Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 August 2010 at 21:16:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 August 2010, Fulham vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          2    6  +12      89.89     8.07    88.27    65.87    88.46    96.22    98.70    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          2    4   +6      75.72     9.13    49.04     7.17    26.91    56.88    75.16    92.85     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          2    4   +3      83.10     8.40    60.79    23.47    65.09    85.02    93.57    99.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton           2    4   +2      41.33     8.90   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.21     1.41    19.67R    2.67  
Birmingham       2    4   +1      46.87     8.92   -11.38     0.00     0.02     0.22     0.76     4.77     6.66R    0.63  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +1      39.26     8.50   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.69    25.87R    3.82  
Tottenham        2    4   +1      66.24     9.31    23.06     0.88     5.22    16.11    33.10    67.50     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        2    3   +3      59.54    10.17    14.35     0.29     1.70     6.21    14.66    39.39     0.59R    0.03  
Blackburn        2    3   +0      43.98     8.90   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.37     2.54    12.45R    1.38  
Blackpool        2    3   -2      37.31     9.51   -37.17     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.80    37.10R    7.66  
Aston_Villa      2    3   -3      56.14     9.22     1.81     0.04     0.42     2.20     6.62    23.91     0.81R    0.04  
West_Brom        2    3   -5      43.57     9.90   -24.31     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.67     3.48    16.70R    2.56  
Fulham           2    2   +0      47.18     8.92    -8.21     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.74     5.12     6.28R    0.61  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      66.02     9.37    23.71     0.90     4.89    15.07    32.09    66.57     0.05R    0.00  
Man_City         1    1   +0      67.15     9.65    27.43     1.35     6.96    19.96    38.28    70.61     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      44.46     9.14   -14.71     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.50     3.12    11.76R    1.40  
Everton          2    1   -1      53.45     9.42     2.37     0.02     0.26     1.43     4.31    17.53     1.91R    0.16  
Stoke            2    0   -2      38.48     8.63   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.57    28.75R    4.86  
West_Ham         2    0   -5      36.06     8.81   -36.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27    41.14R    8.94  
Wigan            2    0  -10      23.70     7.69   -70.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.18R   65.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 August 2010, Middlesbrough vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               3    9   +9      69.28    11.36    10.68     5.06    11.11    37.95    16.72P    2.51R    0.48  
Cardiff           3    7   +5      78.99    11.37    26.05    20.02    35.41    71.05    45.69P    0.29R    0.04  
Burnley           3    7   +4      78.08    12.57    24.01    20.00    33.62    66.56    42.56P    0.76R    0.12  
Coventry          3    7   +3      56.75    10.74   -11.33     0.34     1.05     7.26     2.02P   18.31R    5.08  
Ipswich           3    7   +3      62.27    11.07    -2.79     1.23     3.14    17.17     5.69P    8.28R    1.97  
Millwall          3    6   +5      75.19    12.17    21.22    13.54    25.53    58.05    34.38P    1.04R    0.19  
Norwich           3    6   +2      72.66    12.48    14.26    10.15    19.47    49.54    27.42P    2.00R    0.42  
Watford           3    5   +1      61.66    11.29    -3.42     1.23     3.13    16.58     5.71P    9.68R    2.47  
Leeds_United      3    4   +1      68.49    12.24     9.64     5.06    11.08    36.53    17.61P    4.06R    0.88  
Middlesbrough     3    4   -1      65.22    10.94     2.86     2.02     5.18    24.32     9.62P    4.67R    0.97  
Doncaster         3    4   -2      61.32    11.11    -4.48     0.92     2.65    15.31     5.37P    9.75R    2.28  
Hull              3    4   -2      62.37    12.14    -2.91     1.71     4.47    19.37     7.95P   10.55R    3.00  
Barnsley          3    4   -3      51.75    10.91   -22.30     0.12     0.37     3.22     0.86P   34.41R   12.83  
Swansea           3    3   +0      62.16    10.32     2.22     0.79     2.36    15.43     5.51P    6.68R    1.25  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      57.18    10.74    -7.79     0.35     1.06     7.92     2.50P   16.86R    4.75  
