Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 April 2010 at 21:20:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 April 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         34   77  +55      85.17     2.22    60.62    89.14    98.75   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         34   73  +50      81.05     2.47    53.97     9.28    69.80    99.82   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +40      79.71     2.42    45.28     1.58    31.41    99.13    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   62  +28      69.26     2.97    28.31     0.00     0.04     0.86    53.90    96.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   61  +27      68.65     2.73    28.40     0.00     0.00     0.20    42.32    97.20     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   56  +21      63.75     2.50    24.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50    59.06     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   55  +12      63.74     2.82    14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31    46.20     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   51   +8      58.04     2.48    10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   46   -8      52.36     2.41    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   43   -3      48.08     2.47    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   43  -15      46.88     2.42   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   42   -2      48.91     2.68    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   38   -8      43.91     2.53    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.82     2.48   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Bolton          34   32  -26      36.47     2.31   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77R    0.00  
Wigan           34   32  -34      35.04     2.06   -39.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.97R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.51     2.32   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.99R    0.00  
Burnley         34   27  -36      29.71     2.21   -40.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.94R    0.03  
Hull            33   27  -38      31.50     2.71   -41.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.62R    0.01  
Portsmouth      34   15  -32      18.68     2.30   -34.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Reading vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        43   95  +52     101.57     2.04    55.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        43   86  +39      92.08     2.13    42.20     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   75  +24      80.38     2.18    25.83     0.00     0.00   100.00    36.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   70  +19      75.23     2.23    20.73     0.00     0.00    99.80    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   67  +10      72.00     2.25    11.30     0.00     0.00    92.08    18.56P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   65   +3      69.54     2.16     3.68     0.00     0.00    60.06    10.41P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   63  +13      68.11     2.26    14.57     0.00     0.00    41.38     8.03P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   61  +12      64.83     2.10    11.52     0.00     0.00     5.08     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   59   -7      62.80     2.22    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   58   +2      62.20     2.24     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   56   -1      62.66     2.66     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   55   +0      59.29     2.16     0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   54   -8      57.34     2.05    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   53  -11      56.33     2.21   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   53  -13      55.92     1.99   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   52  -11      55.76     2.24   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         43   52  -13      56.03     2.20   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
QPR              42   51   -7      55.99     2.60    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          42   48  -10      52.45     2.55   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   47  -24      51.51     2.55   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   46   -3      49.58     2.20    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.64R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   45  -19      48.27     2.10   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.77R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      43.94     1.95   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.74R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   31  -28      33.75     2.09   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          42   86  +38      93.70     2.47    41.68    94.54    99.17   100.00    99.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   80  +31      87.47     2.50    34.08     3.16    50.77   100.00    67.50P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   79  +33      86.71     2.50    36.34     2.20    41.50   100.00    62.48P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   77  +21      83.10     2.66    21.86     0.07     4.54    99.34    26.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   77  +16      83.24     2.55    17.09     0.03     4.02    99.48    22.40P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   71  +19      77.70     2.63    20.84     0.00     0.00    70.01    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   68  +14      74.82     2.51    16.01     0.00     0.00    19.75     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   63  +35      73.54     2.70    40.84     0.00     0.00    11.43     3.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   61   -6      65.12     2.48    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   59   -3      64.46     2.51    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        41   56   +3      63.98     2.88     4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   54   -3      58.66     2.36    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   54   -6      59.12     2.58    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           42   49   -5      53.88     2.52    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         42   49   -7      54.65     2.65    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       42   48   -8      53.02     2.57    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Oldham           41   47  -14      51.98     2.66   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.00  
Exeter           42   46  -11      50.84     2.57   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   45  -12      50.19     2.33   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.91R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -13      47.46     2.34   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.51R    0.00  
Tranmere         41   41  -33      45.29     2.55   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.49R    0.00  
Southend         42   39  -19      44.08     2.40   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.86R    0.00  
Wycombe          42   38  -22      42.48     2.54   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.11R    0.00  
Stockport        42   25  -48      28.55     2.32   -51.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         40   80  +52      93.02     2.91    59.59    89.06   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   79  +37      87.83     2.84    40.15    10.93   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          42   74  +10      80.53     2.54    11.54     0.01    91.63    99.99    93.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   68   +5      74.57     2.64     6.64     0.00     5.88    91.79    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   67   -1      72.33     2.61    -1.17     0.00     0.68    66.89    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66   +2      71.73     2.68     2.38     0.00     1.09    60.66    13.79P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   65  +11      71.76     2.64    12.93     0.00     0.55    67.78    20.38P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   64   +9      68.79     2.52     7.69     0.00     0.03    24.87     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   63  +14      68.21     2.53    13.74     0.00     0.03    20.82     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   63  +10      68.61     2.60    10.06     0.00     0.03    23.19     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   63   +8      70.07     2.61    10.37     0.00     0.07    42.54    11.72P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   59   +3      64.56     2.55     3.18     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   56   -1      60.91     2.49    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   54  -10      61.20     3.03    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   52   -7      57.18     2.63    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   50   -8      55.13     2.61    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         42   50   -8      55.97     2.56    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -15      53.89     2.48   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              42   47   +2      52.24     2.55     1.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   46  -21      50.12     2.44   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   45  -11      51.24     2.70   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Barnet               41   45  -12      50.58     2.88   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.53R    0.00  
Grimsby              42   38  -24      42.99     2.57   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.39R    0.04  
Darlington           40   26  -45      29.86     2.56   -51.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 15 April 2010, Barrow vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          41   90  +51      95.99     2.10    53.67    99.35   100.00    99.61P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   86  +44      89.30     1.78    44.85     0.65   100.00    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   80  +31      85.94     2.12    33.55     0.00   100.00    26.96P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   77  +28      80.46     1.39    29.56     0.00   100.00    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   42   75  +37      78.04     1.85    37.45     0.00   100.00    22.79P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   64  +16      67.63     1.81    17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.37     2.19     9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       42   62   -9      64.43     1.71    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   61  +11      63.37     1.73    10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   56   +8      59.93     2.12     7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   55   +7      58.56     2.13     6.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   53   +7      56.25     1.78     7.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         41   53   +7      56.65     2.18     6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          41   49  -11      52.83     2.26   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   48  -17      51.53     2.20   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   48  -22      49.91     1.71   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   46   -8      49.82     2.11    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Histon             42   45  -21      47.69     1.85   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   43  -27      44.36     1.48   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.06R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   42  -21      44.84     2.06   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.27R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   42  -27      45.27     1.88   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.11R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -35      40.35     1.77   -35.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.79R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     42   24  -57      25.33     1.43   -59.68     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1