Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 August 2010 at 01:45:28 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 August 2010, Man_Utd vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          1    3   +6      87.03     8.61    73.73    56.72    84.74    94.11    97.64    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        1    3   +4      39.72     9.73   -26.77     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.35     1.86    28.77R    6.66  
Aston_Villa      1    3   +3      60.52     9.40    13.37     0.40     2.27     8.11    18.02    45.03     0.26R    0.02  
Man_Utd          1    3   +3      83.09     8.82    56.44    32.31    70.83    87.26    94.25    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1      38.14     8.51   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.66    32.13R    6.98  
Blackburn        1    3   +1      45.34     9.13   -14.41     0.01     0.05     0.27     0.89     4.29    10.77R    1.66  
Birmingham       1    1   +0      45.50     8.96   -10.61     0.00     0.03     0.21     0.70     4.11     9.53R    1.39  
Sunderland       1    1   +0      45.70     9.44   -12.72     0.00     0.04     0.29     0.95     5.24    10.95R    1.67  
Arsenal          1    1   +0      72.82     9.48    38.72     6.42    22.15    48.98    67.79    88.47     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        1    1   +0      65.41     9.38    21.87     1.18     5.93    17.94    34.85    66.61     0.06R    0.00  
Bolton           1    1   +0      37.68     8.92   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.69    35.32R    8.64  
Fulham           1    1   +0      46.17     9.00    -9.01     0.00     0.04     0.22     0.88     4.74     8.56R    1.08  
Man_City         1    1   +0      66.28     9.73    25.05     1.79     7.88    21.90    39.35    69.69     0.09R    0.01  
Tottenham        1    1   +0      64.14     9.51    20.40     1.03     4.87    15.18    29.87    61.42     0.08R    0.01  
Stoke            1    0   -1      40.11     8.76   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.12    23.69R    4.55  
Everton          1    0   -1      55.15     9.61     5.01     0.08     0.63     3.03     7.84    25.09     1.46R    0.12  
Newcastle        1    0   -3      52.34    10.19    -1.19     0.07     0.46     2.10     5.44    17.87     3.82R    0.47  
West_Ham         1    0   -3      39.84     9.31   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20     1.35    27.45R    6.13  
Wigan            1    0   -4      26.35     8.12   -56.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    83.53R   55.14  
West_Brom        1    0   -6      41.74    10.30   -24.90     0.00     0.04     0.21     0.68     3.21    23.51R    5.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 August 2010, Nott'm_Forest vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Millwall          2    6   +7      78.95    12.61    26.73    22.34    36.87    68.78    45.83P    0.53R    0.09  
QPR               2    6   +7      67.54    11.99     8.67     4.49     9.67    33.13    14.80P    3.70R    0.78  
Coventry          2    4   +2      54.90    11.21   -11.98     0.29     0.85     5.98     1.77P   22.78R    6.79  
Ipswich           2    4   +2      59.11    11.38    -5.58     0.81     2.06    11.76     3.93P   13.36R    3.40  
Doncaster         2    4   +2      64.53    11.60     2.53     2.27     5.57    23.79     9.59P    5.80R    1.18  
Watford           2    4   +1      60.65    12.08    -5.63     1.36     3.30    15.77     5.73P   12.29R    3.33  
Cardiff           2    4   +1      75.03    12.04    17.95    12.82    24.31    57.19    33.25P    0.98R    0.15  
Burnley           2    4   +1      73.35    13.34    15.39    12.37    22.46    51.34    30.07P    2.28R    0.50  
Swansea           2    3   +2      64.46    10.63     5.53     1.47     4.03    21.50     8.46P    4.22R    0.70  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +0      60.11    11.27    -3.95     0.83     2.29    13.23     4.56P   11.12R    2.68  
Derby             2    3   +0      57.39    11.57    -9.07     0.59     1.62     9.25     3.09P   17.37R    5.07  
Norwich           2    3   +0      69.39    12.95     9.47     7.07    13.99    39.13    20.48P    3.90R    0.83  
Scunthorpe        2    3   +0      52.30    11.73   -19.96     0.20     0.65     4.61     1.29P   31.93R   11.94  
Hull              2    3   -2      63.80    12.96    -1.36     2.87     6.66    24.24    10.65P    9.39R    2.50  
Barnsley          2    3   -3      50.72    11.33   -23.27     0.09     0.37     3.11     0.85P   36.77R   13.89  
Leeds_United      2    1   -1      65.52    12.95     5.60     3.98     8.53    28.61    13.66P    7.16R    1.72  
