Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 26 August 2010 at 21:16:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 August 2010, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          2    6  +12      89.49     8.04    88.34    65.79    88.35    96.01    98.67    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          2    4   +6      75.29     9.13    48.65     7.07    26.07    54.92    73.91    92.48     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          2    4   +3      82.64     8.35    60.49    23.14    63.70    83.98    93.11    98.85     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         2    4   +3      69.74     9.27    33.11     2.19    10.77    27.92    49.61    80.26     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton           2    4   +2      41.49     8.73   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.37    19.41R    2.72  
Birmingham       2    4   +1      47.25     8.89   -10.91     0.01     0.04     0.25     0.83     5.08     6.48R    0.60  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +1      39.33     8.44   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.66    26.38R    3.82  
Tottenham        2    4   +1      66.44     9.24    23.71     1.02     5.69    16.81    33.83    68.42     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle        2    3   +3      59.48    10.06    14.38     0.29     1.78     6.05    14.09    39.07     0.59R    0.04  
Blackburn        2    3   +0      44.13     8.78   -17.31     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.28     2.32    12.20R    1.38  
Blackpool        2    3   -2      37.49     9.49   -37.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.70    37.36R    7.85  
Aston_Villa      2    3   -3      56.33     9.11     2.26     0.04     0.49     2.30     6.57    24.72     0.74R    0.03  
West_Brom        2    3   -5      43.66     9.66   -24.39     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.56     3.22    16.09R    2.46  
Fulham           2    2   +0      47.31     8.81    -8.16     0.00     0.03     0.21     0.77     4.97     6.21R    0.55  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      44.49     9.12   -15.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.48     3.16    12.20R    1.46  
Everton          2    1   -1      53.27     9.41     2.08     0.02     0.27     1.41     4.16    17.04     2.00R    0.14  
Liverpool        2    1   -3      63.61     9.08    18.90     0.42     2.75     9.75    22.72    56.91     0.08R    0.01  
Stoke            2    0   -2      38.77     8.59   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.64    28.12R    4.66  
West_Ham         2    0   -5      36.16     8.79   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.30    41.58R    9.24  
Wigan            2    0  -10      23.97     7.63   -71.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.51R   65.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 August 2010, Middlesbrough vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               3    9   +9      69.09    11.33    10.34     4.77    10.82    37.19    16.38P    2.48R    0.44  
Cardiff           3    7   +5      78.70    11.48    25.57    19.57    34.54    69.86    44.34P    0.31R    0.05  
Burnley           3    7   +4      77.54    12.72    23.02    19.14    32.54    64.73    41.09P    0.93R    0.18  
Coventry          3    7   +3      56.90    10.83   -11.02     0.38     1.11     7.71     2.20P   17.96R    5.06  
Ipswich           3    7   +3      62.23    10.98    -2.79     1.13     3.05    16.91     5.50P    8.29R    1.95  
Millwall          3    6   +5      75.44    12.20    21.68    14.26    26.01    59.00    35.18P    1.05R    0.19  
Norwich           3    6   +2      72.96    12.35    14.73    10.66    20.03    50.43    28.25P    1.90R    0.36  
Watford           3    5   +1      61.86    11.45    -3.15     1.24     3.26    17.30     5.91P    9.82R    2.59  
Leeds_United      3    4   +1      68.48    12.30     9.60     5.22    11.54    36.34    18.00P    4.08R    0.90  
Middlesbrough     3    4   -1      65.49    11.04     3.24     2.19     5.65    25.21    10.30P    4.73R    0.91  
Doncaster         3    4   -2      61.33    11.13    -4.53     0.99     2.77    15.46     5.44P    9.74R    2.30  
Hull              3    4   -2      62.31    12.02    -3.06     1.71     4.32    19.38     7.69P   10.32R    2.79  
Barnsley          3    4   -3      51.48    10.97   -22.75     0.08     0.37     3.29     0.83P   35.33R   13.47  
Swansea           3    3   +0      62.09    10.28     2.14     0.76     2.37    15.11     5.42P    6.62R    1.33  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      57.08    10.77    -7.85     0.32     1.01     7.83     2.43P   17.08R    4.77  
