Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 April 2010 at 21:20:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Hull vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   74  +54      85.06     2.31    63.44    75.83    95.31   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         33   72  +50      82.22     2.77    55.22    17.58    68.40    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      81.01     2.75    46.18     6.59    36.29    99.66    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   59  +24      68.15     3.24    25.07     0.00     0.00     0.31    46.63    89.05     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.25     3.10    27.78     0.00     0.00     0.09    35.66    87.54     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   55  +21      64.93     2.80    25.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.44    68.94     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.61     3.15    15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.28    52.59     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   50   +8      57.94     2.78     9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   46   -4      53.17     2.67    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           32   42   -3      48.43     2.79    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   42  -15      46.47     2.66   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   41   -2      48.47     2.91    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   38   -8      43.91     2.52    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   32  -23      38.26     2.84   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Bolton          33   32  -25      36.43     2.34   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.88R    0.00  
West_Ham        34   31  -16      35.54     2.36   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.37R    0.00  
Wigan           33   31  -34      35.82     2.46   -39.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.59R    0.00  
Burnley         34   27  -36      29.67     2.19   -40.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.23R    0.08  
Hull            33   27  -38      31.42     2.70   -41.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.71R    0.03  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.73     2.65   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.89  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        42   92  +51     100.39     2.45    55.45    99.69   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        43   86  +39      92.06     2.13    42.19     0.31   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   75  +24      80.39     2.18    25.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   70  +19      75.21     2.24    20.69     0.00     0.00    99.75    25.90P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   67  +10      71.98     2.26    11.28     0.00     0.00    91.55    18.21P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   65   +3      69.53     2.15     3.68     0.00     0.00    58.90    10.59P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        43   63  +13      68.11     2.27    14.54     0.00     0.00    41.09     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   61  +12      64.83     2.11    11.54     0.00     0.00     4.98     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   59   -7      62.80     2.22    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   58   +2      62.16     2.23     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   56   +0      63.57     2.93     1.09     0.00     0.00     3.04     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   55   +0      59.30     2.15     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   54   -8      57.37     2.05    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   53  -11      56.33     2.20   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   53  -13      55.90     1.99   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   52  -11      55.77     2.24   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         43   52  -13      56.02     2.20   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
QPR              42   51   -7      56.03     2.60    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          42   48  -10      52.45     2.55   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.82R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   47  -24      51.52     2.57   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   46   -3      49.59     2.21    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.99R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   45  -19      48.29     2.12   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.35R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   41  -19      43.93     1.93   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.71R    0.00  
Peterborough     43   31  -28      33.74     2.09   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          41   86  +39      95.56     2.85    43.42    96.96    99.70   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   78  +33      87.31     2.85    36.69     2.23    57.00    99.99    71.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   77  +29      85.93     2.88    32.14     0.69    27.44    99.95    51.66P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   76  +16      84.42     2.87    18.29     0.10    12.95    99.60    30.61P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   74  +20      81.81     3.01    21.38     0.01     2.90    95.34    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   68  +18      76.76     2.96    20.90     0.00     0.00    59.36    12.34P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   68  +15      75.89     2.83    16.59     0.00     0.00    38.58     8.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   61   -2      66.42     2.85    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   60  +31      71.96     3.08    36.86     0.00     0.00     7.13     2.30P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   58   -3      65.49     2.84    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        40   55   +3      64.29     3.17     4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   54   -1      59.90     2.72    -3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   54   -5      59.86     2.85    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           41   48   -5      53.97     2.86    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Brighton         41   48   -7      54.79     2.95    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Oldham           40   46  -14      51.81     2.93   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       41   45  -11      52.17     2.85   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.00  
Exeter           41   45  -11      50.42     2.81   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.83R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   43  -13      48.08     2.74   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.71R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   42  -13      48.12     2.64   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.91R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   41  -30      46.99     2.93   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.88R    0.00  
Southend         41   38  -19      44.39     2.74   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.06R    0.00  
Wycombe          41   35  -25      40.47     2.84   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.18R    0.07  
Stockport        41   25  -45      29.16     2.58   -49.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.93  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Barnet vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             40   79  +38      90.71     2.93    44.07    30.08   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         39   77  +50      92.60     3.08    59.59    69.92   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          41   71   +9      79.48     2.85    11.41     0.00    81.47    99.88    86.20P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   65  +13      73.70     2.96    15.81     0.00     7.98    85.47    31.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   65   +4      73.00     3.01     5.73     0.00     4.40    74.85    20.94P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   65   +2      72.37     3.00     2.78     0.00     3.78    67.46    17.52P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   64  +11      70.32     2.89     9.93     0.00     0.91    45.37    12.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   64   -4      70.87     2.95    -3.91     0.00     0.68    44.50     8.67P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          41   63  +11      69.88     2.92    10.91     0.00     0.62    40.41    11.57P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   60  +13      66.66     2.91    12.86     0.00     0.04    11.00     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   60   +5      68.81     2.94     7.86     0.00     0.11    26.39     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   58   +3      65.31     2.91     3.72     0.00     0.00     4.09     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   55   -1      61.13     2.82    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   54   -9      62.47     3.32    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   50   -5      56.35     2.96    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             41   50  -14      54.66     2.73   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   49   -8      56.60     2.92    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             41   49   -9      55.27     2.99   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -19      50.42     2.54   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Barnet               40   45   -9      51.67     3.17   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.79R    0.00  
Torquay              41   44   +0      50.02     2.86    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.80R    0.00  
Cheltenham           40   44  -11      51.20     3.01   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.00  
Grimsby              41   37  -24      43.15     2.91   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.58R    0.00  
Darlington           39   23  -46      26.92     2.59   -55.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 April 2010, Altrincham vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          40   87  +50      94.85     2.48    53.34    97.42   100.00    98.34P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   83  +41      88.66     2.07    43.44     2.07   100.00    29.63P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         40   79  +31      87.04     2.47    34.65     0.52   100.00    27.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   41   75  +38      79.75     2.30    38.92     0.00   100.00    24.83P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   74  +25      79.70     1.80    27.88     0.00   100.00    20.01P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   64  +18      70.41     2.00    21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.30     2.20     9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       40   62   -5      67.33     2.59    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   58  +10      61.45     2.15     8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   55   +8      60.57     2.56     8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   55   +7      58.46     2.13     6.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         40   53   +8      57.60     2.47     6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   52   +7      55.91     2.11     6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   47  -20      51.18     2.55   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   46   -8      49.75     2.10    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury          40   46  -13      51.58     2.65   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             39   45  -17      50.40     2.78   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Histon             41   45  -18      48.14     2.05   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   43  -27      44.36     1.48   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.08R    0.00  
Gateshead          41   42  -21      44.76     2.04   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.42R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   39  -28      43.58     2.32   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.12R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   42   38  -35      40.32     1.77   -35.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.54R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     41   21  -59      22.54     1.59   -64.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1