Leicester         2    1   -1      69.69    11.55    11.99     5.36    11.76    39.41    19.42P    2.25R    0.36  
Reading           2    1   -1      62.00    12.09    -0.49     1.85     4.46    19.00     7.67P    9.64R    2.42  
Nott'm_Forest     2    1   -1      75.61    11.36    20.34    12.47    24.60    59.71    36.09P    0.51R    0.08  
Middlesbrough     2    1   -2      63.73    11.60     2.18     1.92     4.78    21.35     8.82P    6.73R    1.45  
Portsmouth        2    1   -2      63.81    12.51     2.18     2.81     6.35    23.49    10.68P    8.17R    2.07  
Bristol_City      2    1   -3      53.35    11.53   -15.65     0.18     0.66     5.04     1.44P   27.86R    9.70  
Sheff_Utd         2    1   -3      62.64    11.65    -0.79     1.53     4.04    19.03     7.44P    8.25R    1.93  
Preston           2    0   -6      46.16    11.52   -30.83     0.04     0.14     1.53     0.41P   53.00R   26.43  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 August 2010, Bournemouth vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham            2    6   +4      58.00    10.80    -7.20     0.24     0.79     7.96     1.96P   18.24R    2.64  
Charlton          2    6   +3      82.95    11.73    28.63    22.75    41.26    78.63    52.66P    0.22R    0.01  
Huddersfield      2    4   +3      81.73    11.97    30.86    20.56    37.87    75.56    49.25P    0.29R    0.02  
Carlisle          2    4   +2      65.66    11.92     3.26     1.88     4.87    25.40     9.06P    7.19R    0.84  
Sheff_Wed         2    4   +2      69.14    12.79     9.13     4.25     9.89    36.45    16.48P    5.24R    0.58  
Brighton          2    4   +1      64.07    11.69     0.28     1.23     3.54    20.79     7.05P    8.85R    1.13  
Plymouth          2    4   +1      65.29    12.33     2.71     1.86     5.03    24.70     9.30P    8.46R    1.25  
Bournemouth       2    3   +3      57.96    12.15    -4.92     0.53     1.50    10.42     3.29P   20.89R    4.10  
MK_Dons           1    3   +1      62.59    12.12    -3.32     1.12     3.26    18.24     6.14P   11.83R    1.88  
Walsall           2    3   +0      62.46    11.81    -2.12     0.96     2.84    17.35     5.77P   11.33R    1.70  
Yeovil            2    3   +0      60.74    11.56    -4.22     0.59     1.85    13.67     4.22P   13.82R    2.06  
Peterborough      2    3   -1      56.71    12.67   -13.20     0.51     1.50     9.82     3.08P   26.08R    5.93  
Bristol_Rovers    2    3   -2      55.83    11.55   -15.30     0.25     0.73     6.84     1.72P   26.24R    5.24  
Colchester        2    2   +0      70.70    11.74    12.65     3.95    10.06    40.52    17.70P    2.89R    0.27  
Hartlepool        2    2   +0      59.09    11.66    -5.79     0.48     1.46    11.26     3.36P   17.71R    2.93  
Rochdale          2    2   +0      59.80    12.70    -4.84     0.96     2.51    14.35     4.87P   18.34R    3.48  
Exeter            1    1   +0      55.28    11.37   -11.14     0.19     0.63     5.82     1.53P   27.09R    5.36  
Swindon           2    1   -1      70.51    11.96    13.10     4.23    10.48    40.13    18.12P    3.33R    0.36  
Tranmere          2    1   -1      46.18    10.85   -24.56     0.01     0.06     0.95     0.19P   58.01R   20.64  
Southampton       1    0   -1      84.12    11.90    35.15    27.68    45.97    81.45    58.48P    0.20R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red         1    0   -2      44.68    12.43   -31.73     0.06     0.16     1.57     0.39P   62.73R   29.28  
Leyton_Orient     2    0   -3      53.40    11.39   -14.37     0.09     0.34     4.36     1.09P   32.68R    7.55  
Brentford         2    0   -3      60.18    11.38    -3.03     0.53     1.59    12.14     3.77P   14.34R    2.28  
Notts_County      2    0   -6      70.84    12.78     9.97     5.10    11.82    41.60    20.52P    4.01R    0.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 August 2010, Aldershot vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Torquay               2    6   +5      74.40    11.27    17.29    14.74    36.81    65.98    44.67P    0.29R    0.08  
Shrewsbury            2    6   +3      68.39    10.93     7.12     5.41    18.33    44.43    24.47P    1.02R    0.37  
Wycombe               2    4   +2      76.18    12.28    19.82    20.90    44.07    69.72    51.62P    0.37R    0.10  
Cheltenham            2    4   +1      55.88    10.96   -10.90     0.55     2.68    10.51     4.05P   12.31R    5.52  
Chesterfield          2    4   +1      64.29    11.24     1.71     3.01    11.01    31.26    15.33P    2.90R    1.10  
Port_Vale             2    4   +1      70.38    10.99    10.55     7.50    23.58    52.06    31.11P    0.71R    0.21  
Rotherham             2    4   +1      65.27    10.81     3.89     3.04    11.71    33.70    16.97P    1.88R    0.65  
