Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 23 August 2010 at 21:16:18 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 August 2010, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          2    6  +12      89.55     8.06    88.55    65.03    88.41    96.20    98.70    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          2    4   +6      75.44     9.08    49.02     7.22    26.58    55.56    74.33    92.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          2    4   +3      82.87     8.39    61.08    24.01    64.29    84.33    93.29    98.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         2    4   +3      69.71     9.24    33.13     2.14    10.38    28.03    49.30    80.13     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton           2    4   +2      41.33     8.80   -24.91     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.19     1.35    20.24R    2.78  
Birmingham       2    4   +1      47.06     8.85   -11.32     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.75     4.87     6.60R    0.62  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +1      39.54     8.48   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.70    25.25R    3.66  
Tottenham        2    4   +1      66.43     9.09    23.69     0.89     5.13    16.15    33.68    68.51     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        2    3   +3      59.43    10.11    14.24     0.21     1.56     5.84    14.17    38.81     0.80R    0.08  
Blackburn        2    3   +0      44.16     8.88   -17.30     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.37     2.59    12.18R    1.31  
Blackpool        2    3   -2      37.51     9.52   -37.42     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     0.81    36.99R    7.59  
Aston_Villa      2    3   -3      56.25     9.28     2.03     0.04     0.51     2.37     6.81    24.85     0.89R    0.05  
West_Brom        2    3   -5      43.94     9.85   -23.85     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.64     3.77    15.92R    2.44  
Fulham           2    2   +0      47.13     8.81    -8.49     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.72     4.79     6.33R    0.60  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      44.42     9.03   -15.14     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.41     2.94    12.11R    1.41  
Everton          2    1   -1      53.37     9.35     2.23     0.02     0.33     1.35     4.16    17.24     1.85R    0.08  
Liverpool        2    1   -3      63.58     9.09    18.83     0.43     2.68     9.33    22.22    56.48     0.08R    0.00  
Stoke            2    0   -2      38.63     8.59   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.56    28.80R    4.84  
West_Ham         2    0   -5      36.19     8.77   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29    41.41R    8.97  
Wigan            2    0  -10      23.87     7.63   -71.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.49R   65.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 August 2010, Middlesbrough vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               3    9   +9      68.87    11.40    10.01     4.69    10.45    36.68    15.85P    2.69R    0.50  
Cardiff           3    7   +5      78.84    11.42    25.83    20.54    35.41    70.48    45.50P    0.31R    0.04  
Burnley           3    7   +4      77.49    12.54    22.93    18.81    32.50    64.92    41.09P    0.88R    0.18  
Coventry          3    7   +3      57.05    10.78   -10.74     0.40     1.08     7.67     2.13P   17.88R    5.06  
Ipswich           3    7   +3      62.22    11.15    -2.81     1.21     3.26    17.39     5.90P    8.53R    2.06  
Millwall          3    6   +5      75.36    12.22    21.56    14.04    25.93    59.08    35.08P    1.13R    0.22  
Norwich           3    6   +2      72.36    12.49    13.78     9.85    18.89    48.74    26.95P    2.15R    0.44  
Watford           3    5   +1      61.65    11.45    -3.41     1.41     3.38    16.70     5.90P   10.20R    2.64  
Leeds_United      3    4   +1      68.51    12.24     9.61     5.22    11.46    36.84    18.00P    3.98R    0.85  
Middlesbrough     3    4   -1      65.36    10.98     3.02     2.02     5.53    25.25    10.07P    4.73R    0.99  
Doncaster         3    4   -2      61.48    11.22    -4.22     1.04     2.84    16.01     5.59P    9.84R    2.41  
Hull              3    4   -2      62.16    12.03    -3.19     1.78     4.28    18.86     7.61P   10.48R    2.81  
Barnsley          3    4   -3      51.62    10.85   -22.47     0.12     0.39     3.03     0.82P   34.56R   12.98  
Swansea           3    3   +0      62.32    10.32     2.45     0.79     2.44    15.99     5.76P    6.44R    1.30  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      57.41    10.84    -7.32     0.38     1.19     8.40     2.78P   16.69R    4.76  
