Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 April 2010 at 21:20:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 April 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         34   77  +55      85.13     2.22    60.54    89.12    98.74   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         34   73  +50      81.03     2.48    53.94     9.29    69.45    99.81   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +40      79.70     2.42    45.28     1.59    31.77    99.22   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   62  +28      69.28     2.95    28.35     0.00     0.03     0.80    54.08    96.67     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   61  +27      68.66     2.73    28.38     0.00     0.00     0.17    42.10    97.16     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   56  +21      63.75     2.51    24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43    58.32     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   55  +12      63.75     2.82    14.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40    46.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   51   +8      58.06     2.49    10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   46   -8      52.37     2.41    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   43   -3      48.14     2.49    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   43  -15      46.84     2.41   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   42   -2      48.90     2.68    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   38   -8      43.93     2.53    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.79     2.48   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Bolton          34   32  -26      36.42     2.30   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.00  
Wigan           34   32  -34      35.06     2.05   -39.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.59R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.51     2.33   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.33R    0.00  
Burnley         34   27  -36      29.68     2.19   -40.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.00R    0.03  
Hull            33   27  -38      31.52     2.72   -41.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.38R    0.01  
Portsmouth      34   15  -32      18.70     2.30   -34.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Reading vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        43   95  +52     101.59     2.05    55.82    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        43   86  +39      92.07     2.12    42.22     0.01   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   75  +24      80.41     2.18    25.87     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   70  +19      75.22     2.24    20.70     0.00     0.00    99.82    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   67  +10      71.98     2.25    11.27     0.00     0.00    91.93    18.66P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   65   +3      69.54     2.15     3.68     0.00     0.00    60.20    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   63  +13      68.10     2.27    14.53     0.00     0.00    41.19     7.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   61  +12      64.84     2.12    11.54     0.00     0.00     5.27     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   59   -7      62.81     2.22    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   58   +2      62.16     2.23     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   56   -1      62.65     2.65     0.79     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   55   +0      59.31     2.14     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   54   -8      57.34     2.06    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   53  -11      56.36     2.21   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   53  -13      55.90     1.98   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   52  -11      55.77     2.23   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         43   52  -13      56.00     2.21   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR              42   51   -7      56.00     2.60    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Watford          42   48  -10      52.45     2.56   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.78R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   47  -24      51.49     2.55   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.33R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   46   -3      49.58     2.22    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.93R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   45  -19      48.30     2.12   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.16R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      43.91     1.93   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.75R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   31  -28      33.75     2.09   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 16 April 2010, Huddersfield vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          42   86  +38      93.72     2.48    41.72    96.31    99.67   100.00    99.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   80  +31      87.48     2.50    34.07     3.30    64.59   100.00    76.40P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   79  +32      85.26     2.11    35.21     0.25    23.39   100.00    50.49P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   77  +21      83.09     2.66    21.88     0.11     6.86    99.02    28.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   77  +16      83.29     2.57    17.17     0.03     5.48    99.13    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   74  +20      79.36     2.25    21.89     0.00     0.00    84.87    17.59P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   68  +14      74.84     2.50    16.08     0.00     0.00    11.54     2.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   63  +35      73.57     2.70    40.93     0.00     0.00     5.45     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   61   -6      65.12     2.48    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   59   -3      64.45     2.50    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        41   56   +3      63.94     2.88     4.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   54   -3      58.63     2.37    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   54   -6      59.16     2.57    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           42   49   -5      53.89     2.53    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         42   49   -7      54.64     2.64    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool       42   48   -8      52.99     2.58    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Oldham           41   47  -14      51.96     2.64   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Exeter           42   46  -11      50.81     2.57   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.18R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   45  -12      50.23     2.32   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.49R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -13      47.46     2.33   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.38R    0.00  
Tranmere         41   41  -33      45.28     2.55   -36.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.76R    0.00  
Southend         42   39  -19      44.09     2.39   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.51R    0.00  
Wycombe          42   38  -22      42.45     2.53   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.52R    0.00  
Stockport        42   25  -48      28.53     2.32   -51.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         40   80  +52      93.06     2.88    59.66    89.47   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   79  +37      87.83     2.82    40.16    10.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          42   74  +10      80.52     2.55    11.55     0.00    91.42   100.00    93.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   68   +5      74.59     2.65     6.66     0.00     5.96    91.75    26.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   67   -1      72.35     2.61    -1.14     0.00     0.68    67.23    13.58P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66   +2      71.74     2.65     2.38     0.00     1.17    61.09    14.23P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   65  +11      71.78     2.64    12.98     0.00     0.61    68.10    20.22P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   64   +9      68.79     2.53     7.68     0.00     0.05    24.69     6.57P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   63  +14      68.17     2.54    13.69     0.00     0.04    20.59     6.49P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   63  +10      68.58     2.59    10.04     0.00     0.01    22.79     6.38P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   63   +8      70.05     2.62    10.33     0.00     0.07    42.33    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   59   +3      64.56     2.55     3.18     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   56   -1      60.91     2.51    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   54  -10      61.21     3.03    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   52   -7      57.17     2.63    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   50   -8      55.09     2.61    -8.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         42   50   -8      55.99     2.56    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -15      53.86     2.48   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              42   47   +2      52.21     2.54     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   46  -21      50.08     2.43   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.18R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   45  -11      51.22     2.70   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Barnet               41   45  -12      50.64     2.88   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45R    0.00  
Grimsby              42   38  -24      42.97     2.58   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.49R    0.05  
Darlington           40   26  -45      29.91     2.57   -51.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 15 April 2010, Barrow vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          41   90  +51      95.96     2.11    53.61    99.38   100.00    99.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   86  +44      89.30     1.77    44.84     0.62   100.00    28.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   80  +31      85.91     2.14    33.53     0.00   100.00    26.99P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   77  +28      80.48     1.40    29.60     0.00   100.00    21.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   42   75  +37      78.05     1.84    37.46     0.00   100.00    22.95P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   64  +16      67.66     1.80    17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.35     2.20     9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       42   62   -9      64.44     1.73    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   61  +11      63.38     1.72    10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   56   +8      59.95     2.14     7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   55   +7      58.54     2.13     6.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   53   +7      56.25     1.77     7.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         41   53   +7      56.66     2.18     6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          41   49  -11      52.83     2.27   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   48  -17      51.53     2.20   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   48  -22      49.92     1.72   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   46   -8      49.80     2.10    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Histon             42   45  -21      47.69     1.85   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   43  -27      44.38     1.49   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.47R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   42  -21      44.83     2.07   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.26R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   42  -27      45.25     1.88   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.48R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -35      40.35     1.77   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.86R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     42   24  -57      25.33     1.43   -59.69     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1