Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 April 2010 at 21:20:06 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Chelsea vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         34   77  +55      85.19     2.23    60.68    85.04    97.46   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         34   73  +50      81.00     2.47    53.90     7.80    56.84    99.84   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      80.89     2.79    45.97     7.15    45.69    99.46   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   62  +28      69.31     2.98    28.39     0.00     0.01     0.59    61.62    96.14     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.15     3.08    27.55     0.00     0.00     0.10    29.09    89.29     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   56  +21      63.69     2.50    24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95    53.59     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.63     3.15    15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.32    58.65     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   50   +8      57.88     2.79     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.33     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   46   -8      52.36     2.41    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   43   -3      48.13     2.47    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   43  -15      46.87     2.40   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   42   -2      48.91     2.68    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   38   -8      43.97     2.53    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.76     2.47   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Bolton          34   32  -26      36.46     2.31   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.59R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.51     2.33   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.43R    0.00  
Wigan           33   31  -34      35.84     2.47   -39.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.49R    0.00  
Burnley         34   27  -36      29.72     2.22   -40.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.29R    0.07  
Hull            33   27  -38      31.46     2.71   -41.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.24R    0.03  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.73     2.63   -35.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.90  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Reading vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        43   95  +52     101.57     2.02    55.77    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        43   86  +39      92.04     2.13    42.18     0.01   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   75  +24      80.37     2.18    25.82     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   70  +19      75.23     2.25    20.71     0.00     0.00    99.79    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   67  +10      71.97     2.24    11.26     0.00     0.00    91.96    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   65   +3      69.51     2.16     3.64     0.00     0.00    59.80    10.32P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   63  +13      68.09     2.27    14.54     0.00     0.00    41.51     7.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   61  +12      64.85     2.11    11.54     0.00     0.00     5.26     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   59   -7      62.82     2.22    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   58   +2      62.15     2.23     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   56   -1      62.69     2.65     0.86     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   55   +0      59.32     2.17     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   54   -8      57.37     2.05    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   53  -11      56.34     2.21   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   53  -13      55.93     2.00   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   52  -11      55.74     2.24   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         43   52  -13      56.00     2.20   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR              42   51   -7      55.99     2.59    -7.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          42   48  -10      52.45     2.55   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   47  -24      51.52     2.57   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.14R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   46   -3      49.60     2.22    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.89R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   45  -19      48.30     2.11   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.41R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      43.93     1.94   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.70R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   31  -28      33.74     2.10   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Bristol_Rovers vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          42   86  +38      93.70     2.48    41.67    94.58    99.13   100.00    99.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   80  +31      87.48     2.49    34.11     3.09    51.39   100.00    67.43P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   79  +33      86.67     2.50    36.28     2.22    40.75   100.00    61.54P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   77  +21      83.09     2.67    21.88     0.09     4.55    99.31    26.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   77  +16      83.25     2.57    17.09     0.02     4.18    99.42    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   71  +19      77.74     2.63    20.91     0.00     0.00    70.15    14.28P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   68  +14      74.85     2.50    16.05     0.00     0.00    19.54     4.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   63  +35      73.57     2.70    40.92     0.00     0.00    11.58     3.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   61   -6      65.12     2.48    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   59   -3      64.43     2.52    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        41   56   +3      63.97     2.87     4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   54   -3      58.64     2.36    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   54   -6      59.18     2.56    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           42   49   -5      53.89     2.53    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         42   49   -7      54.64     2.64    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       42   48   -8      52.98     2.57    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Oldham           41   47  -14      51.98     2.64   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Exeter           42   46  -11      50.82     2.58   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   45  -12      50.21     2.34   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.88R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -13      47.43     2.34   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.71R    0.00  
Tranmere         41   41  -33      45.28     2.53   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.54R    0.00  
Southend         42   39  -19      44.07     2.39   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.66R    0.00  
Wycombe          42   38  -22      42.52     2.54   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.07R    0.00  
Stockport        42   25  -48      28.51     2.30   -51.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Notts_County         40   80  +52      93.09     2.89    59.71    89.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   79  +37      87.82     2.81    40.12    10.43   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          42   74  +10      80.56     2.53    11.61     0.01    91.77   100.00    93.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   68   +5      74.63     2.66     6.72     0.00     5.78    91.80    26.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   67   -1      72.36     2.60    -1.12     0.00     0.66    67.51    13.48P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66   +2      71.73     2.67     2.37     0.00     1.10    60.98    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   65  +11      71.79     2.63    12.97     0.00     0.56    68.08    20.22P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   64   +9      68.76     2.52     7.62     0.00     0.03    24.36     6.47P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   63  +14      68.18     2.54    13.69     0.00     0.05    20.58     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          42   63  +10      68.59     2.60    10.06     0.00     0.01    22.93     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            42   63   +8      70.08     2.59    10.40     0.00     0.04    42.30    11.48P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   59   +3      64.55     2.56     3.15     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   56   -1      60.88     2.49    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   54  -10      61.23     3.03    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   52   -7      57.20     2.63    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   50   -8      55.07     2.62    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         42   50   -8      55.98     2.55    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -15      53.87     2.48   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              42   47   +2      52.23     2.57     1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   46  -21      50.09     2.43   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   45  -11      51.21     2.71   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Barnet               41   45  -12      50.59     2.89   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.58R    0.00  
Grimsby              42   38  -24      42.99     2.58   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.29R    0.05  
Darlington           40   26  -45      29.87     2.55   -51.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 April 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Grays_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          40   87  +50      94.82     2.49    53.30    96.85   100.00    98.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   86  +44      89.31     1.78    44.86     3.11   100.00    30.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         41   80  +31      85.94     2.13    33.57     0.04   100.00    26.98P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   77  +28      80.48     1.41    29.58     0.00   100.00    21.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   42   75  +37      78.07     1.85    37.49     0.00   100.00    22.94P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   64  +16      67.65     1.81    17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.29     2.21     9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       41   62   -6      65.88     2.18    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   61  +11      63.34     1.73    10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   55   +8      60.64     2.55     8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   55   +7      58.51     2.13     6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         40   53   +8      57.52     2.46     6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   53   +7      56.23     1.78     7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          41   49  -11      52.89     2.27   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   47  -22      50.10     2.16   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   46   -8      49.78     2.11    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             40   45  -20      49.72     2.56   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Histon             42   45  -21      47.74     1.84   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   43  -27      44.37     1.47   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.67R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   42  -21      44.84     2.05   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.10R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   42  -27      45.25     1.89   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.33R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -35      40.33     1.78   -35.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.75R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     42   24  -57      25.34     1.44   -59.67     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1