Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 May 2010 at 21:20:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 May 2010, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         36   80  +61      84.23     1.43    64.80    67.87   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         36   79  +53      83.54     1.56    55.88    32.13   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   72  +39      76.20     1.71    41.22     0.00     0.00    99.58   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   67  +27      70.08     1.76    27.50     0.00     0.00     0.38    51.48   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        36   66  +29      69.54     1.88    30.23     0.00     0.00     0.04    48.10    97.74     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     37   64  +14      66.22     1.14    15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.85     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   62  +28      65.50     1.80    29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42    43.41     0.00     0.00  
Everton         37   58  +10      60.42     1.05    11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      37   50   -8      51.21     1.26    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   44   -6      46.14     1.72    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   44  -11      45.18     1.32   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   44  -16      45.44     1.55   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   43   -3      47.23     2.02    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          37   36  -26      37.50     1.29   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   37   35  -25      36.36     1.28   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   35  -34      36.96     1.36   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   34  -18      35.84     1.70   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            36   28  -41      29.56     1.61   -42.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley         37   27  -42      27.71     1.11   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      37   19  -31      19.42     0.89   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 April 2010, Crystal_Palace vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        45   99  +54     100.95     1.26    54.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        45   90  +41      92.45     1.03    42.93     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     45   78  +25      79.78     1.30    25.60     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   76  +21      77.53     1.32    21.24     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   73  +14      74.69     1.28    14.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.61P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   69  +16      71.06     1.24    17.10     0.00     0.00    83.90    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   68   +3      69.61     1.25     3.34     0.00     0.00    16.10     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   62  +10      63.02     1.20     9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   62   +4      63.24     1.27     3.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   62   -9      62.73     1.12   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          45   60   +2      61.93     1.28     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   59   +1      60.05     1.18     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              45   57   -6      57.82     1.15    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56   -8      57.48     1.30    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   54  -12      54.85     1.19   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54  -13      55.61     1.31   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   53  -12      54.21     1.28   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   53  -16      53.41     0.88   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   51  -11      52.12     1.26   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   51  -22      51.98     1.22   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   48   -3      49.30     1.27    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.81R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   46  -20      47.40     1.28   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.19R    0.00  
Plymouth         45   41  -24      42.77     1.29   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     45   31  -35      31.97     1.20   -35.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 May 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          45   95  +44      97.36     1.10    45.71   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     45   83  +32      85.27     1.14    33.44     0.00    75.06   100.00    83.10P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   82  +31      83.90     1.27    31.79     0.00    17.46   100.00    44.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   82  +17      82.86     1.17    16.21     0.00     6.11   100.00    23.40P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         45   81  +21      82.61     1.27    21.34     0.00     1.30   100.00    24.74P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   80  +27      81.62     1.31    27.37     0.00     0.07   100.00    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      45   70  +36      72.39     1.07    37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   69  +11      70.96     1.25    11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   62  -10      62.55     0.99   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        45   61   +3      62.83     1.28     3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   60   -7      61.02     1.24    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   59   -4      60.74     1.31    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         45   56   -5      57.62     1.30    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   55   -5      55.48     0.95    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           45   53   -3      54.11     1.25    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   52   -8      52.92     1.19    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   52  -16      53.08     1.21   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   51   -9      51.80     1.13    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   50  -13      51.18     1.27   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.00  
Exeter           45   48  -13      49.12     1.26   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.71R    0.00  
Tranmere         45   48  -30      49.41     1.30   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.70R    0.00  
Southend         45   43  -19      43.45     0.91   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wycombe          45   42  -23      43.56     1.31   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stockport        45   25  -57      26.31     1.29   -57.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 May 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         45   92  +65      93.96     1.25    65.86   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          45   83  +18      84.46     1.29    18.14     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   82  +35      83.89     1.27    35.75     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   73   +6      74.43     1.29     6.11     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   72  +14      73.24     1.31    13.76     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.68P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   70   +8      71.53     1.34     8.24     0.00     0.00    82.70    18.81P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   69   +9      71.05     1.22    10.01     0.00     0.00    75.60    19.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   68   -5      68.95     1.19    -5.59     0.00     0.00    13.58     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   67  +11      68.70     1.28    11.47     0.00     0.00    22.94     6.16P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   67   -2      68.25     1.27    -2.14     0.00     0.00     2.18     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   66   +9      67.79     1.28     9.59     0.00     0.00     3.01     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   62   +1      63.02     1.21     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   60  -12      61.23     1.31   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   59   -3      60.97     1.26    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   59   -4      60.12     1.29    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   56   +9      56.80     1.13     8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             45   56  -14      57.28     1.27   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                45   55   -4      56.65     1.33    -3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         45   53   -9      54.35     1.28    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         45   49  -23      50.35     1.28   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   47  -17      48.53     1.33   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               45   45  -17      45.87     1.17   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.82R    0.00  
Grimsby              45   44  -23      44.81     1.16   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.16R    0.00  
Darlington           45   30  -52      30.72     1.09   -53.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Altrincham vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          44   99  +55      99.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   88  +44      88.00     0.00    44.00     0.00   100.00    29.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    27.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   79  +38      79.00     0.00    38.00     0.00   100.00    23.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   78  +27      78.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    19.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   66  +10      66.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   64  +14      64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   62   +9      62.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   59  +12      59.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   58   +6      58.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          44   58   -5      58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   57   +5      57.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         44   54   +2      54.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   52  -17      52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   48  -26      48.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             44   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   46  -30      46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   45  -23      45.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -26      45.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   44  -32      44.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     44   28  -56      28.00     0.00   -56.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1