Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 April 2010 at 21:20:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 April 2010, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         34   77  +55      85.15     2.22    60.55    89.21    98.82   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         34   73  +50      81.00     2.47    53.89     9.13    69.09    99.84   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +40      79.69     2.43    45.26     1.67    32.05    99.12    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   62  +28      69.33     2.98    28.43     0.00     0.03     0.86    54.13    96.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   61  +27      68.69     2.73    28.46     0.00     0.01     0.18    42.34    97.30     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   56  +21      63.75     2.49    24.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27    59.23     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   55  +12      63.69     2.84    14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.27    45.56     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   51   +8      58.04     2.49    10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   46   -8      52.39     2.41    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   43   -3      48.10     2.47    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   43  -15      46.86     2.41   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   42   -2      48.92     2.68    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   38   -8      43.94     2.52    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.80     2.48   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Bolton          34   32  -26      36.43     2.30   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.91R    0.00  
Wigan           34   32  -34      35.06     2.05   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.41R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.49     2.31   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.25R    0.00  
Burnley         34   27  -36      29.70     2.20   -40.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.13R    0.02  
Hull            33   27  -38      31.50     2.71   -41.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.58R    0.00  
Portsmouth      34   15  -32      18.70     2.29   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.98  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Reading vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        43   95  +52     101.56     2.04    55.78    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        43   86  +39      92.08     2.12    42.21     0.02   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   75  +24      80.37     2.19    25.81     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   70  +19      75.22     2.24    20.70     0.00     0.00    99.80    25.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   67  +10      72.00     2.25    11.31     0.00     0.00    92.00    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   65   +3      69.54     2.15     3.67     0.00     0.00    60.05    10.57P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   63  +13      68.11     2.27    14.56     0.00     0.00    41.32     7.81P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   61  +12      64.83     2.10    11.52     0.00     0.00     5.18     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   59   -7      62.79     2.21    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   58   +2      62.18     2.24     2.15     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   56   -1      62.66     2.64     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   55   +0      59.32     2.16     0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   54   -8      57.33     2.05    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   53  -11      56.36     2.21   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   53  -13      55.90     1.99   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   52  -11      55.73     2.23   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         43   52  -13      56.00     2.20   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
QPR              42   51   -7      56.02     2.59    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          42   48  -10      52.44     2.54   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   47  -24      51.53     2.56   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.18R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   46   -3      49.60     2.21    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.45R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   45  -19      48.29     2.11   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.78R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      43.93     1.94   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.69R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   31  -28      33.75     2.08   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          42   86  +38      93.70     2.48    41.67    94.32    99.07   100.00    99.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   80  +31      87.49     2.50    34.11     3.32    51.51   100.00    67.86P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   79  +33      86.68     2.50    36.29     2.25    40.66   100.00    61.80P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   77  +21      83.07     2.66    21.86     0.08     4.59    99.37    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   77  +16      83.27     2.55    17.14     0.03     4.17    99.49    22.66P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   71  +19      77.70     2.65    20.84     0.00     0.00    69.88    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   68  +14      74.80     2.51    15.98     0.00     0.00    19.56     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   63  +35      73.56     2.70    40.91     0.00     0.00    11.69     3.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   61   -6      65.16     2.48    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   59   -3      64.47     2.51    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        41   56   +3      63.97     2.88     4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   54   -3      58.62     2.33    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   54   -6      59.16     2.57    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           42   49   -5      53.89     2.53    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         42   49   -7      54.60     2.64    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       42   48   -8      53.02     2.58    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Oldham           41   47  -14      51.96     2.65   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Exeter           42   46  -11      50.80     2.57   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   45  -12      50.22     2.34   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.86R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -13      47.44     2.33   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.67R    0.00  
Tranmere         41   41  -33      45.32     2.56   -36.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.10R    0.00  
Southend         42   39  -19      44.10     2.38   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.71R    0.00  
Wycombe          42   38  -22      42.47     2.55   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.43R    0.00  
Stockport        42   25  -48      28.53     2.32   -51.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         40   80  +52      93.07     2.88    59.66    89.34   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   79  +37      87.82     2.83    40.14    10.66   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          42   74  +10      80.55     2.55    11.59     0.00    91.58   100.00    93.74P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   68   +5      74.58     2.64     6.66     0.00     5.72    91.65    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   67   -1      72.36     2.61    -1.12     0.00     0.67    67.13    13.82P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66   +2      71.75     2.67     2.42     0.00     1.23    61.06    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   65  +11      71.75     2.63    12.92     0.00     0.66    67.53    20.04P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   64   +9      68.82     2.52     7.76     0.00     0.03    25.20     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   63  +14      68.20     2.55    13.71     0.00     0.02    20.91     6.65P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   63  +10      68.60     2.59    10.06     0.00     0.02    22.89     6.52P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   63   +8      70.07     2.60    10.36     0.00     0.08    42.15    11.24P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   59   +3      64.53     2.56     3.12     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   56   -1      60.93     2.50    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   54  -10      61.19     3.02    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   52   -7      57.21     2.63    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   50   -8      55.12     2.60    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   50   -8      56.02     2.54    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -15      53.88     2.47   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              42   47   +2      52.20     2.55     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   46  -21      50.07     2.43   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.21R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   45  -11      51.20     2.69   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Barnet               41   45  -12      50.57     2.89   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.49R    0.00  
Grimsby              42   38  -24      42.96     2.57   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.33R    0.04  
Darlington           40   26  -45      29.87     2.54   -51.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 14 April 2010, Altrincham vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          41   90  +51      95.96     2.11    53.62    99.37   100.00    99.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   86  +44      89.31     1.78    44.86     0.63   100.00    28.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   80  +31      85.94     2.13    33.56     0.00   100.00    27.30P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   77  +28      80.48     1.40    29.58     0.00   100.00    21.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   42   75  +37      78.05     1.85    37.46     0.00   100.00    22.88P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   64  +16      67.64     1.81    17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.30     2.20     9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       41   62   -6      65.87     2.17    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   61  +11      63.35     1.72    10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   55   +8      60.62     2.54     8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   55   +7      58.54     2.13     6.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   53   +7      56.26     1.78     7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         41   53   +7      56.65     2.17     6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          41   49  -11      52.88     2.27   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   47  -22      50.07     2.16   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   46   -8      49.77     2.10    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             40   45  -20      49.76     2.57   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Histon             42   45  -21      47.74     1.85   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   43  -27      44.37     1.48   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.32R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   42  -21      44.85     2.07   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.29R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   42  -27      45.24     1.88   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.36R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -35      40.34     1.78   -35.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.87R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     42   24  -57      25.35     1.44   -59.64     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1