Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 April 2010 at 21:20:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 April 2010, Birmingham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   74  +54      85.06     2.31    63.49    75.76    95.32   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         33   72  +50      82.23     2.78    55.24    17.55    68.01    99.90   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      80.99     2.78    46.14     6.69    36.66    99.68   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   59  +24      68.28     3.23    25.29     0.00     0.01     0.33    47.98    89.64     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.30     3.07    27.89     0.00     0.00     0.09    35.53    88.16     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   55  +21      64.94     2.79    25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.90    69.06     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.54     3.14    15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.59    51.35     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   50   +8      57.91     2.79     9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   46   -4      53.17     2.67    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           32   42   -3      48.44     2.79    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   42  -15      46.47     2.68   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   41   -2      48.52     2.92    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   38   -7      45.08     2.86    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   32  -23      38.20     2.83   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Bolton          33   32  -25      36.40     2.36   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.83R    0.00  
Wigan           33   31  -34      35.76     2.48   -39.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.76R    0.00  
West_Ham        33   28  -17      34.09     2.74   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.83R    0.00  
Hull            32   27  -35      33.57     3.09   -37.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.75R    0.01  
Burnley         33   24  -39      27.34     2.45   -45.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.90R    1.10  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.76     2.65   -35.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.89  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 April 2010, Barnsley vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        41   89  +48      99.60     2.74    53.73    99.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        42   83  +38      90.61     2.53    41.42     0.72    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     42   72  +21      79.25     2.53    23.52     0.00     0.02    99.99    33.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   69  +19      76.32     2.60    21.87     0.00     0.00    99.56    26.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   65   +4      70.85     2.53     4.66     0.00     0.00    72.83    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   64   +9      70.58     2.64    10.60     0.00     0.00    72.16    14.31P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        42   63  +16      68.80     2.52    16.35     0.00     0.00    48.62    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   58  +11      63.91     2.45    11.58     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   56   -8      61.13     2.56    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   55   +1      60.98     2.58     1.77     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   55   +1      60.42     2.53     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   55   +0      63.29     3.19    -0.05     0.00     0.00     2.92     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   54   -5      58.14     2.34    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   52  -12      56.91     2.53   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   52  -13      56.59     2.42   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Derby            42   51  -11      55.82     2.60   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Preston          42   50  -12      55.23     2.61   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
QPR              41   48   -9      53.88     2.90   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.44R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   47  -23      52.50     2.88   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.51R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   46   -1      51.46     2.62    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.57R    0.00  
Watford          41   45  -11      51.31     2.91   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.25R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   45  -18      48.95     2.39   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         42   41  -18      44.96     2.32   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.29R    0.44  
Peterborough     42   31  -27      34.83     2.47   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.56  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 April 2010, Huddersfield vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          40   85  +39      96.97     3.08    45.18    98.52    99.87   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   76  +19      85.94     3.16    21.57     0.38    28.46    99.80    43.85P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   75  +29      86.26     3.12    33.50     0.79    40.67    99.92    59.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   74  +27      85.14     3.12    31.49     0.23    23.62    99.81    47.16P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   74  +21      82.76     3.27    21.70     0.08     6.99    97.28    26.32P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   68  +21      78.44     3.25    24.36     0.00     0.38    80.96    18.49P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   65  +12      74.18     3.16    13.42     0.00     0.01    17.98     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   61   -1      67.90     3.15    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   57  +30      70.83     3.37    36.61     0.00     0.00     3.95     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   57   -3      64.89     3.02    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   52   +0      62.31     3.49     1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   51   -2      57.92     3.03    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   51   -6      58.79     3.13    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   48   -6      56.52     3.31    -5.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   45   -7      52.54     3.17    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   45   -9      53.69     3.21    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.00  
Exeter           40   44  -11      51.02     3.17   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.83R    0.00  
Gillingham       40   43   -9      48.89     2.96   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.35R    0.00  
Oldham           39   43  -15      50.11     3.24   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.47R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   41  -13      48.22     2.97   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.22R    0.00  
Tranmere         39   41  -29      47.88     3.23   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.41R    0.00  
Southend         40   38  -17      44.96     2.95   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.27R    0.01  
Wycombe          40   32  -27      38.64     3.16   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.82R    1.89  
Stockport        40   25  -43      30.28     2.91   -47.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.10  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 April 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             39   79  +43      93.11     3.22    50.83    58.74   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         38   74  +49      91.42     3.38    59.31    41.24    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          40   71  +10      81.23     3.15    12.93     0.02    83.80    99.90    88.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   65   +6      74.27     3.30     7.54     0.00     5.78    80.17    23.83P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   64  +13      73.94     3.25    15.62     0.00     4.96    81.81    27.66P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   64   +2      72.91     3.33     3.03     0.00     3.10    66.40    16.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   64   -1      72.54     3.27    -0.47     0.00     1.34    60.24    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          40   63  +12      70.68     3.16    11.06     0.00     0.71    44.18    12.67P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   61   +9      68.88     3.24     8.18     0.00     0.17    25.05     6.58P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   59  +13      67.23     3.21    13.13     0.00     0.09    13.78     4.34P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            40   59   +5      68.98     3.27     7.57     0.00     0.08    25.63     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   55   +0      63.36     3.22     0.20     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   54   -1      61.91     3.18    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   53   -9      63.45     3.65    -7.85     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   50   -2      58.07     3.28    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   50  -13      56.39     3.07   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   48   -9      55.24     3.28   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         40   46   -9      54.83     3.24    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               39   45   -8      53.17     3.47   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   43  -20      48.30     2.82   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.64R    0.00  
Torquay              40   41   -5      47.46     3.09    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.71R    0.00  
Cheltenham           39   41  -14      49.29     3.29   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Grimsby              40   34  -25      41.13     3.19   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.37R    0.07  
Darlington           38   22  -46      26.79     2.92   -56.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.93  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 April 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          39   84  +48      94.45     2.67    53.61    92.29   100.00    95.16P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   82  +41      89.56     2.46    44.18     7.34   100.00    34.57P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         39   76  +30      85.59     2.85    33.90     0.37   100.00    25.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   40   72  +36      79.28     2.50    39.10     0.00    99.62    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   71  +22      80.25     2.61    25.86     0.00    99.16    20.22P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   62   +8      67.36     2.19     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   61  +22      70.04     2.71    25.75     0.00     1.21     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       39   59   -6      65.65     2.91    -6.21     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   58  +11      62.81     2.58     9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         39   53   +9      58.76     2.81     7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   52   +8      57.46     2.53     8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   52   +7      60.70     3.27     7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   52   +5      57.44     2.48     5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   46  -20      51.97     2.94   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           40   45   -8      49.52     2.40    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Histon             40   45  -17      49.58     2.45   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Salisbury          39   43  -14      49.69     3.01   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Gateshead          40   42  -19      45.94     2.44   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.30R    0.00  
Barrow             37   41  -18      48.62     3.41   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    41   40  -29      42.05     1.82   -31.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.70R    0.00  
Forest_Green       40   39  -26      43.85     2.43   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.04R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   41   38  -33      40.64     1.95   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.44R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     40   21  -57      23.29     1.94   -62.88     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1