Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 6 May 2010 at 21:20:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 May 2010, Fulham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         37   83  +63      85.88     0.52    66.94    95.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         37   82  +54      84.53     0.94    55.88     4.25   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         37   72  +38      74.29     1.12    39.45     0.00     0.00    92.87   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       37   70  +28      72.11     1.21    29.18     0.00     0.00     7.13   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        37   66  +28      67.74     1.33    28.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   64  +14      66.19     1.16    15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.65     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       37   62  +26      64.07     1.22    27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.35     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   58  +10      60.42     1.05    11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   50   -8      51.23     1.26    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           37   47  -10      47.32     0.74   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   47  -15      47.59     0.99   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          37   46   -3      46.52     0.96    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      37   44   -7      45.36     1.28    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          37   36  -26      37.47     1.29   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   36  -34      36.08     0.40   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   37   35  -25      36.34     1.28   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        37   34  -19      35.04     1.27   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   29  -41      29.71     1.09   -42.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley         37   27  -42      27.69     1.09   -43.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      37   19  -31      19.43     0.89   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 May 2010, Blackpool vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        46  102  +55     102.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        46   91  +41      91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     46   79  +25      79.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   76  +16      76.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   70  +16      70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          46   69   +3      69.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   65   +7      65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   63   -9      63.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   62   +8      62.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   60   +1      60.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              46   57   -7      57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   56  -10      56.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   56  -11      56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   54   -7      54.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   54  -15      54.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   54  -16      54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   54  -17      54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   49   -3      49.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   47  -20      47.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         46   41  -25      41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     46   34  -34      34.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 May 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          45   95  +44      97.37     1.09    45.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   83  +32      85.27     1.13    33.45     0.00    75.18   100.00    83.24P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   82  +31      83.92     1.27    31.80     0.00    17.34   100.00    44.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   82  +17      82.85     1.16    16.20     0.00     6.17   100.00    23.08P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   81  +21      82.60     1.27    21.33     0.00     1.26   100.00    24.67P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   80  +27      81.62     1.31    27.37     0.00     0.05   100.00    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   70  +36      72.40     1.06    37.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +11      70.94     1.26    11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   62  -10      62.54     0.98   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        45   61   +3      62.83     1.28     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   60   -7      61.02     1.24    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   59   -4      60.74     1.31    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   56   -5      57.63     1.30    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   55   -5      55.47     0.94    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           45   53   -3      54.10     1.25    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   52   -8      52.93     1.19    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   52  -16      53.10     1.21   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   51   -9      51.82     1.15    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   50  -13      51.16     1.27   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.80R    0.00  
Exeter           45   48  -13      49.12     1.26   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.81R    0.00  
Tranmere         45   48  -30      49.41     1.29   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.39R    0.00  
Southend         45   43  -19      43.44     0.90   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wycombe          45   42  -23      43.58     1.31   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stockport        45   25  -57      26.31     1.28   -57.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 May 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         45   92  +65      93.96     1.25    65.86   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          45   83  +18      84.44     1.29    18.11     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   82  +35      83.87     1.27    35.73     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   73   +6      74.44     1.29     6.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.68P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   72  +14      73.23     1.31    13.76     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.41P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   70   +8      71.54     1.33     8.24     0.00     0.00    83.18    19.35P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   69   +9      71.06     1.22    10.02     0.00     0.00    75.53    19.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   68   -5      68.95     1.19    -5.60     0.00     0.00    13.44     2.30P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   67  +11      68.69     1.29    11.45     0.00     0.00    22.55     6.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   67   -2      68.28     1.27    -2.11     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   66   +9      67.79     1.28     9.60     0.00     0.00     3.03     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   62   +1      63.03     1.21     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   60  -12      61.22     1.31   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   59   -3      60.95     1.27    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   59   -4      60.13     1.29    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   56   +9      56.80     1.14     8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             45   56  -14      57.27     1.28   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   55   -4      56.64     1.33    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         45   53   -9      54.35     1.27    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         45   49  -23      50.35     1.27   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   47  -17      48.55     1.34   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               45   45  -17      45.88     1.18   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.21R    0.00  
Grimsby              45   44  -23      44.83     1.17   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.77R    0.00  
Darlington           45   30  -52      30.72     1.09   -53.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Altrincham vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          44   99  +55      99.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   88  +44      88.00     0.00    44.00     0.00   100.00    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    27.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   79  +38      79.00     0.00    38.00     0.00   100.00    23.89P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   78  +27      78.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.93P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   66  +10      66.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   64  +14      64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   62   +9      62.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   59  +12      59.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   58   +6      58.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          44   58   -5      58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   57   +5      57.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         44   54   +2      54.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   52  -17      52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   48  -26      48.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             44   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   46  -30      46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   45  -23      45.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -26      45.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   44  -32      44.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     44   28  -56      28.00     0.00   -56.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1