Derby             3    3   -1      55.96    11.00   -10.66     0.27     0.91     6.93     1.93P   20.75R    6.36  
Scunthorpe        3    3   -2      51.32    11.15   -21.82     0.11     0.38     3.29     0.81P   35.93R   14.57  
Preston           3    3   -5      48.89    10.95   -28.53     0.05     0.17     1.92     0.43P   44.95R   20.38  
Reading           3    2   -1      61.76    11.43    -0.38     1.29     3.48    17.20     6.50P    9.59R    2.52  
Nott'm_Forest     3    2   -1      75.24    10.88    20.64    10.91    22.74    59.69    34.99P    0.51R    0.08  
Bristol_City      3    2   -3      52.20    11.10   -18.03     0.17     0.45     3.86     1.07P   32.65R   12.44  
Portsmouth        3    1   -3      61.57    11.85    -0.09     1.47     3.78    17.91     7.44P   10.67R    2.92  
Leicester         3    1   -4      66.24    11.21     5.93     2.53     6.46    28.30    12.43P    4.28R    0.92  
Sheff_Utd         3    1   -4      61.12    11.12    -2.07     0.89     2.59    14.86     5.38P   10.20R    2.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Carlisle vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle          3    7   +5      69.34    11.81     9.65     3.83     9.59    36.09    15.03P    3.76R    0.34  
Oldham            3    7   +4      58.74    10.76    -5.55     0.32     1.08     8.83     2.40P   16.49R    1.95  
Charlton          3    7   +3      81.34    11.42    26.61    21.36    37.99    74.70    49.25P    0.19R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed         3    7   +3      70.99    12.27    10.49     5.95    12.93    41.38    19.80P    3.24R    0.25  
Bournemouth       3    6   +6      63.06    12.13     3.21     1.56     4.00    19.58     7.29P   10.95R    1.41  
Peterborough      3    6   +1      62.16    12.72    -4.95     1.69     4.05    18.38     6.94P   14.19R    2.24  
Walsall           3    6   +1      64.30    11.63    -0.73     1.57     4.19    21.12     7.69P    8.67R    1.03  
Hartlepool        3    5   +2      62.68    11.49    -0.60     1.14     3.13    17.59     5.95P   10.41R    1.24  
Colchester        3    5   +1      73.01    11.68    14.61     6.86    15.17    48.06    23.62P    1.93R    0.13  
Huddersfield      3    4   +1      78.12    12.00    25.19    15.65    28.95    65.08    39.18P    0.74R    0.04  
Brighton          3    4   +0      62.26    11.46    -1.23     1.06     2.81    16.37     5.63P   11.11R    1.43  
Plymouth          3    4   +0      63.15    12.02     0.54     1.46     3.83    19.10     7.15P   10.78R    1.32  
Bristol_Rovers    3    4   -2      55.71    11.59   -14.88     0.29     0.90     6.63     1.93P   26.76R    4.99  
MK_Dons           2    3   -2      59.17    12.02    -9.75     0.72     1.88    11.66     3.61P   18.71R    3.28  
Yeovil            3    3   -2      57.13    11.19    -9.51     0.34     0.97     7.85     2.32P   21.60R    3.18  
Notts_County      3    3   -5      71.10    12.31     8.72     5.78    12.83    41.35    21.13P    3.41R    0.29  
Exeter            2    2   +0      54.53    11.41   -11.95     0.21     0.63     5.33     1.51P   29.41R    5.79  
Swindon           3    2   -1      69.21    11.86    11.62     4.19     9.60    35.61    16.50P    3.83R    0.38  
Rochdale          3    2   -1      57.58    12.35    -7.14     0.61     1.68    10.21     3.53P   22.78R    4.36  
Southampton       2    1   -1      82.04    11.78    31.89    24.68    41.51    76.54    53.85P    0.30R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient     3    1   -3      54.21    11.39   -12.17     0.17     0.54     5.04     1.43P   30.68R    6.01  
Brentford         3    1   -3      60.39    11.13    -2.09     0.53     1.65    12.07     3.99P   13.65R    1.76  
Tranmere          3    1   -4      42.58    10.46   -31.33     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.05P   71.49R   30.21  
Dag_&_Red         2    0   -3      44.00    11.92   -30.67     0.03     0.08     1.07     0.22P   64.93R   28.35  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               3    9   +7      77.18    11.18    21.30    18.69    43.16    71.86    50.82P    0.17R    0.05  
Chesterfield          3    7   +5      68.69    11.26     9.09     5.33    17.87    42.72    23.62P    1.09R    0.37  
Rotherham             3    7   +3      68.33    10.95     6.94     4.44    16.04    40.89    22.02P    1.09R    0.34  
Port_Vale             3    7   +3      75.47    10.99    17.54    13.97    36.47    66.51    44.60P    0.21R    0.06  
Shrewsbury            3    7   +3      67.83    11.03     6.29     4.20    14.84    39.33    20.54P    1.30R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley    3    5   +3      60.49    11.13    -2.93     1.20     5.23    18.05     7.80P    6.06R    2.40  
