Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 August 2010 at 21:16:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 August 2010, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          2    6  +12      89.46     8.08    88.42    65.48    88.22    96.04    98.69    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          2    4   +6      75.41     9.01    48.90     7.17    26.57    55.80    74.72    92.80     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd          2    4   +3      82.66     8.41    60.59    23.44    64.09    83.98    93.03    98.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         2    4   +3      69.64     9.27    32.90     2.15    10.33    27.55    49.42    80.17     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton           2    4   +2      41.49     8.82   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20     1.37    19.81R    2.78  
Birmingham       2    4   +1      47.13     8.92   -11.26     0.00     0.03     0.20     0.84     5.07     6.75R    0.60  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +1      39.48     8.45   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.63    26.09R    3.58  
Tottenham        2    4   +1      66.35     9.27    23.60     0.95     5.54    16.70    33.67    68.14     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle        2    3   +3      59.23    10.05    13.80     0.27     1.64     5.81    13.84    38.30     0.68R    0.04  
Blackburn        2    3   +0      44.08     8.83   -17.42     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.38     2.52    12.52R    1.40  
Blackpool        2    3   -2      37.58     9.44   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.77    36.85R    7.34  
Aston_Villa      2    3   -3      56.23     9.16     2.00     0.08     0.52     2.30     6.56    24.64     0.84R    0.03  
West_Brom        2    3   -5      44.19     9.72   -23.37     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.68     3.58    15.18R    2.17  
Fulham           2    2   +0      47.11     8.89    -8.47     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.82     4.97     6.65R    0.64  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      44.55     9.05   -14.87     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.44     3.11    11.96R    1.40  
Everton          2    1   -1      53.40     9.36     2.23     0.02     0.25     1.36     4.11    17.44     1.98R    0.12  
Liverpool        2    1   -3      63.58     9.12    18.88     0.44     2.72     9.61    22.36    56.80     0.10R    0.00  
Stoke            2    0   -2      38.63     8.57   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.57    28.79R    4.68  
West_Ham         2    0   -5      36.37     8.86   -35.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.36    41.04R    8.90  
Wigan            2    0  -10      23.79     7.62   -71.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.69R   66.32  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 August 2010, Middlesbrough vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               3    9   +9      69.08    11.39    10.28     4.83    10.68    37.34    16.28P    2.54R    0.45  
Cardiff           3    7   +5      78.91    11.44    26.02    20.10    35.28    70.64    45.32P    0.29R    0.05  
Burnley           3    7   +4      78.00    12.60    23.79    20.09    34.04    66.19    42.59P    0.74R    0.15  
Coventry          3    7   +3      57.08    10.81   -10.75     0.35     1.06     7.89     2.26P   17.59R    5.02  
Ipswich           3    7   +3      62.52    10.98    -2.34     1.16     3.14    17.50     5.76P    7.94R    1.72  
Millwall          3    6   +5      75.31    12.21    21.40    13.92    25.71    58.75    34.64P    1.02R    0.17  
Norwich           3    6   +2      72.68    12.31    14.20     9.65    19.06    50.26    27.42P    1.86R    0.41  
Watford           3    5   +1      61.73    11.44    -3.26     1.33     3.41    17.02     6.11P    9.87R    2.53  
Leeds_United      3    4   +1      68.15    12.30     9.12     5.08    10.90    35.32    17.20P    4.34R    1.03  
Middlesbrough     3    4   -1      65.16    11.04     2.72     1.99     5.18    24.34     9.76P    4.85R    0.97  
Doncaster         3    4   -2      61.37    11.17    -4.46     0.90     2.71    15.80     5.45P    9.82R    2.43  
Hull              3    4   -2      61.81    12.04    -3.81     1.54     3.97    18.12     7.22P   11.03R    3.24  
Barnsley          3    4   -3      51.63    10.97   -22.43     0.13     0.45     3.25     0.89P   34.60R   13.12  
Swansea           3    3   +0      62.23    10.20     2.31     0.74     2.12    15.18     5.22P    6.40R    1.22  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      57.63    10.96    -7.07     0.48     1.30     8.90     2.89P   16.23R    4.61  
