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town        5   10   +4      66.50    10.64     4.58     0.66    16.46     3.18P    1.92R    0.32  
Mansfield           5   10   +2      73.31    11.18    13.38     3.40    37.46     9.63P    0.61R    0.07  
Southport           5   10   +2      59.82    11.85    -7.74     0.35     7.76     1.43P    9.85R    2.56  
Forest_Green        5    8   +2      52.99    10.54   -18.00     0.02     1.66     0.21P   21.22R    5.76  
Darlington          5    8   +2      63.10    11.07     0.97     0.43    11.00     2.28P    4.53R    0.85  
Tamworth            5    8   +1      60.35    10.27    -4.29     0.11     5.90     0.93P    6.04R    1.14  
Eastbourne_Boro     5    7   +3      49.25    10.37   -22.49     0.01     0.70     0.06P   33.23R   11.11  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    5    7   +1      84.62    10.47    35.97    17.70    78.14    37.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town      5    7   +1      58.26    11.77    -6.26     0.22     6.27     1.17P   12.17R    3.27  
Grimsby             5    7   -2      74.49    11.33    15.24     3.91    41.82    13.13P    0.44R    0.07  
Newport_County      5    6   +2      56.03    12.07    -7.58     0.16     5.00     1.01P   16.63R    5.14  
York                5    6   +2      79.30    10.34    27.84     7.31    60.69    24.07P    0.07R    0.01  
Kettering           5    6   +1      70.33    10.33    13.65     1.27    26.83     6.90P    0.64R    0.07  
Hayes_&_Yeading     5    6   -7      45.31    10.53   -41.70     0.00     0.30     0.02P   49.62R   22.58  
Bath_City           5    5   -1      52.66    11.81   -14.76     0.07     2.58     0.44P   24.57R    8.54  
Barrow              5    5   -2      53.65    10.66   -14.89     0.02     1.83     0.23P   19.63R    5.60  
Gateshead           5    5   -2      49.20    10.33   -21.87     0.01     0.64     0.09P   32.78R   11.44  
Wrexham             5    5   -3      61.69    10.20    -1.24     0.17     7.12     1.46P    4.56R    0.78  
Histon              5    5   -3      47.11    10.20   -26.41     0.00     0.33     0.04P   41.03R   15.95  
Kidderminster       5    4   -5      61.59    10.96    -3.34     0.27     8.51     1.71P    6.01R    1.32  
Cambridge_Utd       5    3   -2      65.30    10.88     7.60     0.60    14.84     3.43P    2.94R    0.55  
Altrincham          5    1   -6      57.29    10.71    -5.49     0.07     3.81     0.68P   11.44R    2.84