Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 April 2010 at 21:20:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 April 2010, Birmingham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   74  +54      85.04     2.31    63.48    75.86    95.31   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         33   72  +50      82.18     2.78    55.17    17.57    67.94    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      80.97     2.76    46.14     6.57    36.74    99.70   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   59  +24      68.25     3.23    25.22     0.00     0.02     0.30    47.60    89.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.31     3.07    27.88     0.00     0.00     0.09    35.75    88.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   55  +21      64.95     2.79    25.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.91    68.98     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.54     3.15    15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.74    51.51     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   50   +8      57.91     2.78     9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   46   -4      53.17     2.66    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           32   42   -3      48.43     2.80    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   42  -15      46.49     2.68   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   41   -2      48.43     2.91    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   38   -7      45.11     2.86    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   32  -23      38.24     2.84   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.83R    0.00  
Bolton          33   32  -25      36.43     2.36   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.88R    0.00  
Wigan           33   31  -34      35.77     2.47   -39.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.05R    0.00  
West_Ham        33   28  -17      34.16     2.75   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.98R    0.00  
Hull            32   27  -35      33.56     3.09   -37.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.32R    0.01  
Burnley         33   24  -39      27.33     2.44   -45.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.94R    1.10  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.74     2.65   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.89  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 April 2010, Barnsley vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        41   89  +48      99.61     2.74    53.73    99.26   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        42   83  +38      90.64     2.53    41.48     0.74    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     42   72  +21      79.26     2.52    23.52     0.00     0.02    99.99    33.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   69  +19      76.33     2.60    21.88     0.00     0.00    99.55    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   65   +4      70.89     2.52     4.70     0.00     0.00    73.02    13.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   64   +9      70.60     2.63    10.62     0.00     0.00    72.25    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   63  +16      68.80     2.51    16.35     0.00     0.00    48.20    10.05P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   58  +11      63.90     2.48    11.56     0.00     0.00     3.44     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   56   -8      61.14     2.55    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   55   +1      60.95     2.60     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   55   +1      60.40     2.54     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   55   +0      63.33     3.21     0.04     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   -5      58.17     2.34    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   52  -12      56.95     2.53   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   52  -13      56.59     2.41   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Derby            42   51  -11      55.80     2.60   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Preston          42   50  -12      55.22     2.60   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
QPR              41   48   -9      53.84     2.89   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.52R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   47  -23      52.48     2.87   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.95R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   46   -1      51.48     2.61    -0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.30R    0.00  
Watford          41   45  -11      51.34     2.92   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.89R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   45  -18      48.95     2.40   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         42   41  -18      44.92     2.32   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.55R    0.44  
Peterborough     42   31  -27      34.81     2.46   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.56  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 April 2010, Huddersfield vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          40   85  +39      96.96     3.08    45.19    98.57    99.83   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   76  +19      85.93     3.17    21.52     0.35    28.15    99.78    43.66P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   75  +29      86.30     3.12    33.59     0.76    41.09    99.94    59.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   74  +27      85.18     3.14    31.56     0.25    23.51    99.80    47.26P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   74  +21      82.70     3.29    21.61     0.07     7.05    97.02    25.97P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   68  +21      78.40     3.26    24.32     0.00     0.37    80.19    18.44P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   65  +12      74.23     3.14    13.49     0.00     0.00    18.66     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   61   -1      67.87     3.17    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   57  +30      70.86     3.38    36.67     0.00     0.00     4.23     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   57   -3      64.92     3.03    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   52   +0      62.28     3.50     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   51   -2      57.88     3.02    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   51   -6      58.80     3.14    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         40   48   -6      56.52     3.29    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   45   -7      52.52     3.17    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.34R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   45   -9      53.69     3.21    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Exeter           40   44  -11      50.98     3.14   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.96R    0.00  
Gillingham       40   43   -9      48.80     2.97   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.33R    0.00  
Oldham           39   43  -15      50.19     3.27   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.54R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   41  -13      48.20     2.98   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.33R    0.00  
Tranmere         39   41  -29      47.86     3.21   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.48R    0.00  
Southend         40   38  -17      44.98     2.97   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.98R    0.02  
Wycombe          40   32  -27      38.73     3.17   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.76R    1.89  
Stockport        40   25  -43      30.31     2.91   -47.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.09  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             39   79  +43      93.12     3.19    50.82    58.56   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         38   74  +49      91.42     3.37    59.33    41.41   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          40   71  +10      81.27     3.19    13.03     0.02    83.74    99.89    87.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   65   +6      74.27     3.31     7.55     0.00     5.59    80.15    23.51P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   64  +13      74.00     3.28    15.70     0.00     5.07    82.10    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   64   +2      72.91     3.33     3.02     0.00     3.19    66.57    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   64   -1      72.52     3.28    -0.49     0.00     1.35    59.96    13.04P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          40   63  +12      70.70     3.15    11.09     0.00     0.70    44.55    12.77P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   61   +9      68.84     3.24     8.10     0.00     0.16    24.85     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   59  +13      67.22     3.23    13.13     0.00     0.09    14.02     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            40   59   +5      68.94     3.26     7.52     0.00     0.10    25.27     6.49P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   55   +0      63.39     3.19     0.25     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   54   -1      61.85     3.17    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   53   -9      63.46     3.61    -7.84     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   50   -2      58.13     3.29    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   50  -13      56.36     3.08   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             40   48   -9      55.25     3.30   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         40   46   -9      54.82     3.23    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               39   45   -8      53.19     3.46   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   43  -20      48.32     2.84   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.62R    0.00  
Torquay              40   41   -5      47.48     3.09    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.56R    0.00  
Cheltenham           39   41  -14      49.15     3.31   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.48R    0.00  
Grimsby              40   34  -25      41.12     3.18   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.16R    0.07  
Darlington           38   22  -46      26.84     2.91   -56.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.93  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 April 2010, York vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          39   84  +48      94.39     2.66    53.54    92.04   100.00    94.92P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   82  +41      89.56     2.45    44.18     7.62   100.00    33.50P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         39   76  +30      85.57     2.84    33.87     0.34   100.00    25.07P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   74  +27      81.90     2.19    31.07     0.00   100.00    23.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   40   72  +36      79.30     2.50    39.13     0.00    99.98    23.47P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.38     2.19     9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      40   61  +17      68.67     2.45    20.62     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       39   59   -6      65.61     2.93    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   58  +11      62.93     2.57    10.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         39   53   +9      58.77     2.82     7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   52   +8      57.43     2.53     8.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   52   +7      60.67     3.26     7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   52   +5      57.40     2.47     5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   46  -20      52.00     2.92   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           40   45   -8      49.57     2.42    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Histon             40   45  -17      49.58     2.45   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Salisbury          39   43  -14      49.78     3.03   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Gateshead          40   42  -19      46.05     2.45   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.72R    0.00  
Barrow             37   41  -18      48.52     3.38   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.22R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    41   40  -29      41.99     1.80   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.29R    0.00  
Forest_Green       40   39  -26      43.84     2.43   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.72R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   38  -33      40.62     1.94   -35.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.69R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     40   21  -57      23.28     1.94   -62.97     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1