Derby             3    3   -1      56.06    10.98   -10.53     0.30     0.90     7.03     1.97P   20.35R    6.18  
Scunthorpe        3    3   -2      51.27    11.21   -21.84     0.14     0.35     3.33     0.78P   36.23R   14.45  
Preston           3    3   -5      48.75    10.97   -28.73     0.05     0.21     1.93     0.47P   45.52R   20.53  
Reading           3    2   -1      61.79    11.54    -0.43     1.35     3.53    17.60     6.66P    9.67R    2.46  
Nott'm_Forest     3    2   -1      75.19    10.94    20.52    10.75    22.63    59.31    34.74P    0.58R    0.10  
Bristol_City      3    2   -3      51.97    10.98   -18.36     0.13     0.41     3.42     0.95P   33.24R   12.46  
Portsmouth        3    1   -3      60.89    11.76    -1.17     1.19     3.21    16.17     6.61P   11.43R    3.27  
Leicester         3    1   -4      66.73    11.14     6.68     2.80     6.93    29.48    13.10P    3.82R    0.73  
Sheff_Utd         3    1   -4      61.22    11.21    -1.90     1.02     2.81    15.24     5.72P   10.05R    2.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Carlisle vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle          3    7   +5      69.57    11.78     9.96     4.26     9.88    36.55    15.55P    3.65R    0.30  
Oldham            3    7   +4      58.61    10.74    -5.64     0.32     0.98     8.69     2.21P   16.76R    1.93  
Charlton          3    7   +3      81.52    11.64    26.86    22.30    38.96    75.16    49.99P    0.26R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed         3    7   +3      71.01    12.44    10.49     6.04    13.20    41.38    19.95P    3.51R    0.36  
Bournemouth       3    6   +6      62.87    12.08     2.92     1.51     3.95    18.90     7.09P   11.08R    1.41  
Peterborough      3    6   +1      62.28    12.78    -4.80     1.69     4.18    18.82     7.02P   14.32R    2.25  
Walsall           3    6   +1      64.63    11.64    -0.22     1.80     4.44    21.86     7.83P    8.21R    0.91  
Hartlepool        3    5   +2      62.69    11.65    -0.56     1.24     3.38    17.71     6.29P   10.59R    1.22  
Colchester        3    5   +1      72.64    11.51    14.10     6.18    14.31    46.91    22.71P    1.77R    0.09  
Huddersfield      3    4   +1      78.02    11.92    24.95    15.18    28.69    64.80    39.28P    0.76R    0.05  
Brighton          3    4   +0      62.27    11.35    -1.19     0.99     2.74    16.01     5.52P   10.92R    1.27  
Plymouth          3    4   +0      63.61    12.07     1.18     1.56     4.13    20.17     7.74P   10.17R    1.31  
Bristol_Rovers    3    4   -2      56.08    11.60   -14.24     0.31     0.93     7.16     2.09P   25.76R    4.49  
MK_Dons           2    3   -2      59.26    11.88    -9.58     0.69     1.79    11.42     3.57P   18.25R    2.93  
Yeovil            3    3   -2      57.25    11.15    -9.28     0.34     0.97     7.60     2.19P   21.07R    3.08  
Notts_County      3    3   -5      70.88    12.29     8.39     5.72    12.39    40.82    20.68P    3.30R    0.27  
Exeter            2    2   +0      54.46    11.41   -12.07     0.19     0.59     5.29     1.42P   29.82R    5.76  
Swindon           3    2   -1      69.23    11.92    11.64     4.23     9.76    35.71    16.60P    4.06R    0.39  
Rochdale          3    2   -1      57.19    12.55    -7.82     0.66     1.81    10.26     3.56P   24.15R    4.87  
Southampton       2    1   -1      81.71    11.89    31.26    23.98    40.43    75.62    52.74P    0.38R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient     3    1   -3      54.49    11.39   -11.63     0.18     0.60     5.34     1.51P   29.41R    5.59  
Brentford         3    1   -3      60.54    11.22    -1.83     0.63     1.78    12.43     4.19P   13.48R    1.68  
Tranmere          3    1   -4      42.23    10.33   -31.92     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.02P   72.69R   30.95  
Dag_&_Red         2    0   -3      43.83    11.98   -30.97     0.02     0.09     1.12     0.25P   65.63R   28.88  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               3    9   +7      77.35    11.09    21.54    19.02    43.86    72.49    51.51P    0.14R    0.04  
Chesterfield          3    7   +5      68.41    11.13     8.69     4.68    16.71    42.05    22.49P    1.21R    0.40  
Rotherham             3    7   +3      68.22    10.96     6.77     4.56    15.90    40.61    21.50P    1.06R    0.38  
Port_Vale             3    7   +3      75.49    11.02    17.63    14.21    36.89    66.51    45.06P    0.19R    0.07  
Shrewsbury            3    7   +3      67.89    10.88     6.35     4.16    14.98    39.27    20.82P    1.23R    0.40  
Accrington_Stanley    3    5   +3      60.63    11.08    -2.79     1.13     5.29    18.61     7.86P    5.76R    2.26  
Wycombe               3    5   +2      74.67    11.81    18.71    14.65    35.59    63.45    43.91P    0.45R    0.18  
