Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 April 2010 at 21:20:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 April 2010, Hull vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   77  +54      83.74     1.74    59.50    69.64    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         35   76  +51      82.66     2.00    54.93    30.34    97.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   71  +39      77.33     2.13    42.59     0.02     2.47    98.28    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   64  +28      70.33     2.32    29.53     0.00     0.00     1.15    66.09    98.80     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   62  +27      67.99     2.62    27.49     0.00     0.00     0.57    29.24    87.54     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   61  +15      66.20     2.08    16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.57    68.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   59  +24      64.46     2.20    26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13    44.52     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   54   +9      59.73     2.08    11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   47   -8      51.05     2.07    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   43   -2      47.90     2.34    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   43   -4      46.03     2.07    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   43  -16      45.57     1.99   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   41   -7      44.61     2.20    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   35  -25      38.75     2.00   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Wigan           35   35  -33      37.66     1.79   -36.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   34  -23      38.07     2.23   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
West_Ham        35   31  -19      34.97     2.14   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    0.00  
Hull            35   28  -40      30.88     2.11   -41.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.34R    0.00  
Burnley         35   27  -37      29.14     1.92   -40.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   15  -33      17.73     1.93   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, QPR vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        44   98  +54     102.45     1.62    56.67   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        44   89  +41      93.09     1.67    43.32     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   75  +22      78.96     1.74    23.75     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   73  +20      76.78     1.76    21.60     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   70  +13      73.09     1.84    13.49     0.00     0.00    94.56    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68   +5      70.82     1.75     5.19     0.00     0.00    55.79    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   66  +15      69.89     1.81    16.80     0.00     0.00    49.65     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   61  +10      64.00     1.74    10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   60   +5      63.30     1.85     5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   59   +2      61.73     1.78     2.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   59  -10      61.40     1.72   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   56   +0      59.00     1.72     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   55   -8      56.86     1.55    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   54   -7      55.95     1.72    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   54  -11      56.13     1.77   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   53  -11      55.25     1.79   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -13      55.43     1.74   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   53  -15      54.99     1.60   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   51  -21      52.80     1.70   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   48  -14      50.52     1.83   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.73R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47   -3      49.40     1.79    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.71R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   46  -19      47.96     1.63   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.56R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   41  -21      43.35     1.62   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   31  -34      32.92     1.74   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, Brentford vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          43   89  +39      95.47     2.06    42.91    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   80  +30      85.68     2.12    32.50     0.03    48.00   100.00    64.92P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   79  +32      85.25     2.12    35.18     0.00    44.28   100.00    64.29P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   78  +16      82.20     2.21    16.08     0.00     5.22   100.00    23.62P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   77  +20      81.60     2.26    20.71     0.00     2.46    99.77    25.33P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   74  +20      79.46     2.24    22.06     0.00     0.04    94.48    20.40P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   68  +12      73.29     2.10    13.75     0.00     0.00     3.64     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   67  +36      73.55     2.02    39.95     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   62   -6      64.62     2.05    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        43   60   +4      64.54     2.21     4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   59   -4      62.38     2.12    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   55   -6      59.46     2.28    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   54   -4      56.72     1.94    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   52   -6      56.44     2.27    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   51   -6      54.80     2.20    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -13      54.75     2.15   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49   -6      52.73     2.15    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   48  -10      51.10     1.99   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.13R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   47  -12      49.51     2.00   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.17R    0.00  
Exeter           43   46  -13      49.28     2.18   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         43   44  -32      46.56     1.96   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.45R    0.00  
Wycombe          43   41  -21      44.74     2.23   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.95R    0.00  
Southend         43   39  -20      42.54     1.94   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R    0.00  
Stockport        43   25  -50      27.79     2.02   -52.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, Cheltenham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         42   86  +56      94.79     2.28    61.28    98.86   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   82  +37      88.01     2.17    40.01     1.14   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          43   77  +12      81.26     2.27    12.25     0.00    99.00   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   69   +5      73.70     2.28     5.88     0.00     0.98    92.38    23.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   68   -1      71.97     2.24    -1.17     0.00     0.02    70.99    13.93P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   66  +11      70.83     2.27    12.03     0.00     0.00    63.03    18.33P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   66   +9      71.27     2.22    10.69     0.00     0.00    68.20    18.71P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   66   +0      70.34     2.31     0.34     0.00     0.00    45.00     9.38P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   64  +14      67.79     2.15    13.64     0.00     0.00    17.12     5.47P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   64   +6      68.23     2.31     6.16     0.00     0.00    22.01     5.51P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   63   +9      67.77     2.29     9.95     0.00     0.00    18.03     5.15P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   62   +4      65.67     2.20     3.47     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   56   -2      59.97     2.12    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   55   -6      58.55     2.27    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   54  -11      59.43     2.69   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   53   -6      57.64     2.15    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   53  -14      55.91     2.10   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   51   -8      55.30     2.30    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   50   +5      53.73     2.18     4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   47  -11      50.17     2.06   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   46  -22      49.21     2.12   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Barnet               42   45  -13      49.58     2.56   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Grimsby              43   38  -27      41.67     2.20   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.42R    0.01  
Darlington           42   27  -47      29.84     2.12   -51.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          43   96  +54      97.92     1.21    54.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   87  +44      88.16     1.27    43.69     0.00   100.00    27.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   86  +34      88.12     1.18    35.05     0.00   100.00    29.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   78  +38      79.59     1.32    38.31     0.00   100.00    23.74P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   78  +28      78.78     1.07    27.28     0.00   100.00    19.93P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   66  +12      67.43     1.29    12.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      43   64  +15      65.73     1.30    15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   61   +9      62.68     1.31     9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56  +10      57.22     1.28     9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   56   +5      57.07     1.25     4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   55   +5      56.52     1.31     5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          43   55   -7      56.28     1.28    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         43   54   +4      55.52     1.31     4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   51  -17      52.22     1.28   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           43   49   -9      50.84     1.27    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   48  -25      49.21     1.28   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             43   45  -23      46.51     1.31   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -25      46.64     1.32   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   43  -31      43.64     1.02   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.47R    0.00  
Gateshead          43   42  -24      43.02     1.23   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.76R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   41  -33      41.90     1.16   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.92R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     43   25  -57      26.11     1.27   -57.40     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1