Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 May 2010 at 21:19:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 May 2010, Arsenal vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         38   86  +71      86.00     0.00    71.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         38   85  +58      85.00     0.00    58.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         38   75  +42      75.00     0.00    42.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       38   70  +26      70.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        38   67  +28      67.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     38   64  +13      64.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       38   63  +26      63.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         38   61  +11      61.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      38   50   -9      50.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       38   50  -14      50.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           38   47  -14      47.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          38   46   -7      46.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      38   44   -8      44.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          38   39  -25      39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   38   38  -24      38.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           38   36  -42      36.00     0.00   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        38   35  -19      35.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley         38   30  -40      30.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hull            38   30  -41      30.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      38   19  -32      19.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 May 2010, Blackpool vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        27   64  +38     106.83     5.46    68.31    95.11    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        29   59  +24      93.58     5.59    44.50     4.88    96.09    99.97    97.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        33   57  +15      78.94     4.82    21.36     0.00     2.11    92.99    28.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        32   53  +16      73.87     5.40    18.80     0.00     0.48    67.62    15.60P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    32   50  +14      72.85     5.19    19.47     0.00     0.27    62.53    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        33   48   +6      66.58     4.95     7.09     0.00     0.01    15.43     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   47   +7      67.94     5.18     9.51     0.00     0.01    24.13     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          31   46   +0      64.15     5.27    -2.21     0.00     0.01     7.38     1.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     30   45   +9      72.83     5.63    18.20     0.00     0.33    60.55    15.59P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        27   40  +11      72.44     6.45    21.01     0.00     0.69    58.02    16.55P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR              31   40   -5      57.78     5.37   -10.01     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.12P    0.46R    0.00  
Bristol_City     35   40  -16      52.51     4.37   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.63R    0.01  
Reading          32   39   -1      60.15     5.28     1.51     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.31P    0.17R    0.00  
Derby            32   36   -5      55.67     5.26    -4.28     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    1.52R    0.03  
Coventry         27   35   -6      56.58     6.45   -12.39     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.18P    2.30R    0.03  
Ipswich          33   35  -14      53.80     5.12   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.81R    0.11  
Scunthorpe       29   32  -12      52.76     5.88   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    7.54R    0.15  
Barnsley         28   32  -13      53.02     6.12   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    7.36R    0.19  
Sheff_Wed        28   27  -18      43.09     5.65   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.14R    8.45  
Watford          24   26   -4      54.48     7.10    -8.03     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.24P    6.04R    0.35  
Preston          21   26   -8      58.66     7.99   -13.60     0.00     0.03     5.29     0.83P    3.56R    0.23  
Peterborough     31   26  -21      36.65     4.45   -40.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.16R   41.90  
Crystal_Palace   23   18   +0      50.37     7.64     1.38     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.11P   17.51R    1.52  
Plymouth         22   16  -17      36.49     6.98   -37.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.79R   47.02  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 May 2010, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     36   64  +26      80.33     4.44    29.92     1.14     6.62    90.04    27.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          34   63  +15      81.39     4.80    18.02     2.29     9.67    90.40    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         33   61  +19      85.11     4.98    28.49     8.62    29.15    97.36    46.36P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         31   60  +28      90.13     5.25    43.18    42.29    74.04    99.61    82.17P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          29   60  +26      90.49     5.95    38.09    43.89    72.27    99.35    78.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   48  +28      79.37     5.64    42.78     1.70     7.80    82.51    35.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   47   -7      61.18     4.61   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.16R    0.00  
Walsall          28   44   +5      69.36     6.31     6.07     0.05     0.30    14.98     2.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Colchester       30   43   +3      67.61     5.67     7.16     0.00     0.04     7.81     1.41P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons          32   43   -3      62.57     5.31    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.14P    0.26R    0.00  
Tranmere         31   39  -14      54.31     5.18   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     9.37R    0.00  
Brentford        28   37   -2      62.88     6.33    -0.25     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.45P    0.97R    0.00  
Gillingham       33   37  -14      52.00     4.85   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.94R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   36   +6      63.38     6.40     9.97     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.76P    0.46R    0.00  
Hartlepool       32   36   -9      52.91     5.26   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.46R    0.00  
Brighton         27   35   +3      59.45     6.54     0.46     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.19P    2.69R    0.00  