Burton_Albion         3    5   +1      64.05    11.37     0.39     2.43     9.52    27.83    13.59P    3.32R    1.32  
Aldershot             3    5   +1      72.43    11.09    14.09     9.29    26.99    56.07    34.64P    0.43R    0.11  
Stevenage             3    4   +1      70.92    11.54    13.26     8.19    23.96    51.18    32.17P    0.78R    0.25  
Bury                  3    4   +0      59.99    10.82    -4.22     0.90     4.19    16.21     6.67P    5.88R    2.35  
Cheltenham            3    4   -1      55.01    11.15   -15.21     0.38     1.95     8.37     3.05P   14.79R    7.00  
Hereford              3    4   -3      56.35    10.70   -12.70     0.34     1.96     9.37     3.33P   11.02R    4.83  
Crewe                 3    3   +5      62.41    11.45     4.68     1.98     7.88    24.29    11.73P    4.50R    1.77  
Lincoln_City          3    3   -2      48.68    10.15   -20.92     0.02     0.25     1.97     0.52P   30.24R   16.02  
Bradford              3    3   -3      59.75    11.01    -6.42     0.89     4.28    16.23     6.67P    6.61R    2.75  
Gillingham            3    2   -1      67.24    11.66     8.76     4.70    15.50    38.53    22.37P    1.90R    0.64  
Oxford_Utd            3    2   -1      56.58    11.04    -5.48     0.43     2.48    10.64     4.35P   10.82R    4.93  
Stockport             3    2   -2      49.64    11.18   -19.16     0.10     0.59     3.51     1.08P   28.84R   16.12  
Northampton           3    2   -3      63.96    10.91     1.81     1.98     8.46    26.86    12.99P    2.98R    1.06  
Morecambe             3    1   -3      64.17    11.45     3.41     2.56     9.88    28.59    14.53P    3.43R    1.34  
Southend              3    1   -3      64.77    12.05     4.51     3.30    11.84    31.53    17.27P    3.77R    1.49  
Macclesfield          3    1   -4      52.46    10.61   -14.62     0.11     0.89     4.87     1.63P   18.92R    9.23  
Barnet                3    1   -8      45.79    10.11   -29.07     0.01     0.14     0.97     0.26P   41.73R   25.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 August 2010, Crawley_Town vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton               4   10   +6      96.75    10.38    55.50    66.12    96.96    77.28P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon       4    9   +5      79.52    10.91    25.13     7.27    62.10    20.79P    0.10R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro     4    7   +4      50.55    10.72   -20.64     0.02     1.22     0.11P   29.60R   10.25  
Forest_Green        4    7   +2      54.09    10.98   -16.89     0.03     2.71     0.30P   19.64R    5.93  
Fleetwood_Town      4    7   +2      60.93    12.43    -3.36     0.45    11.10     2.26P    9.49R    2.58  
Mansfield           4    7   +1      71.63    11.54    12.14     2.40    34.24     8.28P    1.09R    0.20  
Crawley_Town        4    7   +1      63.01    10.88    -1.25     0.30    11.07     1.92P    4.64R    0.91  
Southport           4    7   +1      58.41    12.31    -8.45     0.27     7.57     1.37P   13.36R    4.02  
Grimsby             4    7   +1      77.65    11.45    20.80     6.18    54.80    19.05P    0.25R    0.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading     4    6   -4      48.72    11.07   -34.08     0.01     1.00     0.10P   37.88R   14.90  
Histon              4    5   +0      49.83    10.59   -20.59     0.00     0.90     0.11P   31.40R   11.03  
Gateshead           4    5   +0      50.50    10.47   -19.44     0.02     0.98     0.11P   29.02R    9.61  
Darlington          4    5   +0      61.03    11.35    -1.68     0.21     9.35     1.84P    7.36R    1.76  
Tamworth            4    5   -1      55.89    10.50   -10.28     0.05     3.15     0.47P   13.78R    3.33  
Bath_City           4    4   -1      52.13    12.30   -16.87     0.10     3.14     0.56P   27.46R   10.57  
Kidderminster       4    4   -2      65.51    11.32     3.88     0.64    17.02     3.48P    3.38R    0.70  
Barrow              4    4   -2      52.68    10.89   -16.88     0.03     2.00     0.26P   22.97R    7.35  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    4    4   -2      81.56    10.73    29.72     9.79    69.37    29.31P    0.05R    0.01  
Wrexham             4    4   -3      63.20    10.54     0.46     0.22    10.76     2.33P    3.76R    0.73  
Newport_County      4    3   -1      50.46    12.07   -16.53     0.02     2.22     0.36P   31.78R   13.03  
Cambridge_Utd       4    3   -1      67.24    11.25     9.48     0.91    21.42     5.11P    2.28R    0.46  
York                4    3   -1      76.78    10.53    23.22     4.38    52.28    18.98P    0.14R    0.02  
Kettering           4    3   -2      66.83    10.54     7.93     0.48    18.42     4.38P    1.81R    0.28  
Altrincham          4    1   -3      59.28    10.90    -1.33     0.13     6.24     1.21P    8.78R    2.29