Derby             3    3   -1      56.21    11.05   -10.37     0.31     0.98     7.35     2.14P   20.29R    6.12  
Scunthorpe        3    3   -2      51.33    11.21   -21.83     0.10     0.39     3.39     0.84P   35.77R   14.65  
Preston           3    3   -5      48.63    10.84   -28.98     0.05     0.21     1.77     0.44P   45.78R   20.59  
Reading           3    2   -1      61.41    11.43    -1.07     1.20     3.08    16.34     6.07P   10.15R    2.66  
Nott'm_Forest     3    2   -1      75.31    10.89    20.79    10.86    22.57    59.92    34.92P    0.56R    0.08  
Bristol_City      3    2   -3      52.11    11.11   -18.23     0.12     0.40     3.73     0.99P   32.71R   12.49  
Portsmouth        3    1   -3      61.16    11.90    -0.77     1.50     3.61    16.95     6.97P   11.20R    3.23  
Leicester         3    1   -4      66.56    11.01     6.38     2.35     6.33    28.97    12.44P    3.70R    0.83  
Sheff_Utd         3    1   -4      61.29    11.22    -1.81     0.97     2.79    15.34     5.57P   10.00R    2.63  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Carlisle vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle          3    7   +5      69.10    11.84     9.23     4.08     9.37    35.20    14.95P    4.02R    0.32  
Oldham            3    7   +4      58.76    10.78    -5.47     0.33     1.11     8.86     2.40P   16.44R    1.91  
Charlton          3    7   +3      81.41    11.57    26.71    21.80    38.44    75.03    49.58P    0.27R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed         3    7   +3      70.81    12.50    10.23     5.93    13.02    40.98    19.73P    3.62R    0.31  
Bournemouth       3    6   +6      62.65    12.10     2.61     1.54     3.87    19.05     7.01P   11.53R    1.42  
Peterborough      3    6   +1      62.10    12.74    -5.10     1.50     4.07    18.44     6.77P   14.57R    2.34  
Walsall           3    6   +1      64.50    11.55    -0.40     1.54     4.21    21.45     7.59P    8.33R    0.91  
Hartlepool        3    5   +2      62.84    11.59    -0.34     1.21     3.30    17.83     6.21P   10.40R    1.20  
Colchester        3    5   +1      73.04    11.56    14.73     6.85    15.09    48.55    23.61P    1.77R    0.12  
Huddersfield      3    4   +1      77.92    12.00    24.81    15.38    28.63    64.43    39.10P    0.77R    0.04  
Brighton          3    4   +0      62.12    11.45    -1.46     0.99     2.76    16.00     5.52P   11.33R    1.39  
Plymouth          3    4   +0      63.19    12.18     0.62     1.65     4.07    19.42     7.47P   11.23R    1.49  
Bristol_Rovers    3    4   -2      56.18    11.50   -14.10     0.28     0.88     7.06     2.04P   25.23R    4.44  
MK_Dons           2    3   -2      59.09    12.04    -9.90     0.60     1.82    11.81     3.67P   19.24R    3.17  
Yeovil            3    3   -2      57.53    11.10    -8.92     0.33     1.05     7.78     2.33P   20.18R    2.96  
Notts_County      3    3   -5      71.15    12.25     8.78     5.66    12.74    41.61    21.17P    3.29R    0.30  
Exeter            2    2   +0      54.60    11.32   -11.74     0.20     0.63     5.29     1.50P   29.28R    5.64  
Swindon           3    2   -1      69.10    11.88    11.43     3.99     9.46    35.56    16.29P    4.18R    0.41  
Rochdale          3    2   -1      57.60    12.45    -7.20     0.64     1.65    10.62     3.52P   23.06R    4.61  
Southampton       2    1   -1      81.90    11.92    31.67    24.76    41.41    75.92    53.56P    0.34R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient     3    1   -3      54.55    11.32   -11.61     0.14     0.53     5.27     1.44P   29.26R    5.51  
Brentford         3    1   -3      60.33    11.25    -2.13     0.59     1.74    12.28     4.17P   14.16R    1.80  
Tranmere          3    1   -4      42.36    10.39   -31.74     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.04P   72.50R   30.83  
Dag_&_Red         2    0   -3      44.02    12.26   -30.69     0.03     0.15     1.28     0.34P   64.99R   28.85  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               3    9   +7      77.22    11.16    21.34    18.94    43.30    72.08    50.78P    0.13R    0.02  
Chesterfield          3    7   +5      68.39    11.26     8.62     5.02    17.14    42.04    22.88P    1.23R    0.40  
Rotherham             3    7   +3      68.27    11.03     6.76     4.65    16.17    41.26    22.01P    1.26R    0.38  
Port_Vale             3    7   +3      75.47    10.96    17.53    14.00    36.75    66.62    44.95P    0.21R    0.05  
Shrewsbury            3    7   +3      67.61    10.84     5.99     3.86    14.20    38.29    19.61P    1.30R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley    3    5   +3      60.80    11.08    -2.46     1.21     5.40    18.72     8.15P    5.36R    2.12  
