Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 29 April 2010 at 21:20:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 April 2010, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         36   80  +61      84.23     1.42    64.80    67.63   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         36   79  +53      83.56     1.56    55.93    32.37   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   72  +39      76.19     1.70    41.22     0.00     0.00    99.61   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   64  +26      69.67     2.03    28.74     0.00     0.00     0.34    56.24    96.60     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   64  +16      67.13     1.66    16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.59    72.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   63  +27      68.33     2.31    28.85     0.00     0.00     0.05    35.44    85.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   62  +28      65.50     1.79    29.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.73    45.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   57  +10      60.86     1.66    11.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      36   47   -9      50.37     1.75    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   44   -6      46.12     1.72    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   44  -16      45.43     1.54   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   43   -3      47.22     2.03    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           35   43  -11      45.49     1.87   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          36   36  -25      37.81     1.52   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   35  -23      37.50     1.78   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           36   35  -34      36.97     1.35   -37.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   34  -18      35.88     1.71   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            36   28  -41      29.55     1.60   -42.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley         36   27  -41      28.35     1.53   -43.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      36   16  -33      17.96     1.55   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 April 2010, Crystal_Palace vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        45   99  +54     100.95     1.26    54.86   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        45   90  +41      92.45     1.04    42.90     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     45   78  +25      79.76     1.30    25.57     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   76  +21      77.53     1.32    21.24     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   73  +14      74.69     1.28    14.45     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   69  +16      71.08     1.23    17.14     0.00     0.00    84.04    16.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   68   +3      69.61     1.25     3.34     0.00     0.00    15.96     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   62  +10      63.02     1.20     9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   62   +4      63.24     1.27     3.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   62   -9      62.72     1.11   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          45   60   +2      61.94     1.28     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   59   +1      60.05     1.18     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              45   57   -6      57.82     1.15    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56   -8      57.48     1.30    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   54  -12      54.85     1.18   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54  -13      55.62     1.31   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   53  -12      54.21     1.28   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   53  -16      53.41     0.89   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   51  -11      52.12     1.26   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   51  -22      51.99     1.22   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   48   -3      49.31     1.27    -3.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.37R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   46  -20      47.39     1.28   -19.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.63R    0.00  
Plymouth         45   41  -24      42.77     1.29   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     45   31  -35      31.97     1.21   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Brentford vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          44   92  +41      96.11     1.73    43.27   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   83  +33      86.54     1.74    34.31     0.00    57.02   100.00    71.87P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   82  +33      85.95     1.77    34.76     0.00    42.14   100.00    62.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   79  +16      81.60     1.73    15.73     0.00     0.67   100.00    18.60P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   78  +20      81.02     1.84    20.41     0.00     0.16   100.00    22.48P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   77  +26      80.48     1.85    27.10     0.00     0.01   100.00    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   70  +37      74.23     1.66    39.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +12      71.89     1.75    12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   62   -7      63.55     1.61    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        44   61   +4      63.77     1.77     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   59   -7      61.69     1.83    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   58   -4      60.82     1.85    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   55   -5      57.78     1.84    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   54   -5      56.17     1.65    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   52  -13      54.09     1.71   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   51   -8      53.68     1.76    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   50   -6      52.81     1.79    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   48  -11      50.57     1.73   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.00  
Exeter           44   47  -13      49.10     1.76   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.81R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   47  -14      49.05     1.75   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         44   45  -32      47.13     1.70   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.57R    0.00  
Wycombe          44   42  -21      44.59     1.81   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.10R    0.00  
Southend         44   40  -20      42.56     1.50   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stockport        44   25  -56      26.99     1.68   -57.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         44   89  +60      93.50     1.58    62.87   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   82  +36      86.11     1.74    38.20     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          44   80  +14      82.89     1.83    14.25     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   72   +6      75.19     1.86     6.69     0.00     0.00    99.56    23.48P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   69  +12      72.30     1.80    12.79     0.00     0.00    82.37    22.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   68   -2      70.45     1.79    -2.40     0.00     0.00    40.99     7.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   67  +15      69.88     1.79    15.25     0.00     0.00    45.50    13.92P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   67   +7      69.72     1.86     6.96     0.00     0.00    32.40     7.64P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   67   +0      69.68     1.86    -0.08     0.00     0.00    27.35     5.58P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   66  +11      69.17     1.84    11.61     0.00     0.00    29.84     8.24P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   66   +8      70.02     1.76     9.93     0.00     0.00    41.97    10.66P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   62   +2      64.54     1.79     1.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   57  -14      59.59     1.87   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   56   -4      58.57     1.67    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   56   -6      58.43     1.84    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             44   56  -13      58.13     1.74   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   54   -4      56.68     1.83    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   53   +6      55.06     1.73     4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   53   -7      56.61     1.74    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   49  -21      51.02     1.68   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   47  -12      48.93     1.55   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               44   45  -15      47.16     1.74   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.52R    0.00  
Grimsby              44   41  -25      43.25     1.76   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.47R    0.00  
Darlington           44   27  -54      28.26     1.46   -56.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Altrincham vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          44   99  +55      99.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   88  +44      88.00     0.00    44.00     0.00   100.00    28.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   79  +38      79.00     0.00    38.00     0.00   100.00    23.83P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   78  +27      78.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    20.24P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   66  +10      66.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   64  +14      64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   62   +9      62.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   59  +12      59.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   58   +6      58.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          44   58   -5      58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   57   +5      57.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         44   54   +2      54.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   52  -17      52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   48  -26      48.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             44   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   46  -30      46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   45  -23      45.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -26      45.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   44  -32      44.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     44   28  -56      28.00     0.00   -56.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1