Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 18 April 2010 at 21:20:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 April 2010, Portsmouth vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   77  +54      83.75     1.75    59.52    69.82    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         35   76  +51      82.64     2.00    54.93    30.17    97.66   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   71  +39      77.34     2.13    42.60     0.01     2.57    98.35    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   64  +28      70.34     2.34    29.53     0.00     0.00     1.06    67.39    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   62  +27      67.99     2.62    27.50     0.00     0.00     0.59    29.75    92.37     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   58  +13      65.00     2.47    15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08    59.66     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   56  +21      63.74     2.52    24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82    47.12     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   54   +9      59.73     2.08    11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   47   -8      51.07     2.07    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   43   -2      47.89     2.35    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   43   -4      46.05     2.08    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   43  -16      45.56     1.99   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   41   -7      44.57     2.18    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   35  -25      38.75     1.99   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Wigan           35   35  -33      37.63     1.78   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.98R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   34  -23      38.10     2.22   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.48     2.34   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.42R    0.00  
Hull            34   28  -38      31.85     2.47   -40.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.78R    0.00  
Burnley         35   27  -37      29.17     1.93   -40.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.80R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   15  -33      17.71     1.94   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 April 2010, Sheff_Wed vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        43   95  +52     101.53     2.03    55.72    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        44   89  +41      93.12     1.68    43.34     0.02   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   75  +22      78.94     1.74    23.71     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   73  +20      76.76     1.76    21.57     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   70  +13      73.08     1.85    13.48     0.00     0.00    94.49    19.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68   +5      70.79     1.74     5.17     0.00     0.00    55.61    10.44P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   66  +15      69.88     1.81    16.78     0.00     0.00    49.80    10.11P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   61  +10      64.01     1.74    10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          43   59   +5      63.76     2.31     5.98     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   59   +2      61.74     1.79     2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   59  -10      61.42     1.73   -10.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   56   +0      59.02     1.73     0.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   55   -8      56.87     1.56    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   54  -11      56.14     1.76   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   53  -11      55.24     1.79   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -13      55.43     1.73   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   53  -15      55.00     1.60   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   51   -8      54.73     2.19    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   50  -21      53.14     2.19   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Watford          43   48  -13      51.50     2.23   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.99R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47   -3      49.36     1.78    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   46  -19      47.97     1.63   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.32R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      44.04     1.95   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.16R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   31  -34      32.92     1.74   -35.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          43   89  +39      95.47     2.07    42.90    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   80  +30      85.67     2.13    32.50     0.04    47.82   100.00    64.66P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   79  +32      85.24     2.12    35.17     0.00    44.46   100.00    63.93P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   78  +16      82.18     2.20    16.05     0.00     5.08    99.27    23.02P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   77  +20      81.65     2.27    20.77     0.00     2.60    98.16    24.56P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   74  +20      79.46     2.25    22.04     0.00     0.04    87.68    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   68  +12      73.26     2.11    13.71     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +36      74.91     2.31    41.50     0.00     0.00    12.04     4.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   62   -6      64.63     2.06    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   59   -4      62.38     2.12    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        42   57   +3      63.66     2.53     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   55   -6      59.45     2.28    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   54   -4      56.70     1.93    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   52   -6      56.44     2.27    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   51   -6      54.80     2.18    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           42   50  -13      54.18     2.35   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49   -6      52.78     2.16    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   48  -10      51.12     2.01   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   47  -12      49.52     2.00   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.54R    0.00  
Exeter           43   46  -13      49.26     2.18   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.91R    0.00  
Tranmere         42   44  -31      47.18     2.23   -34.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.55R    0.00  
Wycombe          43   41  -21      44.73     2.23   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.54R    0.00  
Southend         43   39  -20      42.55     1.94   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R    0.00  
Stockport        43   25  -50      27.81     2.04   -52.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         41   83  +55      93.69     2.64    61.05    89.50   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   82  +38      88.86     2.48    40.21    10.50   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          43   77  +12      81.25     2.28    12.23     0.00    98.90   100.00    99.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   69   +5      73.67     2.29     5.86     0.00     1.09    91.84    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   68   -1      71.99     2.23    -1.14     0.00     0.01    71.53    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   66  +11      70.78     2.25    11.95     0.00     0.00    61.96    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   66   +9      71.22     2.22    10.60     0.00     0.00    67.48    18.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   66   +0      70.40     2.30     0.42     0.00     0.00    46.11     9.81P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   64  +14      67.82     2.16    13.67     0.00     0.00    17.52     5.52P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   64   +6      68.29     2.32     6.25     0.00     0.00    22.58     5.94P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   63   +9      67.74     2.28     9.90     0.00     0.00    17.71     5.08P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   62   +4      65.68     2.20     3.49     0.00     0.00     3.27     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   56   -2      59.95     2.12    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   55   -6      58.54     2.25    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   54  -11      59.38     2.67   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   53   -6      57.62     2.15    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   53  -14      55.97     2.12   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   51   -8      55.31     2.29    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   50   +5      53.73     2.18     4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   46  -11      51.34     2.40   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   46  -22      49.23     2.12   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Barnet               42   45  -13      49.57     2.56   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Grimsby              43   38  -27      41.70     2.18   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.31R    0.02  
Darlington           41   26  -47      29.43     2.37   -52.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Barrow vs Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          42   93  +53      97.23     1.65    55.13   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   87  +44      88.18     1.28    43.71     0.00   100.00    28.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         42   83  +33      87.01     1.70    34.74     0.00   100.00    28.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   78  +38      79.57     1.32    38.29     0.00   100.00    23.29P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   78  +28      78.78     1.07    27.26     0.00   100.00    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          42   65  +12      68.35     1.81    12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       43   65   -7      65.86     1.13    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   64  +16      67.72     1.79    17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   61   +9      62.64     1.31     9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56  +10      57.16     1.26     9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   56   +6      59.08     1.79     6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   55   +6      57.32     1.70     5.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         42   54   +7      56.95     1.85     7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          42   52  -10      54.56     1.82   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   48  -18      49.98     1.71   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   48  -25      49.20     1.28   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -10      48.60     1.68   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             43   45  -23      46.53     1.31   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -25      46.64     1.32   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   43  -31      43.65     1.02   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.73R    0.00  
Gateshead          42   42  -23      43.49     1.54   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.71R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   41  -33      41.91     1.17   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.44R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     43   25  -57      26.11     1.27   -57.40     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1