Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 17 April 2010 at 21:20:28 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Birmingham vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         35   77  +54      83.77     1.74    59.58    69.23    96.69   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         35   76  +51      82.63     2.02    54.93    28.98    86.22   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +40      79.71     2.42    45.25     1.80    17.09    99.59    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   64  +28      70.30     2.33    29.47     0.00     0.00     0.24    67.64    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   62  +27      67.96     2.60    27.45     0.00     0.00     0.16    30.19    93.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   56  +21      63.76     2.51    24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89    57.94     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   55  +12      63.79     2.81    14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29    45.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   54   +9      59.69     2.08    11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.58     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      35   47   -8      51.06     2.07    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   43   -2      47.88     2.36    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   43   -4      46.02     2.07    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   43  -16      45.54     1.97   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      35   41   -7      44.62     2.19    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   35  -25      38.77     2.00   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   35   34  -23      38.06     2.21   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Wigan           34   32  -34      35.04     2.06   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.56     2.35   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.53R    0.00  
Hull            34   28  -38      31.92     2.48   -40.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.83R    0.00  
Burnley         35   27  -37      29.16     1.94   -40.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.31R    0.03  
Portsmouth      34   15  -32      18.64     2.29   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.97  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Blackpool vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        43   95  +52     101.53     2.03    55.71    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        44   89  +41      93.11     1.68    43.33     0.01   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   75  +22      78.94     1.74    23.73     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   73  +20      76.77     1.76    21.59     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   70  +13      73.09     1.85    13.51     0.00     0.00    94.55    19.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68   +5      70.79     1.75     5.16     0.00     0.00    55.54    10.26P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   66  +15      69.88     1.81    16.78     0.00     0.00    49.78     9.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   61  +10      64.00     1.75    10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading          43   59   +5      63.78     2.30     6.02     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   59  -10      61.42     1.73   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   58   +2      62.13     2.23     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   56   +0      59.03     1.72     0.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   55   -8      56.86     1.55    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   54  -11      56.12     1.76   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   53  -11      55.24     1.79   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53  -13      55.43     1.73   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   53  -15      55.00     1.61   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   51   -8      54.76     2.20    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   50  -21      53.11     2.18   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Watford          43   48  -13      51.50     2.24   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.39R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47   -3      49.37     1.79    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.44R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   45  -19      48.31     2.11   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.29R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      44.05     1.95   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R    0.00  
Peterborough     44   31  -34      32.91     1.73   -35.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          43   89  +39      95.49     2.06    42.94    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   80  +30      85.69     2.12    32.52     0.02    48.04   100.00    65.12P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   79  +32      85.23     2.12    35.15     0.00    44.16   100.00    64.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   78  +16      82.17     2.20    16.04     0.00     5.27    99.28    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   77  +20      81.60     2.27    20.72     0.00     2.50    98.13    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   74  +20      79.46     2.24    22.05     0.00     0.03    87.79    18.81P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   68  +12      73.26     2.11    13.72     0.00     0.00     2.84     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   66  +36      74.89     2.32    41.47     0.00     0.00    11.95     4.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   62   -6      64.62     2.06    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   59   -4      62.36     2.13    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        42   57   +3      63.65     2.54     4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   55   -6      59.45     2.29    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   54   -4      56.69     1.94    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   52   -6      56.47     2.26    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   51   -6      54.80     2.18    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           42   50  -13      54.20     2.36   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49   -6      52.75     2.15    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   48  -10      51.12     2.01   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   47  -12      49.51     1.99   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.89R    0.00  
Exeter           43   46  -13      49.29     2.19   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.78R    0.00  
Tranmere         42   44  -31      47.22     2.25   -34.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.22R    0.00  
Wycombe          43   41  -21      44.74     2.24   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.56R    0.00  
Southend         43   39  -20      42.56     1.94   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.21R    0.00  
Stockport        43   25  -50      27.77     2.02   -52.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         41   83  +55      93.71     2.63    61.06    89.45   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   82  +38      88.87     2.49    40.24    10.55   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          43   77  +12      81.25     2.27    12.24     0.00    98.97   100.00    99.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   69   +5      73.69     2.28     5.88     0.00     1.02    91.98    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   68   -1      71.97     2.23    -1.17     0.00     0.01    71.11    13.80P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   66  +11      70.80     2.26    11.97     0.00     0.00    62.29    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   66   +9      71.28     2.21    10.70     0.00     0.00    68.59    19.11P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   66   +0      70.37     2.30     0.38     0.00     0.00    45.45     9.72P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   64  +14      67.81     2.16    13.66     0.00     0.00    17.41     5.59P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   64   +6      68.25     2.32     6.20     0.00     0.00    22.45     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   63   +9      67.77     2.29     9.94     0.00     0.00    17.70     4.91P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   62   +4      65.67     2.19     3.47     0.00     0.00     3.02     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   56   -2      59.96     2.13    -2.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   55   -6      58.54     2.25    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   54  -11      59.40     2.67   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   53   -6      57.62     2.15    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   53  -14      55.92     2.11   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   51   -8      55.30     2.30    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   50   +5      53.74     2.18     4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           42   46  -11      51.35     2.39   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   46  -22      49.22     2.11   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Barnet               42   45  -13      49.58     2.56   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Grimsby              43   38  -27      41.69     2.18   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R    0.00  
Darlington           41   26  -47      29.41     2.36   -52.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 April 2010, Barrow vs Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          42   93  +53      97.23     1.65    55.14   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   87  +44      88.17     1.27    43.70     0.00   100.00    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         42   83  +33      87.01     1.69    34.74     0.00   100.00    28.71P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   78  +38      79.57     1.31    38.30     0.00   100.00    23.28P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   78  +28      78.79     1.08    27.27     0.00   100.00    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          42   65  +12      68.34     1.80    12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       43   65   -7      65.86     1.13    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   64  +16      67.71     1.80    17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   61   +9      62.64     1.31     9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   56  +10      57.16     1.26     9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   56   +6      59.07     1.79     6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   55   +6      57.31     1.70     5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         42   54   +7      56.96     1.85     7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          42   52  -10      54.56     1.82   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   48  -18      49.99     1.71   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   48  -25      49.21     1.28   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           42   46  -10      48.60     1.69   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             43   45  -23      46.54     1.31   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -25      46.64     1.32   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   43  -31      43.64     1.02   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.45R    0.00  
Gateshead          42   42  -23      43.47     1.53   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.34R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   43   41  -33      41.92     1.18   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.15R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     43   25  -57      26.12     1.28   -57.39     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1