Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 April 2010 at 21:20:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 April 2010, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   77  +54      83.72     1.74    59.50    69.76    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         35   76  +51      82.62     2.02    54.89    30.23    97.67   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   71  +39      77.31     2.13    42.57     0.01     2.55    98.34    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   64  +28      70.32     2.33    29.47     0.00     0.00     1.04    66.17    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   62  +27      68.04     2.61    27.59     0.00     0.00     0.62    30.54    90.59     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   59  +24      64.46     2.22    26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22    56.50     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   58  +13      64.98     2.47    15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12    52.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   54   +9      59.70     2.09    11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   47   -8      51.07     2.07    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   43   -2      47.92     2.35    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   43   -4      46.04     2.08    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   43  -16      45.59     2.00   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   41   -7      44.61     2.19    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   35  -25      38.74     2.00   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Wigan           35   35  -33      37.65     1.79   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   34  -23      38.08     2.23   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
West_Ham        35   31  -19      34.98     2.14   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.42R    0.00  
Hull            34   28  -38      31.81     2.45   -40.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.05R    0.00  
Burnley         35   27  -37      29.14     1.93   -40.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.57R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   15  -33      17.75     1.94   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, QPR vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        44   98  +54     102.43     1.62    56.64   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        44   89  +41      93.10     1.68    43.33     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   75  +22      78.98     1.73    23.78     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   73  +20      76.77     1.76    21.58     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   70  +13      73.11     1.84    13.52     0.00     0.00    94.82    19.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68   +5      70.80     1.74     5.17     0.00     0.00    55.45    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   66  +15      69.89     1.81    16.80     0.00     0.00    49.73    10.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   61  +10      63.99     1.74    10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   60   +5      63.30     1.84     5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   59   +2      61.74     1.79     2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   59  -10      61.40     1.73   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   56   +0      59.02     1.72     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   55   -8      56.86     1.56    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   54   -7      55.97     1.72    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   54  -11      56.12     1.76   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   53  -11      55.26     1.80   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -13      55.46     1.73   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   53  -15      54.98     1.60   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   51  -21      52.80     1.70   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   48  -14      50.50     1.83   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.15R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47   -3      49.37     1.78    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.93R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   46  -19      47.99     1.63   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.92R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   41  -21      43.34     1.61   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   31  -34      32.92     1.73   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, Brentford vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          43   89  +39      95.47     2.06    42.93    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   80  +30      85.68     2.13    32.48     0.04    48.16   100.00    65.51P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   79  +32      85.23     2.11    35.15     0.00    44.29   100.00    64.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   78  +16      82.19     2.20    16.06     0.00     5.04   100.00    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   77  +20      81.60     2.27    20.71     0.00     2.48    99.80    25.24P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   74  +20      79.43     2.24    22.00     0.00     0.04    94.59    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   68  +12      73.28     2.12    13.74     0.00     0.00     3.58     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   67  +36      73.53     2.03    39.93     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   62   -6      64.62     2.05    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        43   60   +4      64.53     2.21     4.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   59   -4      62.39     2.13    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   55   -6      59.46     2.29    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   54   -4      56.73     1.94    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   52   -6      56.44     2.28    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   51   -6      54.78     2.20    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   51  -13      54.76     2.15   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49   -6      52.74     2.15    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   48  -10      51.11     1.99   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   47  -12      49.54     2.00   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.12R    0.00  
Exeter           43   46  -13      49.28     2.19   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.05R    0.00  
Tranmere         43   44  -32      46.58     1.97   -34.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.25R    0.00  
Wycombe          43   41  -21      44.73     2.24   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.16R    0.00  
Southend         43   39  -20      42.54     1.95   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R    0.00  
Stockport        43   25  -50      27.81     2.05   -52.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, Cheltenham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         42   86  +56      94.83     2.27    61.34    98.96   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   82  +37      88.06     2.18    40.07     1.04   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          43   77  +12      81.27     2.27    12.26     0.00    99.04   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   69   +5      73.69     2.27     5.88     0.00     0.95    92.10    23.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   68   -1      71.96     2.24    -1.19     0.00     0.01    70.81    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   66  +11      70.82     2.25    12.00     0.00     0.00    62.69    18.30P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   66   +9      71.24     2.22    10.64     0.00     0.00    68.15    18.65P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   66   +0      70.38     2.30     0.39     0.00     0.00    46.18     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   64  +14      67.76     2.15    13.60     0.00     0.00    16.61     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   64   +6      68.25     2.32     6.21     0.00     0.00    22.46     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   63   +9      67.75     2.28     9.93     0.00     0.00    17.81     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   62   +4      65.70     2.19     3.50     0.00     0.00     3.19     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   56   -2      59.94     2.12    -2.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   55   -6      58.53     2.27    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   54  -11      59.41     2.70   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   53   -6      57.61     2.16    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   53  -14      55.91     2.11   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   51   -8      55.33     2.29    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   50   +5      53.75     2.17     4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           43   47  -11      50.16     2.05   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   46  -22      49.23     2.12   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.00  
Barnet               42   45  -13      49.56     2.55   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Grimsby              43   38  -27      41.68     2.20   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.39R    0.02  
Darlington           42   27  -47      29.84     2.13   -51.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 April 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          43   96  +54      97.92     1.22    54.73   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   87  +44      88.16     1.27    43.70     0.00   100.00    27.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         43   86  +34      88.11     1.18    35.04     0.00   100.00    29.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   78  +38      79.58     1.32    38.30     0.00   100.00    23.70P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   78  +28      78.78     1.07    27.27     0.00   100.00    19.52P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   66  +12      67.42     1.29    12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       44   66   -7      66.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      43   64  +15      65.73     1.30    15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   61   +9      62.68     1.31     9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56  +10      57.19     1.28     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   56   +5      57.07     1.25     4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   55   +5      56.52     1.31     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          43   55   -7      56.29     1.28    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         43   54   +4      55.54     1.31     4.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   51  -17      52.23     1.28   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           43   49   -9      50.85     1.26    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   48  -25      49.21     1.28   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             43   45  -23      46.50     1.31   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -25      46.64     1.32   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   43  -31      43.65     1.02   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.19R    0.00  
Gateshead          43   42  -24      43.01     1.23   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.81R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   41  -33      41.88     1.16   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.30R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     43   25  -57      26.12     1.28   -57.39     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1