Carlisle         26   34   -4      64.02     6.96    -0.37     0.00     0.04     4.68     0.80P    0.88R    0.00  
Huddersfield     25   32   +0      63.91     7.23     4.75     0.01     0.06     5.39     0.97P    1.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           29   29   -8      49.38     5.96   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.05R    0.07  
Exeter           28   26   -9      46.55     6.10   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.14R    0.61  
Oldham           25   26  -13      49.49     6.89   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    38.31R    0.34  
Wycombe          30   26  -17      46.80     5.78   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.17R    0.44  
Southend         24   22  -16      42.77     6.84   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.99R    2.68  
Stockport        33   21  -43      28.75     3.94   -61.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   95.85  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 May 2010, Barnet vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rotherham            30   54  +10      77.41     5.87    12.44     1.68    47.37    88.79    57.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        35   51   +7      66.12     4.58     6.53     0.00     0.91    20.94     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         25   49  +34      95.41     6.33    62.08    94.39    99.46    99.98    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            29   49   +5      72.34     6.20     5.08     0.36    18.80    62.73    27.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          28   48  +10      78.21     6.42    18.02     2.05    54.75    89.46    64.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 31   48   -1      66.89     5.58    -3.69     0.03     2.83    26.32     7.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   47   +1      69.03     5.96     1.18     0.04     7.26    42.00    14.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          29   46  +11      72.05     6.18    15.04     0.29    19.25    64.39    32.75P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   46   -2      60.54     4.92    -6.47     0.00     0.10     3.73     0.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale            31   44   +8      68.14     5.55    13.25     0.04     5.12    39.34    15.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Hereford             32   43   -4      58.60     5.21   -10.12     0.00     0.04     1.92     0.41P    0.37R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            27   41   +5      69.75     6.77     9.22     0.12    13.09    48.87    21.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         31   41   +3      60.04     5.48     1.04     0.00     0.14     4.17     1.19P    0.20R    0.00  
Chesterfield         30   41   -6      63.23     5.96    -5.59     0.00     0.95    12.71     3.30P    0.11R    0.00  
Aldershot            28   40   +2      65.77     6.49     3.56     0.02     3.82    25.94     9.19P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             24   37  +13      72.33     7.37    21.23     0.99    25.97    64.63    37.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               33   37   -5      51.73     4.99    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    6.51R    0.01  
Torquay              31   34   +1      54.41     5.47     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.13P    2.74R    0.00  
Grimsby              30   34   -6      51.79     5.66   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    8.78R    0.01  
Bradford             27   34   -7      57.06     6.49   -11.36     0.00     0.12     2.79     0.64P    2.97R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         33   33  -18      45.79     4.61   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.74R    0.24  
Cheltenham           31   31  -13      49.68     5.48   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.37R    0.09  
Crewe                26   29   -6      51.24     6.71   -15.71     0.00     0.03     0.52     0.15P   15.11R    0.06  
Darlington           36   23  -42      29.33     3.40   -53.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   99.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Eastbourne_Boro vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         35   70  +30      88.47     3.65    39.53     9.20    99.49    39.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          27   58  +30      95.41     5.20    53.70    78.36    99.83    85.44P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   56  +18      78.74     4.95    24.27     0.46    60.85    10.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       26   50   +8      79.38     6.27    15.30     0.95    60.56     8.49P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   27   49  +27      80.03     5.92    39.12     1.57    71.29    19.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   49  +25      86.12     5.75    45.96     9.45    93.24    33.83P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      31   45   +5      63.66     4.92     6.72     0.00     0.43     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   39   +5      62.96     5.85     6.10     0.00     1.09     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   37   +8      67.17     6.22    16.90     0.00     4.96     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   37   +8      66.55     6.56    13.60     0.00     4.87     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          28   36   +0      55.78     5.62    -3.83     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           28   36   -1      58.21     5.69     0.01     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            27   35   +7      61.47     5.95    12.30     0.00     0.56     0.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Kettering          24   35   +4      64.01     6.77     6.87     0.00     2.75     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         28   33   -1      51.15     5.49    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.01  
Histon             32   31  -26      42.01     4.29   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.97R    1.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    27   30  -21      44.38     5.30   -37.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.97R    0.98  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   28  -17      40.08     5.08   -39.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.89R    6.06  
Grays_Athletic     33   27  -32      34.39     3.63   -44.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.93R   37.92  
Hayes_&_Yeading    28   26  -19      39.00     4.94   -35.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.22R    9.10  
Gateshead          33   26  -31      33.99     3.75   -42.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.77R   41.59  
Forest_Green       27   25  -14      47.85     6.08   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.33R    0.36  
Barrow             26   24  -13      42.81     5.83   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.31R    2.98  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1