Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 8 May 2010 at 21:20:18 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 May 2010, Fulham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         37   83  +63      85.88     0.52    66.92    95.78   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         37   82  +54      84.54     0.93    55.90     4.22   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         37   72  +38      74.30     1.11    39.46     0.00     0.00    92.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       37   70  +28      72.11     1.22    29.18     0.00     0.00     7.25   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        37   66  +28      67.74     1.32    28.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   64  +14      66.18     1.16    15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.74     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       37   62  +26      64.08     1.21    27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.26     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   58  +10      60.41     1.05    11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   50   -8      51.23     1.26    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           37   47  -10      47.31     0.72   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   47  -15      47.60     1.00   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   46   -3      46.52     0.96    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      37   44   -7      45.34     1.28    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          37   36  -26      37.47     1.29   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   36  -34      36.08     0.40   -37.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   37   35  -25      36.36     1.28   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        37   34  -19      35.04     1.27   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   29  -41      29.70     1.08   -42.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley         37   27  -42      27.69     1.09   -43.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      37   19  -31      19.43     0.89   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 May 2010, Blackpool vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        46  102  +55     102.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        46   91  +41      91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     46   79  +25      79.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   76  +16      76.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.26P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   70  +16      70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          46   69   +3      69.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   65   +7      65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   63   -9      63.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   62   +8      62.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   60   +1      60.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              46   57   -7      57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   56  -10      56.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   56  -11      56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   54   -7      54.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   54  -15      54.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   54  -16      54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   54  -17      54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   49   -3      49.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   47  -20      47.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         46   41  -25      41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     46   34  -34      34.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 May 2010, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          46   95  +42      95.00     0.00    42.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     46   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   85  +32      85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.09P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         46   84  +23      84.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   82  +16      82.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.17P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   80  +26      80.00     0.00    26.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      46   73  +38      73.00     0.00    38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   72  +12      72.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        46   62   +3      62.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   62   -3      62.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   62  -11      62.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   60   -8      60.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   59   -4      59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   58   -3      58.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           46   53   -4      53.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   53   -8      53.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   52  -18      52.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   51  -10      51.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   51  -12      51.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   51  -27      51.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   50  -16      50.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wycombe          46   45  -20      45.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southend         46   43  -21      43.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stockport        46   25  -60      25.00     0.00   -60.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 May 2010, Barnet vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         46   93  +65      93.00     0.00    65.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          46   83  +17      83.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   82  +34      82.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   73   +9      73.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   73   +3      73.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.97P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            46   72  +13      72.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.02P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   72  +11      72.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   70   -1      70.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   69   -5      69.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   68  +11      68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   67   +9      67.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   63   +1      63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   62   +0      62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   62   -3      62.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   61  -12      61.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             46   59  -11      59.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              46   57   +9      57.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                46   55   -5      55.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         46   54   -9      54.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   50  -23      50.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   48  -16      48.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   48  -17      48.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   44  -26      44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Darlington           46   30  -54      30.00     0.00   -54.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Altrincham vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          44   99  +55      99.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   88  +44      88.00     0.00    44.00     0.00   100.00    28.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    27.35P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   79  +38      79.00     0.00    38.00     0.00   100.00    24.01P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   78  +27      78.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   66  +10      66.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   64  +14      64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   62   +9      62.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   59  +12      59.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   58   +6      58.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          44   58   -5      58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   57   +5      57.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         44   54   +2      54.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   52  -17      52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   48  -26      48.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             44   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   46  -30      46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   45  -23      45.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -26      45.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   44  -32      44.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     44   28  -56      28.00     0.00   -56.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1