Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 April 2010 at 21:20:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 April 2010, Hull vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   77  +54      83.71     1.75    59.44    69.78    99.73   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         35   76  +51      82.61     2.01    54.87    30.20    97.72   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   71  +39      77.32     2.12    42.57     0.02     2.55    98.25    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   64  +28      70.32     2.34    29.50     0.00     0.00     1.18    65.63    98.72     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   62  +27      68.03     2.61    27.56     0.00     0.00     0.57    29.48    87.93     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   61  +15      66.20     2.08    16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83    68.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   59  +24      64.49     2.22    26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.11    44.57     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   54   +9      59.70     2.09    11.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   47   -8      51.02     2.07    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   43   -2      47.91     2.36    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   43   -4      46.07     2.09    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   43  -16      45.56     1.99   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   41   -7      44.67     2.19    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   35  -25      38.77     1.99   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Wigan           35   35  -33      37.67     1.78   -36.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   34  -23      38.06     2.24   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
West_Ham        35   31  -19      34.96     2.15   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.15R    0.00  
Hull            35   28  -40      30.85     2.12   -41.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.50R    0.00  
Burnley         35   27  -37      29.15     1.94   -40.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.30R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   15  -33      17.71     1.93   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, QPR vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        44   98  +54     102.44     1.63    56.66   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        44   89  +41      93.10     1.67    43.33     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   75  +22      78.95     1.73    23.74     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   73  +20      76.78     1.76    21.59     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   70  +13      73.10     1.85    13.51     0.00     0.00    94.52    19.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68   +5      70.79     1.74     5.16     0.00     0.00    55.38    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   66  +15      69.89     1.80    16.81     0.00     0.00    50.11     9.90P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   61  +10      64.00     1.75    10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   60   +5      63.32     1.85     5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   59   +2      61.75     1.79     2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   59  -10      61.42     1.73   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   56   +0      59.03     1.72     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   55   -8      56.87     1.56    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   54   -7      55.97     1.72    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   54  -11      56.13     1.76   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   53  -11      55.25     1.79   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -13      55.44     1.73   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   53  -15      54.98     1.61   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   51  -21      52.79     1.68   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   48  -14      50.50     1.83   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47   -3      49.38     1.78    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.99R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   46  -19      47.97     1.64   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.97R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   41  -21      43.35     1.61   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   31  -34      32.91     1.73   -35.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, Brentford vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          43   89  +39      95.48     2.06    42.96    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   80  +30      85.67     2.11    32.50     0.04    47.78   100.00    65.17P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   79  +32      85.24     2.11    35.17     0.00    44.58   100.00    64.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   78  +16      82.19     2.21    16.08     0.00     5.05   100.00    23.34P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   77  +20      81.61     2.28    20.72     0.00     2.54    99.81    24.86P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   74  +20      79.47     2.23    22.07     0.00     0.04    94.58    20.67P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   68  +12      73.26     2.12    13.73     0.00     0.00     3.61     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   67  +36      73.56     2.02    39.98     0.00     0.00     2.00     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   62   -6      64.61     2.06    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        43   60   +4      64.54     2.20     4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   59   -4      62.39     2.12    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   55   -6      59.46     2.29    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   54   -4      56.70     1.94    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   52   -6      56.45     2.26    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   51   -6      54.79     2.20    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -13      54.74     2.15   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           43   49   -6      52.73     2.16    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   48  -10      51.11     2.00   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   47  -12      49.50     1.99   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.44R    0.00  
Exeter           43   46  -13      49.26     2.17   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.39R    0.00  
Tranmere         43   44  -32      46.57     1.96   -34.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.14R    0.00  
Wycombe          43   41  -21      44.73     2.25   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.73R    0.00  
Southend         43   39  -20      42.54     1.95   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.13R    0.00  
Stockport        43   25  -50      27.81     2.04   -52.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, Cheltenham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         42   86  +56      94.81     2.27    61.34    98.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   82  +37      88.05     2.18    40.06     1.06   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          43   77  +12      81.27     2.27    12.26     0.00    99.04   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   69   +5      73.68     2.29     5.87     0.00     0.95    92.17    23.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   68   -1      71.97     2.23    -1.19     0.00     0.01    71.27    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   66  +11      70.79     2.26    11.96     0.00     0.00    62.31    18.25P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   66   +9      71.23     2.22    10.64     0.00     0.00    67.81    18.38P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   66   +0      70.38     2.30     0.40     0.00     0.00    46.00     9.81P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   64  +14      67.77     2.16    13.62     0.00     0.00    17.08     5.34P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   64   +6      68.25     2.32     6.21     0.00     0.00    22.20     5.58P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   63   +9      67.76     2.29     9.94     0.00     0.00    17.90     5.13P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   62   +4      65.69     2.19     3.49     0.00     0.00     3.25     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   56   -2      59.94     2.11    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   55   -6      58.53     2.26    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   54  -11      59.40     2.67   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   53   -6      57.62     2.15    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   53  -14      55.92     2.10   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   51   -8      55.31     2.30    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   50   +5      53.74     2.16     4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   47  -11      50.17     2.05   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   46  -22      49.24     2.13   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Barnet               42   45  -13      49.59     2.56   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
Grimsby              43   38  -27      41.66     2.19   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R    0.01  
Darlington           42   27  -47      29.83     2.11   -51.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          43   96  +54      97.91     1.22    54.73   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   87  +44      88.18     1.28    43.71     0.00   100.00    27.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   86  +34      88.11     1.18    35.04     0.00   100.00    29.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   78  +38      79.56     1.31    38.29     0.00   100.00    23.36P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   78  +28      78.79     1.07    27.27     0.00   100.00    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   66  +12      67.43     1.29    12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      43   64  +15      65.72     1.30    15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   61   +9      62.68     1.31     9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56  +10      57.20     1.28     9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   56   +5      57.07     1.25     4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   55   +5      56.52     1.30     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          43   55   -7      56.29     1.28    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         43   54   +4      55.53     1.31     4.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   51  -17      52.23     1.28   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           43   49   -9      50.85     1.27    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   48  -25      49.21     1.27   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             43   45  -23      46.50     1.31   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -25      46.64     1.32   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   43  -31      43.65     1.02   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.60R    0.00  
Gateshead          43   42  -24      43.02     1.23   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.42R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   41  -33      41.89     1.16   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.15R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     43   25  -57      26.12     1.27   -57.40     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1