Wycombe               3    5   +2      74.91    11.88    19.05    15.10    36.43    64.09    44.56P    0.42R    0.13  
Burton_Albion         3    5   +1      63.91    11.32     0.16     2.40     9.19    27.45    13.17P    3.47R    1.39  
Aldershot             3    5   +1      72.28    11.08    13.82     9.11    26.56    55.57    34.23P    0.45R    0.15  
Stevenage             3    4   +1      71.25    11.41    13.72     8.20    24.24    52.30    32.44P    0.74R    0.26  
Bury                  3    4   +0      60.09    10.85    -3.99     0.97     4.52    16.49     7.00P    5.62R    2.19  
Cheltenham            3    4   -1      54.91    11.14   -15.41     0.40     1.94     8.25     3.00P   14.82R    7.04  
Hereford              3    4   -3      56.23    10.80   -12.89     0.36     2.00     9.35     3.41P   11.60R    5.12  
Crewe                 3    3   +5      62.11    11.51     4.18     1.96     7.77    23.89    11.52P    4.67R    1.86  
Lincoln_City          3    3   -2      48.52    10.17   -21.16     0.02     0.24     1.92     0.48P   30.77R   16.57  
Bradford              3    3   -3      60.12    11.02    -5.92     0.89     4.47    16.99     7.03P    6.25R    2.52  
Gillingham            3    2   -1      66.87    11.63     8.26     4.24    14.77    37.44    21.50P    2.05R    0.74  
Oxford_Utd            3    2   -1      56.55    11.02    -5.46     0.47     2.36    10.68     4.22P   10.94R    4.87  
Stockport             3    2   -2      49.58    11.20   -19.31     0.09     0.72     3.63     1.25P   28.93R   16.10  
Northampton           3    2   -3      63.90    10.97     1.75     2.07     8.50    26.61    13.02P    2.92R    1.06  
Morecambe             3    1   -3      63.75    11.38     2.70     2.14     9.11    27.40    13.63P    3.80R    1.60  
Southend              3    1   -3      65.11    12.13     5.03     3.59    12.55    32.46    18.15P    3.50R    1.38  
Macclesfield          3    1   -4      52.72    10.67   -14.20     0.14     0.88     5.01     1.71P   18.42R    8.97  
Barnet                3    1   -8      46.10    10.18   -28.57     0.02     0.13     1.12     0.29P   40.71R   24.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton               3    9   +6     100.08    10.51    63.21    73.56    98.04    82.73P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon       3    9   +6      80.84    11.29    26.50     6.94    64.42    21.12P    0.08R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro     3    6   +4      50.38    10.88   -23.37     0.01     1.18     0.11P   30.22R   10.31  
Mansfield           3    6   +1      72.50    11.75    13.05     2.06    35.87     8.47P    0.97R    0.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading     3    6   -3      51.95    11.40   -30.16     0.01     1.93     0.19P   26.85R    9.11  
Gateshead           3    5   +2      54.29    10.95   -14.57     0.03     2.53     0.33P   18.44R    5.14  
Darlington          3    5   +1      63.41    11.89     0.48     0.39    13.18     2.62P    5.52R    1.13  
Forest_Green        3    4   +1      51.51    11.13   -20.22     0.03     1.65     0.21P   26.98R    9.08  
Bath_City           3    4   +0      54.01    12.62   -15.71     0.08     4.16     0.71P   23.27R    8.23  
Histon              3    4   +0      51.28    10.94   -19.99     0.01     1.37     0.16P   27.09R    8.76  
Fleetwood_Town      3    4   +0      56.67    12.83   -10.23     0.11     6.40     1.15P   17.44R    5.79  
Southport           3    4   +0      56.06    12.98   -11.68     0.16     6.29     1.25P   19.00R    6.34  
Crawley_Town        3    4   +0      61.94    11.18    -1.83     0.15     9.34     1.49P    6.13R    1.29  
Grimsby             3    4   +0      75.59    11.88    19.49     3.39    46.02    14.79P    0.53R    0.08  
Tamworth            3    4   -1      56.45    10.81   -10.74     0.03     3.43     0.44P   13.05R    3.10  
Kidderminster       3    3   -2      65.13    11.47     2.59     0.42    15.39     3.13P    3.78R    0.79  
Barrow              3    3   -2      52.06    11.06   -19.90     0.01     1.64     0.21P   25.18R    8.21  
Wrexham             3    3   -3      64.20    10.74     1.18     0.20    11.98     2.45P    3.16R    0.51  
Newport_County      3    2   -1      47.27    12.46   -24.39     0.02     1.44     0.22P   42.27R   19.99  
York                3    2   -1      79.47    10.77    27.48     5.20    60.87    22.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       3    2   -1      67.74    11.50     9.72     0.77    21.74     5.04P    2.27R    0.42  
Kettering           3    2   -2      67.21    10.79     7.88     0.41    19.03     4.54P    1.75R    0.26  
Altrincham          3    1   -2      61.92    11.21     1.41     0.14     9.69     1.96P    5.84R    1.30  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    3    1   -3      80.00    11.02    29.78     5.89    62.41    24.41P    0.11R    0.01