Derby             3    3   -1      56.27    11.03   -10.22     0.32     0.98     7.27     2.11P   20.07R    6.09  
Scunthorpe        3    3   -2      51.74    11.20   -21.10     0.12     0.36     3.60     0.85P   34.60R   13.67  
Preston           3    3   -5      48.19    10.87   -29.76     0.05     0.17     1.61     0.36P   47.04R   22.08  
Reading           3    2   -1      61.46    11.47    -0.90     1.20     3.18    16.63     6.26P   10.24R    2.59  
Nott'm_Forest     3    2   -1      75.14    10.85    20.49    10.58    22.26    59.04    34.53P    0.52R    0.08  
Bristol_City      3    2   -3      52.30    11.09   -17.87     0.14     0.46     3.86     1.09P   32.04R   12.05  
Portsmouth        3    1   -3      61.28    11.80    -0.53     1.43     3.58    16.99     7.05P   10.90R    2.85  
Leicester         3    1   -4      66.62    11.14     6.48     2.71     6.78    29.22    12.96P    3.85R    0.72  
Sheff_Utd         3    1   -4      61.34    11.34    -1.77     1.02     2.82    16.02     5.82P   10.11R    2.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Carlisle vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle          3    7   +5      69.60    11.82    10.00     4.31     9.95    36.59    15.63P    3.65R    0.32  
Oldham            3    7   +4      58.78    10.78    -5.43     0.37     1.09     8.87     2.41P   16.29R    1.89  
Charlton          3    7   +3      81.14    11.57    26.27    21.57    37.71    74.36    48.84P    0.32R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed         3    7   +3      70.96    12.38    10.45     5.95    13.02    41.24    19.89P    3.38R    0.27  
Bournemouth       3    6   +6      62.86    12.15     2.92     1.46     3.91    19.28     7.11P   11.40R    1.48  
Peterborough      3    6   +1      62.28    12.83    -4.77     1.73     4.25    18.89     7.09P   14.05R    2.37  
Walsall           3    6   +1      64.46    11.75    -0.50     1.82     4.71    21.55     8.11P    8.53R    0.90  
Hartlepool        3    5   +2      62.62    11.47    -0.59     1.13     3.13    17.07     5.88P   10.53R    1.23  
Colchester        3    5   +1      72.62    11.64    14.02     6.36    14.40    46.43    22.53P    1.93R    0.13  
Huddersfield      3    4   +1      77.90    11.83    24.79    14.88    28.27    64.77    39.09P    0.80R    0.05  
Brighton          3    4   +0      62.05    11.34    -1.56     0.87     2.52    15.66     5.20P   11.21R    1.39  
Plymouth          3    4   +0      63.92    12.14     1.68     1.69     4.37    21.35     8.13P    9.88R    1.37  
Bristol_Rovers    3    4   -2      55.81    11.56   -14.78     0.28     0.93     6.72     1.91P   26.45R    4.82  
MK_Dons           2    3   -2      59.17    11.97    -9.76     0.64     1.92    11.60     3.74P   18.79R    3.11  
Yeovil            3    3   -2      57.24    11.26    -9.33     0.27     0.96     7.82     2.24P   21.64R    3.20  
Notts_County      3    3   -5      71.16    12.31     8.77     5.91    12.91    41.57    21.31P    3.37R    0.30  
Exeter            2    2   +0      54.36    11.37   -12.11     0.19     0.62     5.21     1.41P   30.04R    5.84  
Swindon           3    2   -1      69.13    11.96    11.50     4.30     9.85    35.55    16.60P    4.04R    0.38  
Rochdale          3    2   -1      57.58    12.56    -7.15     0.73     1.92    10.76     3.81P   23.16R    4.47  
Southampton       2    1   -1      81.88    11.89    31.58    24.78    41.09    75.78    53.14P    0.34R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient     3    1   -3      54.29    11.31   -12.01     0.17     0.57     5.03     1.47P   29.75R    5.65  
Brentford         3    1   -3      60.53    11.12    -1.81     0.55     1.76    12.33     4.10P   13.40R    1.68  
Tranmere          3    1   -4      42.48    10.43   -31.46     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   71.86R   30.53  
Dag_&_Red         2    0   -3      44.02    12.13   -30.72     0.05     0.13     1.24     0.32P   65.17R   28.55  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               3    9   +7      77.39    11.15    21.57    19.19    43.67    72.59    51.44P    0.11R    0.02  
Chesterfield          3    7   +5      68.75    11.18     9.18     5.36    17.62    42.91    23.45P    1.13R    0.36  
Rotherham             3    7   +3      68.36    10.97     6.98     4.52    16.13    41.39    21.97P    1.03R    0.33  
Port_Vale             3    7   +3      75.57    10.94    17.62    14.28    37.27    66.82    45.40P    0.18R    0.06  
Shrewsbury            3    7   +3      67.78    10.93     6.18     3.92    15.14    39.24    20.81P    1.29R    0.43  
Accrington_Stanley    3    5   +3      60.82    11.19    -2.45     1.18     5.49    19.12     8.14P    5.73R    2.41  
Wycombe               3    5   +2      74.67    11.85    18.61    14.79    35.69    63.32    43.78P    0.42R    0.13  
