Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 August 2010 at 21:16:15 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Arsenal vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          2    6  +12      90.38     8.05    85.08    64.28    88.72    96.42    98.73    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          2    4   +6      75.81     9.31    47.10     6.78    25.71    55.99    74.62    92.83     0.00     0.00  
Bolton           2    4   +2      41.02     8.97   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16     1.56    19.47R    2.91  
Birmingham       2    4   +1      46.77     8.99   -10.45     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.75     4.92     6.60R    0.60  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +1      39.12     8.50   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.64    24.91R    3.90  
Tottenham        2    4   +1      66.44     9.36    22.56     0.76     4.93    16.67    34.11    68.74     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      1    3   +3      61.00     9.61    13.90     0.27     1.66     6.65    16.29    44.99     0.21R    0.02  
Man_Utd          1    3   +3      84.21     8.80    58.52    25.97    67.59    86.25    94.04    99.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn        2    3   +0      43.75     8.99   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.34     2.63    12.22R    1.46  
Blackpool        2    3   -2      35.85     9.53   -37.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.68    41.88R    9.83  
West_Brom        2    3   -5      43.69     9.99   -22.66     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.77     3.90    15.45R    2.49  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      66.33     9.50    23.29     0.75     4.69    15.91    33.74    68.32     0.04R    0.00  
Fulham           1    1   +0      46.09     9.08    -9.26     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.68     4.51     7.57R    0.76  
Man_City         1    1   +0      66.66     9.78    25.26     1.13     6.02    18.34    36.33    69.26     0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland       2    1   -1      44.25     9.24   -13.90     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.52     3.31    11.53R    1.55  
Everton          2    1   -1      53.23     9.53     2.27     0.02     0.28     1.34     4.31    17.57     1.85R    0.16  
Stoke            2    0   -2      38.59     8.67   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.52    26.72R    4.60  
Newcastle        1    0   -3      51.95    10.44    -2.07     0.04     0.31     1.56     4.37    16.32     3.67R    0.42  
West_Ham         2    0   -5      36.13     8.99   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.37    39.13R    9.12  
Wigan            2    0  -10      23.90     7.81   -65.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    88.63R   62.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Bristol_City vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR               3    9   +9      69.12    11.45    10.38     4.91    10.81    37.49    16.30P    2.56R    0.45  
Cardiff           3    7   +5      79.04    11.44    26.17    19.97    35.34    70.78    45.66P    0.28R    0.04  
Burnley           3    7   +4      77.95    12.60    23.78    19.65    33.42    65.77    41.91P    0.87R    0.12  
Coventry          3    7   +3      56.70    10.84   -11.37     0.37     1.04     7.50     2.04P   18.32R    5.43  
Ipswich           3    7   +3      62.49    11.11    -2.43     1.24     3.38    17.57     6.02P    7.96R    1.77  
Millwall          3    6   +5      75.30    12.23    21.39    13.69    25.33    58.37    34.43P    1.03R    0.17  
Norwich           3    6   +2      72.67    12.57    14.26     9.98    19.34    49.57    27.40P    2.08R    0.43  
Watford           3    5   +1      61.66    11.49    -3.46     1.14     3.14    16.80     5.83P   10.03R    2.70  
Leeds_United      3    4   +1      68.52    12.28     9.67     5.24    11.15    36.22    17.45P    4.00R    0.97  
Doncaster         3    4   -2      61.36    11.15    -4.47     0.96     2.73    15.53     5.50P    9.53R    2.32  
Hull              3    4   -2      62.15    12.13    -3.32     1.80     4.33    18.87     7.73P   10.52R    2.94  
Barnsley          3    4   -3      51.66    10.97   -22.42     0.10     0.32     3.34     0.82P   34.28R   13.02  
Swansea           3    3   +0      62.31    10.29     2.35     0.77     2.34    15.54     5.52P    6.33R    1.21  
Crystal_Palace    3    3   -1      57.24    10.96    -7.71     0.43     1.18     8.50     2.70P   17.03R    4.84  
Derby             3    3   -1      56.27    11.09   -10.30     0.31     0.94     7.40     2.20P   19.97R    6.11  
