Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 April 2010 at 21:20:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         36   79  +53      83.46     1.59    55.67    40.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   77  +54      83.72     1.75    59.51    59.25    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   72  +39      76.20     1.71    41.25     0.00     0.03    99.59   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   64  +26      69.63     2.05    28.69     0.00     0.00     0.36    57.08    98.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   63  +27      68.35     2.30    28.89     0.00     0.00     0.05    37.32    91.81     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   61  +15      66.17     2.07    16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.56    68.03     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   59  +24      64.47     2.22    26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03    41.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   54   +9      59.69     2.09    11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   47   -8      51.04     2.06    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      36   44   -6      46.13     1.72    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   44  -16      45.42     1.53   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   43   -2      47.94     2.37    -3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   43   -4      46.04     2.08    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          36   36  -25      37.80     1.53   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   36   35  -23      37.48     1.78   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Wigan           36   35  -34      36.99     1.36   -36.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
West_Ham        36   34  -18      35.88     1.72   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Hull            36   28  -41      29.59     1.62   -42.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley         35   27  -37      29.16     1.93   -40.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.63R    0.00  
Portsmouth      36   16  -33      17.97     1.55   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        45   99  +54     100.94     1.26    54.85   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        44   89  +41      93.11     1.67    43.34     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     45   78  +25      79.76     1.30    25.57     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   76  +21      77.53     1.32    21.23     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        45   73  +14      74.68     1.28    14.43     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   69  +16      71.08     1.23    17.13     0.00     0.00    84.04    16.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   68   +3      69.62     1.25     3.35     0.00     0.00    15.96     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    45   62  +10      63.03     1.20     9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   62   +4      63.23     1.27     3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   62   -9      62.72     1.11   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          45   60   +2      61.93     1.28     2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   59   +1      60.05     1.17     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              45   57   -6      57.83     1.15    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   56   -8      57.49     1.30    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   54  -12      54.86     1.19   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54  -13      55.63     1.31   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   53  -12      54.21     1.28   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   53  -16      53.41     0.88   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   51  -11      52.11     1.25   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   51  -22      51.99     1.22   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47   -3      49.37     1.79    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   46  -20      47.40     1.28   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.91R    0.00  
Plymouth         45   41  -24      42.77     1.28   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     45   31  -35      31.97     1.20   -35.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Brentford vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          44   92  +41      96.13     1.73    43.30   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   83  +33      86.52     1.74    34.28     0.00    56.27   100.00    71.42P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   82  +33      85.96     1.77    34.76     0.00    42.82   100.00    63.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   79  +16      81.60     1.73    15.74     0.00     0.70   100.00    18.69P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   78  +20      81.02     1.84    20.41     0.00     0.20   100.00    22.04P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   77  +26      80.47     1.85    27.09     0.00     0.02   100.00    24.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      44   70  +37      74.24     1.67    39.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   69  +12      71.90     1.75    12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   62   -7      63.54     1.59    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        44   61   +4      63.78     1.77     4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   59   -7      61.70     1.83    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   58   -4      60.82     1.84    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   55   -5      57.76     1.83    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   54   -5      56.17     1.65    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   52  -13      54.11     1.71   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   51   -8      53.67     1.77    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   50   -6      52.80     1.79    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   48  -11      50.56     1.73   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.48R    0.00  
Exeter           44   47  -13      49.09     1.76   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.14R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   47  -14      49.05     1.75   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.17R    0.00  
Tranmere         44   45  -32      47.14     1.71   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.29R    0.00  
Wycombe          44   42  -21      44.60     1.81   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.91R    0.00  
Southend         44   40  -20      42.57     1.50   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Stockport        44   25  -56      26.98     1.69   -57.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Barnet vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         43   86  +55      92.98     1.86    59.69    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   82  +36      86.10     1.74    38.20     0.25   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          44   80  +14      82.93     1.83    14.29     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   72   +6      75.20     1.86     6.69     0.00     0.00    99.61    23.35P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   69  +12      72.30     1.81    12.78     0.00     0.00    82.33    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   68   -2      70.45     1.79    -2.40     0.00     0.00    41.28     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   67  +15      69.88     1.78    15.25     0.00     0.00    45.52    13.98P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   67   +7      69.73     1.87     6.99     0.00     0.00    32.90     7.93P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   67   +0      69.67     1.85    -0.11     0.00     0.00    27.43     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   66  +11      69.16     1.85    11.62     0.00     0.00    30.15     8.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   66   +8      69.96     1.77     9.84     0.00     0.00    40.75    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   62   +2      64.52     1.79     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   56   -4      58.56     1.66    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   56   -6      58.43     1.84    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             44   56  -13      58.13     1.74   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   54   -4      56.68     1.83    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   54  -15      58.24     2.31   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   53   +6      55.09     1.73     5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   53   -7      56.57     1.74    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   49  -21      51.01     1.67   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   47  -12      48.98     1.57   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               43   45  -14      48.28     2.19   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.31R    0.00  
Grimsby              44   41  -25      43.25     1.76   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.67R    0.00  
Darlington           43   27  -49      28.63     1.67   -53.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 April 2010, Altrincham vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          44   99  +55      99.00     0.00    55.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   88  +44      88.00     0.00    44.00     0.00   100.00    29.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         44   86  +33      86.00     0.00    33.00     0.00   100.00    27.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   79  +38      79.00     0.00    38.00     0.00   100.00    23.35P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   78  +27      78.00     0.00    27.00     0.00   100.00    20.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   66  +10      66.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   64  +14      64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   62   +9      62.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   59  +12      59.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   58   +6      58.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          44   58   -5      58.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   57   +5      57.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         44   54   +2      54.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   52  -17      52.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   49  -10      49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   48  -26      48.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             44   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   46  -30      46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   45  -23      45.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -26      45.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   44   44  -32      44.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     44   28  -56      28.00     0.00   -56.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1