Burton_Albion         3    5   +1      63.97    11.36     0.32     2.46     9.26    27.57    13.32P    3.39R    1.27  
Aldershot             3    5   +1      72.47    11.09    14.10     9.39    27.20    56.29    34.86P    0.46R    0.12  
Stevenage             3    4   +1      71.01    11.38    13.37     7.94    23.74    51.13    31.93P    0.71R    0.25  
Bury                  3    4   +0      59.80    10.80    -4.39     0.81     4.15    15.78     6.56P    6.16R    2.48  
Cheltenham            3    4   -1      54.81    11.03   -15.50     0.32     1.77     7.87     2.83P   15.04R    7.12  
Hereford              3    4   -3      56.29    10.67   -12.76     0.34     1.97     9.16     3.32P   11.27R    4.91  
Crewe                 3    3   +5      62.22    11.56     4.31     2.01     7.88    24.22    11.55P    4.67R    1.90  
Lincoln_City          3    3   -2      48.66    10.23   -20.91     0.03     0.26     2.17     0.55P   30.34R   16.25  
Bradford              3    3   -3      60.25    11.07    -5.68     0.99     4.64    17.26     7.34P    6.30R    2.63  
Gillingham            3    2   -1      66.47    11.50     7.71     3.89    13.97    36.06    20.61P    2.12R    0.78  
Oxford_Utd            3    2   -1      56.43    11.04    -5.67     0.47     2.41    10.23     4.22P   11.15R    4.96  
Stockport             3    2   -2      49.65    11.22   -19.18     0.13     0.78     3.76     1.37P   28.90R   16.30  
Northampton           3    2   -3      63.89    10.84     1.79     1.88     8.18    26.57    12.60P    2.91R    1.05  
Morecambe             3    1   -3      64.03    11.50     3.16     2.60     9.74    28.35    14.31P    3.52R    1.45  
Southend              3    1   -3      64.94    11.95     4.77     3.34    11.99    32.04    17.56P    3.55R    1.39  
Macclesfield          3    1   -4      52.55    10.60   -14.47     0.13     0.88     4.99     1.74P   18.67R    8.96  
Barnet                3    1   -8      46.01    10.20   -28.70     0.02     0.18     1.16     0.33P   40.96R   24.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 August 2010, Crawley_Town vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton               4   10   +6      97.07    10.43    56.18    66.95    97.09    78.20P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon       4    9   +5      79.52    10.95    25.09     7.43    62.06    20.64P    0.10R    0.02  
Mansfield           4    9   +2      74.21    11.42    14.15     3.51    42.55    10.76P    0.58R    0.09  
Eastbourne_Boro     4    7   +4      50.98    10.78   -20.05     0.01     1.42     0.16P   28.34R    9.79  
Fleetwood_Town      4    7   +2      60.91    12.49    -3.47     0.37    11.17     2.17P    9.55R    2.76  
Crawley_Town        4    7   +1      63.14    10.83    -1.05     0.29    11.31     1.99P    4.53R    0.92  
Southport           4    7   +1      57.85    12.20    -9.31     0.21     6.83     1.22P   14.43R    4.31  
Grimsby             4    7   +1      77.62    11.46    20.80     5.78    54.53    18.82P    0.28R    0.03  
Hayes_&_Yeading     4    7   -3      50.49    11.02   -31.27     0.02     1.45     0.16P   31.47R   11.50  
Forest_Green        4    5   +1      51.40    10.87   -19.03     0.02     1.64     0.21P   26.97R    9.15  
Histon              4    5   +0      50.07    10.62   -20.06     0.01     0.99     0.11P   30.83R   10.60  
Gateshead           4    5   +0      50.50    10.51   -19.48     0.01     1.13     0.15P   29.33R    9.89  
Darlington          4    5   +0      60.88    11.64    -1.90     0.28     9.71     2.03P    8.08R    1.96  
Tamworth            4    5   -1      56.02    10.47   -10.13     0.04     3.16     0.50P   13.56R    3.43  
Bath_City           4    4   -1      52.81    12.38   -15.75     0.09     3.66     0.60P   26.08R   10.26  
Kidderminster       4    4   -2      65.14    11.30     3.29     0.57    15.95     3.29P    3.56R    0.75  
Barrow              4    4   -2      52.89    10.81   -16.47     0.02     2.03     0.30P   22.37R    7.09  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    4    4   -2      81.20    10.64    29.01     8.96    68.51    28.25P    0.04R    0.01  
Wrexham             4    4   -3      62.89    10.49    -0.13     0.26    10.24     2.22P    4.02R    0.73  
Newport_County      4    3   -1      50.34    12.25   -16.58     0.04     2.44     0.51P   32.33R   13.78  
Cambridge_Utd       4    3   -1      66.70    11.17     8.53     0.80    19.73     4.72P    2.34R    0.44  
York                4    3   -1      76.55    10.44    22.90     3.96    51.60    18.36P    0.12R    0.01  
Kettering           4    2   -3      65.01    10.52     5.81     0.29    14.24     3.28P    2.67R    0.45  
Altrincham          4    1   -3      59.46    10.84    -1.08     0.09     6.57     1.36P    8.41R    2.05