Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 12 April 2010 at 21:19:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 April 2010, Blackburn vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   74  +54      85.05     2.31    63.47    83.94    96.92   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         34   73  +50      81.05     2.46    53.97     8.42    57.24    99.83   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      80.88     2.78    45.96     7.64    45.83    99.45    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   62  +28      69.29     2.97    28.35     0.00     0.01     0.63    60.89    95.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.18     3.07    27.68     0.00     0.00     0.09    29.81    89.31     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   56  +21      63.75     2.50    24.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98    54.21     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.65     3.14    15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.32    58.35     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   50   +8      57.93     2.79     9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   46   -8      52.40     2.41    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   43   -3      48.12     2.46    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   43  -15      46.84     2.40   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   42   -2      48.90     2.67    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   38   -8      43.94     2.52    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.80     2.48   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Bolton          33   32  -25      36.49     2.34   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.48     2.34   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.76R    0.00  
Wigan           33   31  -34      35.86     2.48   -39.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.46R    0.00  
Burnley         34   27  -36      29.69     2.21   -40.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.07R    0.06  
Hull            33   27  -38      31.44     2.68   -41.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.04R    0.02  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.71     2.64   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.92  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        42   92  +51     100.43     2.44    55.50    99.71   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        43   86  +39      92.07     2.13    42.18     0.29   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   75  +24      80.42     2.16    25.89     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   70  +19      75.24     2.23    20.73     0.00     0.00    99.81    26.16P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   67  +10      71.98     2.25    11.28     0.00     0.00    91.78    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   65   +3      69.50     2.14     3.63     0.00     0.00    58.59    10.21P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   63  +13      68.07     2.27    14.50     0.00     0.00    40.75     7.81P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   61  +12      64.82     2.11    11.53     0.00     0.00     5.09     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   59   -7      62.82     2.22    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   58   +2      62.18     2.23     2.16     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   56   +0      63.54     2.93     1.06     0.00     0.00     3.22     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   55   +0      59.33     2.18     0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   54   -8      57.36     2.06    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   53  -11      56.34     2.21   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   53  -13      55.93     2.00   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   52  -11      55.72     2.23   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         43   52  -13      56.01     2.19   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
QPR              42   51   -7      56.00     2.60    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          42   48  -10      52.47     2.55   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.78R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   47  -24      51.50     2.55   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   46   -3      49.61     2.21    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.91R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   45  -19      48.28     2.12   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.43R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      43.92     1.93   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   31  -28      33.76     2.10   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 April 2010, Swindon vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          41   86  +39      95.53     2.86    43.36    96.87    99.75   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   78  +33      87.34     2.84    36.74     2.40    60.61    99.99    74.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   77  +29      85.93     2.87    32.15     0.71    29.85    99.95    53.46P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   77  +16      83.30     2.54    17.16     0.01     6.45    99.49    24.94P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   74  +20      81.77     2.99    21.33     0.01     3.33    95.41    24.33P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   68  +18      76.72     2.94    20.84     0.00     0.01    59.22    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   68  +15      75.88     2.84    16.56     0.00     0.00    38.32     7.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   -2      66.45     2.85    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   60  +31      72.00     3.10    36.90     0.00     0.00     7.56     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   58   -3      65.48     2.83    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        40   55   +3      64.29     3.19     4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   54   -1      59.88     2.71    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   54   -5      59.86     2.84    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           41   48   -5      53.98     2.84    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Brighton         41   48   -7      54.76     2.97    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Exeter           42   46  -11      50.84     2.58   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.38R    0.00  
Oldham           40   46  -14      51.81     2.93   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.14R    0.00  
Hartlepool       41   45  -11      52.14     2.83   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   43  -13      48.06     2.73   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.74R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   42  -13      48.09     2.67   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.23R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   41  -30      46.95     2.94   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.80R    0.00  
Southend         41   38  -19      44.41     2.76   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.13R    0.00  
Wycombe          41   35  -25      40.52     2.85   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.08R    0.08  
Stockport        41   25  -45      29.20     2.59   -49.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.92  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             40   79  +38      90.68     2.95    44.05    29.43   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         39   77  +50      92.63     3.07    59.66    70.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          41   71   +9      79.47     2.84    11.40     0.00    81.31    99.88    86.11P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   65  +13      73.68     3.01    15.76     0.00     8.20    85.06    31.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   65   +4      73.02     3.01     5.75     0.00     4.44    75.32    21.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   65   +2      72.33     3.03     2.71     0.00     3.75    66.95    17.09P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   64  +11      70.30     2.91     9.88     0.00     0.91    45.24    12.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   64   -4      70.88     2.95    -3.90     0.00     0.69    45.24     9.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   63  +11      69.86     2.92    10.88     0.00     0.54    40.35    11.58P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   60  +13      66.62     2.91    12.81     0.00     0.06    10.87     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   60   +5      68.78     2.94     7.80     0.00     0.10    26.18     6.64P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   58   +3      65.37     2.91     3.81     0.00     0.00     4.25     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   55   -1      61.12     2.84    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   54   -9      62.47     3.33    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   50   -5      56.38     2.97    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             41   50  -14      54.68     2.73   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   49   -8      56.64     2.91    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   49   -9      55.32     2.99    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -19      50.38     2.56   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.00  
Barnet               40   45   -9      51.68     3.19   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.00  
Torquay              41   44   +0      50.07     2.86    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.89R    0.00  
Cheltenham           40   44  -11      51.12     2.99   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.00  
Grimsby              41   37  -24      43.18     2.91   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.41R    0.00  
Darlington           39   23  -46      26.95     2.60   -55.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Altrincham vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          40   87  +50      94.85     2.48    53.34    97.34   100.00    98.33P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   83  +41      88.67     2.06    43.48     2.16   100.00    29.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         40   79  +31      87.07     2.48    34.69     0.49   100.00    27.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   41   75  +38      79.72     2.28    38.90     0.00   100.00    24.10P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   74  +25      79.74     1.80    27.93     0.00   100.00    20.45P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   64  +18      70.41     2.00    21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.31     2.20     9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       40   62   -5      67.31     2.58    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   58  +10      61.43     2.17     8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   55   +8      60.58     2.56     8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   55   +7      58.48     2.13     6.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         40   53   +8      57.60     2.49     6.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   52   +7      55.90     2.11     6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   47  -20      51.18     2.56   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   46   -8      49.70     2.10    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury          40   46  -13      51.55     2.67   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             39   45  -17      50.38     2.76   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Histon             41   45  -18      48.14     2.04   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   43  -27      44.36     1.48   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.48R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   42  -21      44.76     2.04   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.64R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   39  -28      43.62     2.31   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.58R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -35      40.35     1.77   -35.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.33R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     41   21  -59      22.51     1.58   -64.22     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1