Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 April 2010 at 21:20:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 April 2010, Birmingham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   74  +54      85.08     2.31    63.48    76.32    95.54   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         33   72  +50      82.18     2.79    55.19    17.19    68.37    99.90   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      80.93     2.78    46.08     6.48    36.06    99.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   59  +24      68.29     3.23    25.30     0.00     0.02     0.32    48.15    89.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.28     3.08    27.82     0.00     0.00     0.09    34.99    88.04     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   55  +21      64.92     2.79    25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.98    68.73     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.54     3.16    15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.87    51.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   50   +8      57.93     2.78     9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.73     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   46   -4      53.15     2.67    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           32   42   -3      48.41     2.80    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   42  -15      46.49     2.67   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   41   -2      48.51     2.91    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   38   -7      45.14     2.86    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   32  -23      38.20     2.83   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.83R    0.00  
Bolton          33   32  -25      36.41     2.35   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.83R    0.00  
Wigan           33   31  -34      35.75     2.47   -39.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.17R    0.00  
West_Ham        33   28  -17      34.14     2.72   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.35R    0.00  
Hull            32   27  -35      33.57     3.09   -37.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.91R    0.00  
Burnley         33   24  -39      27.35     2.46   -45.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.91R    1.08  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.76     2.65   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.91  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 April 2010, Barnsley vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        41   89  +48      99.61     2.74    53.72    99.20   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        42   83  +38      90.60     2.53    41.44     0.80    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     42   72  +21      79.27     2.52    23.53     0.00     0.01    99.98    33.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   69  +19      76.35     2.59    21.93     0.00     0.00    99.65    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   65   +4      70.86     2.52     4.67     0.00     0.00    73.11    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   64   +9      70.62     2.64    10.66     0.00     0.00    72.60    14.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   63  +16      68.78     2.52    16.33     0.00     0.00    47.85     9.94P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   58  +11      63.91     2.46    11.56     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   56   -8      61.14     2.55    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   55   +1      60.95     2.60     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   55   +1      60.44     2.53     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   55   +0      63.29     3.19    -0.04     0.00     0.00     2.96     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   -5      58.16     2.34    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   52  -12      56.96     2.52   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   52  -13      56.60     2.42   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Derby            42   51  -11      55.83     2.61   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Preston          42   50  -12      55.21     2.58   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
QPR              41   48   -9      53.85     2.88   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   47  -23      52.47     2.88   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.82R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   46   -1      51.42     2.60    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.61R    0.00  
Watford          41   45  -11      51.28     2.89   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.19R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   45  -18      48.96     2.39   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.60R    0.00  
Plymouth         42   41  -18      44.95     2.34   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.38R    0.49  
Peterborough     42   31  -27      34.83     2.46   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.51  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 April 2010, Huddersfield vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          40   85  +39      96.95     3.07    45.20    98.56    99.84   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   76  +19      85.93     3.15    21.56     0.37    28.29    99.77    44.04P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   75  +29      86.26     3.11    33.52     0.75    40.81    99.92    59.54P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   74  +27      85.16     3.12    31.52     0.25    23.70    99.76    47.40P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   74  +21      82.77     3.27    21.70     0.07     6.98    97.19    25.89P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   68  +21      78.46     3.25    24.40     0.00     0.38    81.20    18.47P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   65  +12      74.17     3.16    13.38     0.00     0.00    17.84     3.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   61   -1      67.88     3.18    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   57  +30      70.81     3.37    36.58     0.00     0.00     3.98     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   57   -3      64.93     3.02    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   52   +0      62.23     3.48     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   51   -2      57.89     3.03    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          40   51   -6      58.79     3.11    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         40   48   -6      56.52     3.30    -5.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   45   -7      52.57     3.17    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.21R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   45   -9      53.75     3.20    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.00  
Exeter           40   44  -11      50.97     3.16   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.25R    0.00  
Gillingham       40   43   -9      48.85     2.95   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.63R    0.00  
Oldham           39   43  -15      50.16     3.26   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   41  -13      48.21     2.98   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.33R    0.00  
Tranmere         39   41  -29      47.88     3.21   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.33R    0.00  
Southend         40   38  -17      44.98     2.96   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.07R    0.01  
Wycombe          40   32  -27      38.66     3.16   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.84R    1.95  
Stockport        40   25  -43      30.29     2.91   -47.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.03  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             39   79  +43      93.17     3.21    50.91    58.70   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         38   74  +49      91.46     3.37    59.38    41.30    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          40   71  +10      81.22     3.15    12.94     0.01    83.45    99.89    87.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   65   +6      74.28     3.31     7.54     0.00     5.72    80.39    23.97P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   64  +13      73.98     3.29    15.67     0.00     5.24    81.55    28.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   64   +2      72.92     3.32     3.05     0.00     3.13    66.64    16.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   64   -1      72.54     3.28    -0.47     0.00     1.45    60.00    12.67P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          40   63  +12      70.67     3.16    11.03     0.00     0.72    44.06    12.74P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   61   +9      68.88     3.23     8.18     0.00     0.14    25.45     6.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   59  +13      67.22     3.23    13.13     0.00     0.07    13.89     4.37P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            40   59   +5      68.94     3.26     7.52     0.00     0.10    25.36     6.72P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   55   +0      63.32     3.21     0.17     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   54   -1      61.85     3.16    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   53   -9      63.44     3.62    -7.87     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   50   -2      58.13     3.28    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   50  -13      56.35     3.09   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   48   -9      55.26     3.30   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         40   46   -9      54.84     3.22    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               39   45   -8      53.15     3.47   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   43  -20      48.30     2.83   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.00  
Torquay              40   41   -5      47.47     3.08    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.69R    0.00  
Cheltenham           39   41  -14      49.21     3.28   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30R    0.00  
Grimsby              40   34  -25      41.15     3.18   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.31R    0.07  
Darlington           38   22  -46      26.80     2.90   -56.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.93  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 8 April 2010, Barrow vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          39   84  +48      94.36     2.66    53.49    92.14   100.00    94.97P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   82  +41      89.51     2.45    44.13     7.51   100.00    32.58P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         39   76  +30      85.57     2.85    33.89     0.35   100.00    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   74  +27      81.89     2.21    31.04     0.00   100.00    23.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   40   72  +36      79.29     2.50    39.14     0.00    99.98    23.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.38     2.19     9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      40   61  +17      68.70     2.44    20.69     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       39   59   -6      65.58     2.92    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   58  +11      62.97     2.58    10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         39   53   +9      58.79     2.82     7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   52   +8      57.41     2.53     8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   52   +6      58.99     2.93     6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   52   +5      57.45     2.50     5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   46  -20      52.00     2.94   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           40   45   -8      49.60     2.41    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Histon             40   45  -17      49.56     2.46   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Barrow             38   44  -17      50.50     3.09   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Salisbury          39   43  -14      49.72     3.01   -14.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Gateshead          40   42  -19      46.05     2.45   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.09R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    41   40  -29      42.00     1.81   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.09R    0.00  
Forest_Green       40   39  -26      43.86     2.42   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.17R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   38  -33      40.62     1.94   -35.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.06R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     40   21  -57      23.29     1.93   -63.02     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1