Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 April 2010 at 21:20:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 April 2010, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   77  +54      83.75     1.74    59.51    70.09    99.76   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         35   76  +51      82.62     2.01    54.91    29.90    97.70   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   71  +39      77.30     2.13    42.53     0.01     2.53    98.30    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   64  +28      70.33     2.32    29.49     0.00     0.00     1.09    66.39    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   62  +27      68.04     2.63    27.58     0.00     0.00     0.61    30.38    90.67     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   59  +24      64.42     2.21    25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13    55.62     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   58  +13      65.01     2.47    15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14    53.71     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   54   +9      59.73     2.08    11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   47   -8      51.04     2.06    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   43   -2      47.93     2.36    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   43   -4      46.02     2.08    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   43  -16      45.57     2.00   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   41   -7      44.62     2.21    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   35  -25      38.76     1.99   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Wigan           35   35  -33      37.64     1.79   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.30R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   34  -23      38.08     2.23   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
West_Ham        35   31  -19      34.96     2.13   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.74R    0.00  
Hull            34   28  -38      31.82     2.47   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.55R    0.00  
Burnley         35   27  -37      29.15     1.92   -40.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   15  -33      17.73     1.93   -35.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 April 2010, Plymouth vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        44   98  +54     102.47     1.60    56.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        44   89  +41      93.11     1.66    43.34     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   75  +22      78.98     1.73    23.77     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   73  +20      76.76     1.76    21.59     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   70  +13      73.11     1.84    13.53     0.00     0.00    94.56    19.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68   +5      70.81     1.74     5.19     0.00     0.00    55.54    10.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   66  +15      69.90     1.81    16.81     0.00     0.00    49.74     9.75P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   61  +10      64.01     1.73    10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          43   59   +5      63.75     2.30     5.97     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   59   +2      61.74     1.79     2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   59  -10      61.41     1.73   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   56   +0      59.01     1.72     0.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   55   -8      56.85     1.54    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   54  -11      56.12     1.75   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   53  -11      55.26     1.81   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -13      55.41     1.72   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   53  -15      55.00     1.60   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   51   -8      54.71     2.19    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   50  -21      53.11     2.17   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Watford          43   48  -13      51.52     2.25   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.69R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47   -3      49.38     1.78    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.77R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   46  -19      47.97     1.64   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.09R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   41  -21      43.34     1.61   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   31  -34      32.91     1.73   -35.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          43   89  +39      95.48     2.06    42.93    99.97   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   80  +30      85.67     2.13    32.49     0.03    47.77   100.00    64.66P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   79  +32      85.24     2.12    35.16     0.00    44.41   100.00    63.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   78  +16      82.20     2.20    16.07     0.00     5.18    99.35    23.12P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   77  +20      81.59     2.26    20.72     0.00     2.61    98.20    24.75P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   74  +20      79.43     2.25    22.02     0.00     0.03    87.46    18.73P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   68  +12      73.27     2.10    13.72     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +36      74.89     2.32    41.48     0.00     0.00    12.19     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   62   -6      64.63     2.06    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   59   -4      62.39     2.13    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        42   57   +3      63.64     2.54     4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   55   -6      59.46     2.29    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   54   -4      56.70     1.94    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   52   -6      56.45     2.27    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       43   51   -6      54.77     2.18    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           42   50  -13      54.23     2.35   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49   -6      52.77     2.17    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   48  -10      51.11     2.00   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   47  -12      49.50     1.99   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.92R    0.00  
Exeter           43   46  -13      49.30     2.18   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.36R    0.00  
Tranmere         42   44  -31      47.21     2.24   -34.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.28R    0.00  
Wycombe          43   41  -21      44.73     2.23   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.78R    0.00  
Southend         43   39  -20      42.55     1.95   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R    0.00  
Stockport        43   25  -50      27.79     2.02   -52.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         41   83  +55      93.72     2.62    61.08    89.49   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   82  +38      88.89     2.50    40.27    10.51   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          43   77  +12      81.26     2.28    12.24     0.00    99.03   100.00    99.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   69   +5      73.69     2.29     5.89     0.00     0.94    91.98    22.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   68   -1      72.01     2.26    -1.12     0.00     0.02    71.20    13.90P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   66  +11      70.81     2.24    11.99     0.00     0.00    62.33    18.07P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   66   +9      71.28     2.21    10.70     0.00     0.00    68.51    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   66   +0      70.37     2.30     0.40     0.00     0.00    45.44     9.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   64  +14      67.79     2.17    13.65     0.00     0.00    17.15     5.45P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   64   +6      68.27     2.32     6.22     0.00     0.00    22.51     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   63   +9      67.73     2.28     9.89     0.00     0.00    17.70     4.98P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   62   +4      65.69     2.20     3.50     0.00     0.00     3.18     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   56   -2      59.96     2.12    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   55   -6      58.55     2.27    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   54  -11      59.38     2.67   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   53   -6      57.63     2.15    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   53  -14      55.89     2.11   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   51   -8      55.32     2.30    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   50   +5      53.72     2.17     4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   46  -11      51.34     2.39   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   46  -22      49.21     2.11   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Barnet               42   45  -13      49.56     2.55   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Grimsby              43   38  -27      41.68     2.18   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.40R    0.02  
Darlington           41   26  -47      29.40     2.35   -52.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Barrow vs Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          42   93  +53      97.22     1.66    55.13   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   87  +44      88.18     1.27    43.71     0.00   100.00    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         42   83  +33      87.02     1.70    34.74     0.00   100.00    28.64P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   78  +38      79.56     1.31    38.29     0.00   100.00    23.53P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   78  +28      78.79     1.08    27.27     0.00   100.00    19.54P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          42   65  +12      68.33     1.81    12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       43   65   -7      65.86     1.13    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   64  +16      67.72     1.81    17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   61   +9      62.65     1.32     9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56  +10      57.15     1.26     9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   56   +6      59.07     1.79     6.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   55   +6      57.30     1.70     5.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         42   54   +7      56.96     1.85     7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          42   52  -10      54.58     1.82   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   48  -18      50.00     1.72   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   48  -25      49.21     1.28   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -10      48.58     1.68   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             43   45  -23      46.53     1.31   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -25      46.65     1.32   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   43  -31      43.65     1.02   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.68R    0.00  
Gateshead          42   42  -23      43.48     1.55   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.98R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   41  -33      41.93     1.18   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.26R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     43   25  -57      26.11     1.27   -57.41     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1