Wycombe               3    5   +2      74.69    11.93    18.73    14.86    35.70    63.37    43.86P    0.43R    0.13  
Burton_Albion         3    5   +1      63.79    11.44     0.06     2.40     9.31    27.20    13.26P    3.65R    1.43  
Aldershot             3    5   +1      72.43    11.21    14.08     9.40    27.51    56.21    35.22P    0.56R    0.17  
Stevenage             3    4   +1      71.07    11.53    13.52     8.29    24.07    51.38    32.39P    0.76R    0.26  
Bury                  3    4   +0      59.95    10.87    -4.22     0.90     4.26    16.51     6.78P    6.02R    2.46  
Cheltenham            3    4   -1      55.05    11.07   -15.17     0.35     1.90     8.50     3.08P   14.68R    6.94  
Hereford              3    4   -3      56.34    10.79   -12.76     0.38     2.04     9.31     3.32P   11.38R    5.04  
Crewe                 3    3   +5      62.04    11.61     4.02     1.90     7.82    23.92    11.54P    5.21R    1.98  
Lincoln_City          3    3   -2      48.93    10.25   -20.56     0.04     0.30     2.22     0.63P   29.45R   15.60  
Bradford              3    3   -3      60.06    11.09    -6.04     0.96     4.60    16.80     7.22P    6.54R    2.72  
Gillingham            3    2   -1      67.28    11.61     8.87     4.54    15.72    38.62    22.63P    1.80R    0.71  
Oxford_Utd            3    2   -1      56.37    10.92    -5.76     0.39     2.26    10.19     4.06P   11.07R    5.05  
Stockport             3    2   -2      49.55    11.18   -19.25     0.12     0.70     3.76     1.31P   29.14R   16.28  
Northampton           3    2   -3      63.93    10.88     1.84     1.88     8.29    26.75    12.85P    2.76R    1.03  
Morecambe             3    1   -3      64.21    11.39     3.43     2.44     9.78    28.64    14.34P    3.40R    1.37  
Southend              3    1   -3      64.89    11.93     4.63     3.33    11.80    31.58    17.14P    3.49R    1.39  
Macclesfield          3    1   -4      52.57    10.56   -14.37     0.13     0.85     4.92     1.67P   18.67R    9.03  
Barnet                3    1   -8      45.92    10.18   -28.84     0.01     0.14     1.10     0.30P   41.53R   24.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton               3    9   +6     100.24    10.43    63.44    73.55    98.29    82.88P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon       3    9   +6      81.12    11.22    26.99     7.19    65.21    21.45P    0.08R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro     3    6   +4      50.49    10.85   -23.15     0.01     1.21     0.14P   29.58R   10.18  
Mansfield           3    6   +1      72.49    11.56    13.09     1.72    35.37     7.70P    0.85R    0.15  
Hayes_&_Yeading     3    6   -3      52.05    11.45   -30.03     0.02     2.05     0.20P   26.76R    9.04  
Gateshead           3    5   +2      54.00    10.94   -14.95     0.03     2.39     0.31P   19.15R    5.43  
Darlington          3    5   +1      62.95    12.02    -0.18     0.40    12.63     2.56P    5.95R    1.30  
Forest_Green        3    4   +1      51.21    11.05   -20.83     0.01     1.49     0.19P   27.85R    9.33  
Bath_City           3    4   +0      54.30    12.74   -15.24     0.12     4.29     0.80P   22.29R    8.29  
Histon              3    4   +0      51.18    10.93   -20.20     0.01     1.34     0.14P   27.44R    8.81  
Fleetwood_Town      3    4   +0      56.82    12.74   -10.10     0.15     6.29     1.11P   17.07R    5.50  
Southport           3    4   +0      55.64    12.82   -12.43     0.12     5.42     0.98P   19.46R    6.72  
Crawley_Town        3    4   +0      62.00    11.17    -1.69     0.17     9.13     1.52P    5.86R    1.20  
Grimsby             3    4   +0      75.62    12.03    19.54     3.48    46.57    14.99P    0.58R    0.10  
Tamworth            3    4   -1      56.43    10.81   -10.69     0.05     3.36     0.45P   13.21R    3.17  
Kidderminster       3    3   -2      65.27    11.55     2.77     0.42    15.95     3.12P    3.75R    0.70  
Barrow              3    3   -2      51.94    11.03   -20.11     0.01     1.62     0.21P   25.26R    8.09  
Wrexham             3    3   -3      64.19    10.79     1.17     0.21    12.07     2.50P    3.32R    0.55  
Newport_County      3    2   -1      47.35    12.33   -24.15     0.04     1.22     0.23P   41.49R   19.50  
York                3    2   -1      79.56    10.79    27.71     5.07    61.12    22.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       3    2   -1      67.60    11.48     9.45     0.70    21.24     4.86P    2.42R    0.45  
Kettering           3    2   -2      67.36    10.80     8.15     0.33    18.96     4.52P    1.66R    0.25  
Altrincham          3    1   -2      62.01    11.18     1.49     0.17     9.48     1.88P    5.78R    1.22  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    3    1   -3      80.21    10.99    29.96     6.01    63.31    24.91P    0.10R    0.00