Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 April 2010 at 21:20:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 April 2010, Blackburn vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   74  +54      85.09     2.31    63.52    84.30    97.06   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         34   73  +50      81.05     2.46    54.00     8.31    57.41    99.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      80.87     2.77    45.92     7.39    45.50    99.44   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   62  +28      69.29     2.97    28.35     0.00     0.03     0.62    61.03    95.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.19     3.09    27.68     0.00     0.00     0.08    29.58    89.53     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   56  +21      63.69     2.51    24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88    53.48     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.66     3.17    15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.51    58.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   50   +8      57.89     2.78     9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      34   46   -8      52.35     2.43    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   43   -3      48.14     2.45    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   43  -15      46.83     2.39   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   42   -2      48.88     2.68    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   38   -8      43.93     2.52    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.82     2.48   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
Bolton          33   32  -25      36.51     2.36   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.88R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.51     2.34   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.60R    0.00  
Wigan           33   31  -34      35.85     2.47   -39.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.72R    0.00  
Burnley         34   27  -36      29.71     2.20   -40.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.20R    0.07  
Hull            33   27  -38      31.49     2.71   -41.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.71R    0.02  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.70     2.65   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.91  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        42   92  +51     100.42     2.44    55.49    99.67   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        43   86  +39      92.07     2.13    42.21     0.33   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   75  +24      80.42     2.18    25.89     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   70  +19      75.22     2.24    20.70     0.00     0.00    99.77    26.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   67  +10      71.99     2.26    11.30     0.00     0.00    91.73    18.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   65   +3      69.53     2.16     3.67     0.00     0.00    58.95    10.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   63  +13      68.09     2.26    14.55     0.00     0.00    40.69     7.86P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   61  +12      64.83     2.11    11.53     0.00     0.00     5.02     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   59   -7      62.82     2.22    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   58   +2      62.19     2.25     2.15     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   56   +0      63.58     2.92     1.12     0.00     0.00     3.00     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   55   +0      59.32     2.16     0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   54   -8      57.35     2.04    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   53  -11      56.32     2.20   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   53  -13      55.92     1.98   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   52  -11      55.74     2.23   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         43   52  -13      56.01     2.21   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
QPR              42   51   -7      56.00     2.59    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          42   48  -10      52.47     2.55   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   47  -24      51.49     2.55   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.30R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   46   -3      49.57     2.21    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   45  -19      48.30     2.12   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.15R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      43.94     1.94   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.68R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   31  -28      33.72     2.08   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          41   86  +39      95.54     2.84    43.39    96.86    99.66   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   78  +33      87.30     2.86    36.69     2.32    56.50    99.99    71.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   77  +29      85.92     2.88    32.14     0.70    27.93    99.96    51.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   76  +16      84.43     2.85    18.28     0.10    12.86    99.59    30.27P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   74  +20      81.86     3.00    21.46     0.02     3.04    95.56    24.09P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   68  +18      76.80     2.94    20.97     0.00     0.01    59.98    12.80P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   68  +15      75.88     2.81    16.56     0.00     0.00    37.71     7.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   -2      66.44     2.86    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   60  +31      72.00     3.08    36.89     0.00     0.00     7.18     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   58   -3      65.47     2.82    -2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        40   55   +3      64.32     3.18     4.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   54   -1      59.88     2.71    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   54   -5      59.85     2.83    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           41   48   -5      53.95     2.83    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Brighton         41   48   -7      54.79     2.98    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Oldham           40   46  -14      51.79     2.93   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.11R    0.00  
Hartlepool       41   45  -11      52.13     2.85   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11R    0.00  
Exeter           41   45  -11      50.41     2.83   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.11R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   43  -13      48.08     2.73   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.82R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   42  -13      48.13     2.65   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.92R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   41  -30      46.98     2.92   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.88R    0.00  
Southend         41   38  -19      44.42     2.77   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.64R    0.01  
Wycombe          41   35  -25      40.48     2.86   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.14R    0.10  
Stockport        41   25  -45      29.18     2.58   -49.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.90  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             40   79  +38      90.72     2.92    44.10    29.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         39   77  +50      92.60     3.05    59.61    70.01   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          41   71   +9      79.49     2.84    11.41     0.00    81.49    99.86    86.12P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   65  +13      73.68     2.95    15.77     0.00     8.00    85.41    31.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   65   +4      72.98     2.99     5.70     0.00     4.47    74.89    21.33P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   65   +2      72.33     3.01     2.70     0.00     3.83    66.86    17.07P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   64  +11      70.32     2.90     9.91     0.00     0.86    45.33    12.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   64   -4      70.87     2.96    -3.90     0.00     0.67    44.88     8.76P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   63  +11      69.88     2.90    10.93     0.00     0.55    40.12    11.60P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   60  +13      66.70     2.91    12.92     0.00     0.04    11.21     3.57P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   60   +5      68.79     2.95     7.85     0.00     0.10    26.66     6.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   58   +3      65.33     2.91     3.74     0.00     0.00     4.19     1.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   55   -1      61.12     2.84    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   54   -9      62.44     3.31    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   50   -5      56.40     2.94    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hereford             41   50  -14      54.69     2.75   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   49   -8      56.66     2.91    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             41   49   -9      55.36     2.98    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -19      50.39     2.55   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33R    0.00  
Barnet               40   45   -9      51.62     3.17   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.00  
Torquay              41   44   +0      50.01     2.86    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham           40   44  -11      51.17     2.98   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.00  
Grimsby              41   37  -24      43.19     2.91   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.32R    0.00  
Darlington           39   23  -46      26.87     2.58   -55.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Altrincham vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          40   87  +50      94.81     2.48    53.30    97.22   100.00    98.21P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   83  +41      88.69     2.08    43.48     2.19   100.00    30.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         40   79  +31      87.05     2.49    34.66     0.59   100.00    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   41   75  +38      79.71     2.28    38.88     0.00   100.00    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   74  +25      79.71     1.81    27.90     0.00   100.00    20.10P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   64  +18      70.40     2.00    21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.32     2.20     9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       40   62   -5      67.31     2.58    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   58  +10      61.43     2.16     8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   55   +8      60.58     2.55     8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   55   +7      58.46     2.12     6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         40   53   +8      57.63     2.49     6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   52   +7      55.90     2.11     6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   47  -20      51.21     2.55   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   46   -8      49.73     2.10    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury          40   46  -13      51.52     2.67   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             39   45  -17      50.40     2.78   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Histon             41   45  -18      48.14     2.04   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   43  -27      44.36     1.48   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.34R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   42  -21      44.76     2.04   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.56R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   39  -28      43.58     2.31   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.93R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -35      40.35     1.78   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.27R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     41   21  -59      22.55     1.60   -64.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1