Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 May 2010 at 21:20:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 May 2010, Blackburn vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         37   83  +63      85.88     0.52    66.95    95.65   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         37   82  +54      84.56     0.91    55.97     4.35   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         37   72  +38      74.29     1.12    39.45     0.00     0.00    97.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   67  +27      70.07     1.76    27.49     0.00     0.00     1.91    51.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        36   66  +29      69.55     1.88    30.25     0.00     0.00     0.17    48.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   64  +14      66.19     1.16    15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.52     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       37   62  +26      64.09     1.21    27.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   58  +10      60.42     1.04    11.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   50   -8      51.23     1.26    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   47  -15      47.59     0.99   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   46   -2      48.32     1.57    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      37   44   -7      45.35     1.28    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   44  -11      45.17     1.33   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          37   36  -26      37.48     1.29   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   36  -34      36.08     0.41   -37.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   37   35  -25      36.35     1.28   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        37   34  -19      35.02     1.26   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            37   29  -41      29.70     1.08   -42.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley         37   27  -42      27.71     1.11   -43.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      37   19  -31      19.42     0.88   -32.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 May 2010, Blackpool vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        46  102  +55     102.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        46   91  +41      91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     46   79  +25      79.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        46   76  +16      76.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.99P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   70  +16      70.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          46   69   +3      69.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   65   +7      65.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   63   -9      63.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    46   62   +8      62.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   60   +1      60.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              46   57   -7      57.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   56  -10      56.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   56  -11      56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   54   -7      54.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   54  -15      54.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   54  -16      54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   54  -17      54.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   52  -22      52.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   49   -3      49.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   47  -20      47.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Plymouth         46   41  -25      41.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     46   34  -34      34.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 May 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          45   95  +44      97.36     1.09    45.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   83  +32      85.27     1.14    33.45     0.00    74.84   100.00    82.93P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   82  +31      83.91     1.27    31.81     0.00    17.49   100.00    45.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   82  +17      82.85     1.17    16.19     0.00     6.32   100.00    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   81  +21      82.60     1.28    21.34     0.00     1.29   100.00    24.58P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   80  +27      81.63     1.31    27.38     0.00     0.06   100.00    24.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   70  +36      72.41     1.05    37.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +11      70.95     1.25    11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   62  -10      62.55     0.99   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        45   61   +3      62.83     1.28     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   60   -7      61.02     1.24    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   59   -4      60.74     1.31    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   56   -5      57.63     1.30    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   55   -5      55.48     0.94    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           45   53   -3      54.11     1.25    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   52   -8      52.92     1.19    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   52  -16      53.09     1.21   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   51   -9      51.81     1.13    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   50  -13      51.17     1.27   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.87R    0.00  
Exeter           45   48  -13      49.11     1.26   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.34R    0.00  
Tranmere         45   48  -30      49.43     1.30   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.78R    0.00  
Southend         45   43  -19      43.43     0.89   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wycombe          45   42  -23      43.57     1.31   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stockport        45   25  -57      26.29     1.28   -57.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 May 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         45   92  +65      93.96     1.25    65.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          45   83  +18      84.46     1.30    18.14     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   82  +35      83.90     1.27    35.77     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   73   +6      74.44     1.29     6.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   72  +14      73.22     1.31    13.75     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.09P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   70   +8      71.54     1.34     8.25     0.00     0.00    83.07    19.47P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   69   +9      71.06     1.22    10.02     0.00     0.00    75.19    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   68   -5      68.95     1.19    -5.59     0.00     0.00    13.70     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   67  +11      68.69     1.28    11.46     0.00     0.00    22.75     6.24P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   67   -2      68.25     1.27    -2.14     0.00     0.00     2.24     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   66   +9      67.79     1.28     9.59     0.00     0.00     3.06     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   62   +1      63.02     1.21     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   60  -12      61.22     1.30   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   59   -3      60.98     1.26    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   59   -4      60.13     1.29    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   56   +9      56.80     1.13     8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             45   56  -14      57.27     1.27   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   55   -4      56.65     1.34    -3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         45   53   -9      54.35     1.27    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         45   49  -23      50.34     1.27   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   47  -17      48.54     1.33   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               45   45  -17      45.86     1.17   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.74R    0.00  
Grimsby              45   44  -23      44.81     1.16   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.24R    0.00  
Darlington           45   30  -52      30.72     1.09   -53.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Altrincham vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          44   99  +55      99.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   88  +44      88.00     0.00    44.00     0.00   100.00    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    27.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   79  +38      79.00     0.00    38.00     0.00   100.00    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   78  +27      78.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.97P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   66  +10      66.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   64  +14      64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   62   +9      62.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   59  +12      59.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   58   +6      58.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          44   58   -5      58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   57   +5      57.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         44   54   +2      54.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   52  -17      52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   48  -26      48.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             44   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   46  -30      46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   45  -23      45.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -26      45.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   44  -32      44.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     44   28  -56      28.00     0.00   -56.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1