Scunthorpe        3    3   -2      51.54    11.22   -21.37     0.13     0.39     3.36     0.88P   34.71R   14.02  
Preston           3    3   -5      48.53    10.99   -29.13     0.07     0.20     1.82     0.47P   45.81R   20.70  
Reading           3    2   -1      61.63    11.62    -0.70     1.38     3.53    17.24     6.56P    9.94R    2.52  
Nott'm_Forest     3    2   -1      75.28    10.93    20.69    10.64    22.30    59.55    34.54P    0.53R    0.07  
Bristol_City      3    2   -3      51.94    11.13   -18.59     0.14     0.40     3.61     0.98P   33.31R   12.64  
Middlesbrough     2    1   -2      63.50    11.33     1.68     1.60     4.26    20.41     8.14P    7.15R    1.68  
Portsmouth        3    1   -3      61.08    11.93    -0.86     1.33     3.43    16.70     6.76P   11.34R    2.94  
Sheff_Utd         2    1   -3      62.98    11.61    -0.41     1.53     4.04    19.68     7.67P    8.40R    2.13  
Leicester         3    1   -4      66.42    11.15     6.18     2.62     6.64    28.38    12.49P    3.99R    0.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Carlisle vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Carlisle          3    7   +5      69.20    11.88     9.38     3.99     9.38    35.66    14.92P    4.01R    0.34  
Oldham            3    7   +4      58.61    10.74    -5.70     0.27     1.00     8.54     2.30P   16.75R    1.86  
Charlton          3    7   +3      81.44    11.51    26.74    22.11    38.63    75.00    49.57P    0.23R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed         3    7   +3      70.74    12.35    10.12     5.82    12.36    40.28    18.99P    3.49R    0.30  
Bournemouth       3    6   +6      63.11    12.20     3.24     1.68     4.11    19.73     7.27P   10.95R    1.33  
Peterborough      3    6   +1      62.27    12.85    -4.81     1.71     4.25    18.97     7.17P   14.24R    2.35  
Walsall           3    6   +1      64.46    11.78    -0.46     1.74     4.50    21.55     7.82P    8.78R    1.05  
Hartlepool        3    5   +2      62.46    11.66    -0.88     1.11     3.09    17.08     5.76P   11.16R    1.42  
Colchester        3    5   +1      72.79    11.45    14.33     6.31    14.20    47.00    22.71P    1.76R    0.12  
Huddersfield      3    4   +1      78.13    11.94    25.18    15.42    29.04    64.97    39.74P    0.76R    0.03  
Brighton          3    4   +0      62.32    11.46    -1.18     1.03     2.77    16.36     5.62P   11.01R    1.30  
Plymouth          3    4   +0      63.20    12.20     0.60     1.52     4.02    19.79     7.50P   11.19R    1.46  
Bristol_Rovers    3    4   -2      56.18    11.57   -14.07     0.34     1.03     7.18     2.16P   25.24R    4.47  
MK_Dons           2    3   -2      59.17    11.97    -9.77     0.67     1.87    11.59     3.64P   18.80R    3.18  
Yeovil            3    3   -2      57.18    11.22    -9.41     0.33     1.00     7.58     2.32P   21.52R    3.25  
Notts_County      3    3   -5      71.08    12.36     8.63     5.82    12.93    41.39    21.24P    3.55R    0.32  
Exeter            2    2   +0      54.70    11.35   -11.64     0.19     0.59     5.34     1.49P   28.65R    5.47  
Swindon           3    2   -1      69.62    11.97    12.23     4.53    10.39    37.07    17.35P    3.81R    0.40  
Rochdale          3    2   -1      57.34    12.51    -7.52     0.73     1.80    10.33     3.60P   23.60R    4.61  
Southampton       2    1   -1      81.69    11.91    31.29    23.90    40.64    75.57    52.91P    0.36R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient     3    1   -3      54.38    11.28   -11.87     0.14     0.51     5.08     1.37P   29.63R    5.51  
Brentford         3    1   -3      60.52    11.22    -1.87     0.60     1.78    12.35     4.16P   13.45R    1.77  
Tranmere          3    1   -4      42.03    10.42   -32.25     0.00     0.02     0.28     0.06P   73.30R   31.93  
Dag_&_Red         2    0   -3      44.33    12.23   -30.31     0.04     0.10     1.32     0.33P   63.75R   27.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               3    9   +7      77.28    11.15    21.49    18.56    43.45    72.15    51.17P    0.14R    0.02  
Chesterfield          3    7   +5      68.34    11.22     8.65     4.82    16.88    41.63    22.56P    1.15R    0.41  
Rotherham             3    7   +3      68.68    11.01     7.40     4.94    16.93    42.00    22.82P    1.04R    0.35  
Port_Vale             3    7   +3      75.58    11.03    17.72    14.67    37.09    66.78    45.20P    0.20R    0.05  
Shrewsbury            3    7   +3      67.82    10.78     6.28     3.83    14.61    39.17    20.25P    1.13R    0.33  
Accrington_Stanley    3    5   +3      60.67    11.10    -2.68     1.26     5.34    18.57     7.95P    5.62R    2.22  
Wycombe               3    5   +2      74.73    11.94    18.81    14.86    35.57    63.40    43.69P    0.48R    0.18  
