Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 30 April 2010 at 21:20:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 April 2010, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         36   80  +61      84.22     1.43    64.78    67.09   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         36   79  +53      83.56     1.56    55.95    32.91   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   72  +39      76.19     1.72    41.22     0.00     0.00    99.62   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   64  +26      69.66     2.03    28.73     0.00     0.00     0.34    56.04    96.59     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   64  +16      67.14     1.67    16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.58    72.64     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   63  +27      68.34     2.30    28.87     0.00     0.00     0.04    35.72    85.48     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   62  +28      65.50     1.78    29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66    45.29     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   57  +10      60.87     1.67    11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      36   47   -9      50.37     1.75    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   44   -6      46.11     1.72    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   44  -16      45.43     1.54   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   43   -3      47.23     2.04    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   43  -11      45.48     1.87   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          36   36  -25      37.81     1.52   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   35  -23      37.50     1.78   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   35  -34      36.97     1.35   -37.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   34  -18      35.88     1.71   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            36   28  -41      29.55     1.59   -42.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley         36   27  -41      28.35     1.53   -43.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      36   16  -33      17.95     1.54   -34.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 April 2010, Crystal_Palace vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        45   99  +54     100.96     1.26    54.87   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        45   90  +41      92.46     1.03    42.93     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     45   78  +25      79.77     1.30    25.59     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   76  +21      77.53     1.31    21.23     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   73  +14      74.70     1.28    14.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.23P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   69  +16      71.07     1.23    17.12     0.00     0.00    84.05    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   68   +3      69.61     1.25     3.34     0.00     0.00    15.95     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   62  +10      63.01     1.20     9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   62   +4      63.24     1.27     3.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   62   -9      62.73     1.12   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          45   60   +2      61.94     1.28     2.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   59   +1      60.06     1.18     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              45   57   -6      57.81     1.15    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56   -8      57.48     1.30    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   54  -12      54.85     1.19   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54  -13      55.63     1.31   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   53  -12      54.21     1.28   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   53  -16      53.40     0.87   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   51  -11      52.11     1.26   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   51  -22      51.98     1.22   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   48   -3      49.29     1.26    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.75R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   46  -20      47.41     1.28   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.25R    0.00  
Plymouth         45   41  -24      42.76     1.28   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     45   31  -35      31.97     1.20   -35.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Brentford vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          44   92  +41      96.14     1.72    43.31   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   83  +33      86.51     1.73    34.27     0.00    56.27   100.00    71.37P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   82  +33      85.96     1.77    34.77     0.00    42.89   100.00    63.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   79  +16      81.58     1.73    15.71     0.00     0.64   100.00    18.52P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   78  +20      81.03     1.84    20.42     0.00     0.19   100.00    21.93P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   77  +26      80.45     1.85    27.06     0.00     0.02   100.00    24.75P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   70  +37      74.23     1.67    39.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +12      71.92     1.75    12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   62   -7      63.54     1.61    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        44   61   +4      63.78     1.77     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   59   -7      61.70     1.83    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   58   -4      60.82     1.83    -3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   55   -5      57.75     1.83    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   54   -5      56.17     1.65    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   52  -13      54.11     1.71   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   51   -8      53.68     1.77    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   50   -6      52.79     1.79    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   48  -11      50.56     1.73   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.00  
Exeter           44   47  -13      49.12     1.76   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.65R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   47  -14      49.05     1.75   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.26R    0.00  
Tranmere         44   45  -32      47.13     1.70   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.68R    0.00  
Wycombe          44   42  -21      44.60     1.81   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.89R    0.00  
Southend         44   40  -20      42.58     1.49   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stockport        44   25  -56      26.97     1.67   -57.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         44   89  +60      93.48     1.59    62.87   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   82  +36      86.14     1.73    38.27     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          44   80  +14      82.90     1.82    14.25     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   72   +6      75.19     1.85     6.68     0.00     0.00    99.64    23.61P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   69  +12      72.31     1.79    12.80     0.00     0.00    82.40    22.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   68   -2      70.46     1.80    -2.39     0.00     0.00    41.18     7.73P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   67  +15      69.90     1.78    15.27     0.00     0.00    45.63    13.93P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   67   +7      69.72     1.85     6.98     0.00     0.00    32.11     7.80P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   67   +0      69.68     1.86    -0.09     0.00     0.00    27.22     5.43P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   66  +11      69.17     1.85    11.62     0.00     0.00    30.00     8.26P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   66   +8      70.03     1.76     9.94     0.00     0.00    41.81    10.73P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   62   +2      64.52     1.78     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   57  -14      59.59     1.87   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   56   -4      58.55     1.65    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   56   -6      58.40     1.84    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             44   56  -13      58.13     1.75   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   54   -4      56.70     1.83    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   53   +6      55.06     1.73     4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   53   -7      56.60     1.73    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   49  -21      51.01     1.67   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   47  -12      48.93     1.55   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               44   45  -15      47.15     1.74   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.64R    0.00  
Grimsby              44   41  -25      43.25     1.76   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.36R    0.00  
Darlington           44   27  -54      28.25     1.45   -56.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Altrincham vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          44   99  +55      99.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   88  +44      88.00     0.00    44.00     0.00   100.00    29.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    27.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   79  +38      79.00     0.00    38.00     0.00   100.00    23.48P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   78  +27      78.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   66  +10      66.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   64  +14      64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   62   +9      62.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   59  +12      59.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   58   +6      58.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          44   58   -5      58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   57   +5      57.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         44   54   +2      54.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   52  -17      52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   48  -26      48.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             44   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   46  -30      46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   45  -23      45.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -26      45.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   44  -32      44.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     44   28  -56      28.00     0.00   -56.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1