Aldershot             2    4   +1      71.63    11.12    12.16     9.30    27.48    56.48    35.16P    0.59R    0.19  
Hereford              2    4   +1      59.10    10.81    -5.04     0.88     4.18    16.37     6.56P    7.07R    2.95  
Bury                  2    3   +0      59.93    10.82    -3.60     1.05     5.01    18.43     7.82P    5.99R    2.43  
Bradford              2    3   -1      60.92    11.21    -3.73     1.47     6.48    21.16     9.64P    5.61R    2.35  
Gillingham            2    2   +0      70.75    11.87    12.78     9.71    26.87    53.45    34.81P    1.02R    0.37  
Stockport             2    2   +0      51.15    11.17   -14.26     0.18     1.18     5.61     2.03P   23.92R   12.79  
Accrington_Stanley    2    2   +0      56.75    11.20    -7.70     0.60     3.17    12.74     5.01P   11.22R    5.02  
Burton_Albion         2    2   +0      61.72    11.46    -0.66     1.97     8.15    24.50    11.97P    5.14R    2.11  
Macclesfield          2    1   -1      54.94    10.62    -8.32     0.28     1.89     8.79     3.28P   12.89R    5.82  
Stevenage             2    1   -1      67.83    11.53     9.32     5.76    18.54    43.46    26.06P    1.54R    0.62  
Barnet                2    1   -1      50.95    10.39   -13.63     0.09     0.70     4.10     1.33P   22.38R   11.22  
Oxford_Utd            2    1   -1      54.72    10.98    -7.57     0.44     2.08     9.13     3.64P   14.03R    6.56  
Southend              2    1   -1      68.49    12.26    10.03     7.35    21.79    45.93    28.65P    1.93R    0.69  
Morecambe             2    1   -2      64.74    11.57     3.56     3.27    12.45    33.22    17.68P    3.23R    1.29  
Northampton           2    1   -3      62.93    11.05     0.42     1.95     8.74    26.71    13.19P    3.59R    1.35  
Crewe                 2    0   -2      55.32    11.57    -9.76     0.55     2.99    11.28     4.71P   14.31R    7.00  
Lincoln_City          2    0   -3      44.49    10.11   -23.48     0.01     0.11     0.98     0.25P   46.07R   29.18  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 August 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Luton               2    6   +3      97.13    10.84    58.87    60.29    95.62    72.68P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon       2    6   +3      77.88    11.29    21.72     5.04    50.22    15.30P    0.15R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town      2    4   +3      61.39    13.12    -1.92     0.50    10.80     2.10P    8.97R    2.32  
Tamworth            2    4   +2      58.89    10.95    -6.25     0.09     4.70     0.74P    7.98R    1.50  
Gateshead           2    4   +2      54.04    11.05   -16.29     0.04     1.95     0.24P   17.45R    4.68  
Darlington          2    4   +1      62.96    12.11    -1.01     0.38    11.16     2.17P    5.62R    1.19  
Grimsby             2    4   +1      80.57    12.11    27.11     8.81    59.22    22.43P    0.15R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro     2    3   +3      48.35    10.87   -24.70     0.00     0.63     0.06P   33.95R   11.44  
Forest_Green        2    3   +1      52.82    11.41   -19.58     0.04     1.84     0.25P   21.65R    6.26  
Kidderminster       2    3   +0      68.83    11.67     8.60     1.07    21.85     4.70P    1.65R    0.27  
Southport           2    3   +0      54.30    13.32   -16.80     0.13     4.46     0.79P   21.83R    7.79  
Bath_City           2    3   +0      53.59    12.88   -17.06     0.11     3.51     0.64P   22.45R    7.74  
Histon              2    3   +0      50.89    10.94   -21.59     0.01     1.06     0.11P   25.92R    7.71  
Mansfield           2    3   -1      69.04    11.84     7.97     1.22    22.77     5.00P    1.77R    0.31  
Wrexham             2    3   -2      66.43    10.62     3.65     0.39    13.85     2.91P    1.67R    0.23  
Hayes_&_Yeading     2    3   -4      47.16    11.36   -39.13     0.00     0.62     0.06P   40.05R   15.95  
Altrincham          2    1   -1      64.90    11.39     5.00     0.38    12.94     2.55P    3.22R    0.59  
Cambridge_Utd       2    1   -1      69.61    11.67    12.45     1.26    24.09     5.83P    1.50R    0.23  
Crawley_Town        2    1   -1      58.89    11.23    -5.25     0.11     5.01     0.79P    8.76R    1.93  
Rushden_&_D'mnds    2    1   -1      84.39    11.06    38.00    12.94    73.24    33.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Newport_County      2    1   -1      48.58    12.69   -22.85     0.05     1.59     0.31P   35.84R   15.15  
York                2    1   -1      80.24    10.88    28.56     6.49    59.84    22.79P    0.05R    0.00  
Kettering           2    1   -2      68.19    10.88     8.97     0.64    18.44     4.35P    1.27R    0.19  
Barrow              2    0   -4      47.32    11.18   -28.44     0.01     0.58     0.07P   38.08R   14.49