Burton_Albion         3    5   +1      63.65    11.36    -0.30     2.26     8.92    26.79    12.77P    3.71R    1.40  
Aldershot             3    5   +1      72.49    11.03    14.15     9.28    27.30    56.46    35.06P    0.44R    0.15  
Stevenage             3    4   +1      71.24    11.52    13.68     8.47    24.50    52.06    32.86P    0.80R    0.32  
Bury                  3    4   +0      59.89    10.90    -4.38     0.79     4.20    16.40     6.82P    6.30R    2.52  
Cheltenham            3    4   -1      55.02    11.08   -15.32     0.33     1.81     8.32     2.93P   14.60R    6.91  
Hereford              3    4   -3      56.20    10.69   -12.95     0.35     1.99     9.15     3.29P   11.18R    4.98  
Crewe                 3    3   +5      62.24    11.65     4.39     2.09     8.12    24.29    11.77P    4.83R    2.07  
Lincoln_City          3    3   -2      48.96    10.21   -20.50     0.03     0.31     2.19     0.59P   29.21R   15.67  
Bradford              3    3   -3      60.13    11.18    -5.92     0.98     4.76    17.27     7.36P    6.57R    2.73  
Gillingham            3    2   -1      66.92    11.65     8.35     4.28    14.88    37.58    21.67P    2.06R    0.75  
Oxford_Utd            3    2   -1      56.26    10.95    -5.89     0.38     2.25     9.97     4.02P   11.26R    5.06  
Stockport             3    2   -2      49.39    11.19   -19.57     0.10     0.64     3.48     1.22P   29.96R   16.60  
Northampton           3    2   -3      64.04    10.82     2.04     1.94     8.27    26.97    12.91P    2.79R    1.10  
Morecambe             3    1   -3      64.04    11.33     3.09     2.35     9.31    28.14    13.93P    3.42R    1.30  
Southend              3    1   -3      64.82    12.03     4.60     3.33    11.96    31.46    17.34P    3.60R    1.43  
Macclesfield          3    1   -4      52.43    10.50   -14.63     0.11     0.74     4.59     1.52P   18.95R    9.23  
Barnet                3    1   -8      46.17    10.24   -28.52     0.01     0.14     1.18     0.31P   40.58R   24.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton               3    9   +6     100.26    10.49    63.66    73.83    98.26    82.83P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon       3    9   +6      80.92    11.12    26.56     6.55    64.70    20.51P    0.08R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro     3    6   +4      50.65    10.91   -22.88     0.01     1.25     0.14P   29.22R    9.93  
Mansfield           3    6   +1      72.68    11.65    13.40     2.03    36.01     8.42P    0.87R    0.11  
Hayes_&_Yeading     3    6   -3      52.11    11.31   -29.85     0.04     1.96     0.20P   26.35R    8.78  
Gateshead           3    5   +2      53.96    10.86   -15.06     0.02     2.25     0.29P   19.10R    5.31  
Darlington          3    5   +1      63.27    11.92     0.22     0.37    13.01     2.75P    5.47R    1.15  
Forest_Green        3    4   +1      51.52    11.03   -20.16     0.01     1.62     0.18P   26.45R    8.66  
Bath_City           3    4   +0      54.34    12.81   -15.05     0.10     4.59     0.77P   22.46R    8.13  
Histon              3    4   +0      50.82    10.91   -20.71     0.01     1.38     0.18P   28.37R    9.16  
Fleetwood_Town      3    4   +0      57.00    12.63    -9.77     0.13     6.34     1.07P   16.20R    5.14  
Southport           3    4   +0      55.70    12.89   -12.26     0.16     5.56     1.04P   19.86R    6.87  
Crawley_Town        3    4   +0      62.19    11.09    -1.37     0.13     9.42     1.60P    5.50R    1.19  
Grimsby             3    4   +0      75.78    12.03    19.86     3.67    46.97    15.38P    0.61R    0.11  
Tamworth            3    4   -1      56.38    10.73   -10.84     0.04     3.37     0.52P   13.12R    3.09  
Kidderminster       3    3   -2      65.10    11.45     2.51     0.39    15.30     3.15P    3.74R    0.76  
Barrow              3    3   -2      51.57    10.96   -20.78     0.00     1.49     0.18P   26.18R    8.35  
Wrexham             3    3   -3      64.25    10.65     1.22     0.18    11.80     2.52P    3.22R    0.61  
Newport_County      3    2   -1      46.98    12.31   -24.88     0.01     1.27     0.16P   43.11R   20.59  
York                3    2   -1      79.65    10.81    27.79     5.28    61.19    22.46P    0.10R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd       3    2   -1      67.73    11.47     9.65     0.71    21.53     5.04P    2.16R    0.37  
Kettering           3    2   -2      67.12    10.78     7.83     0.39    18.37     4.36P    1.67R    0.29  
Altrincham          3    1   -2      61.84    11.28     1.29     0.14     9.56     1.85P    6.06R    1.36  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    3    1   -3      80.04    10.95    29.63     5.78    62.82    24.43P    0.13R    0.01