Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 April 2010 at 21:19:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 April 2010, Birmingham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   74  +54      85.07     2.31    63.55    76.59    95.51   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         33   72  +50      82.16     2.78    55.18    17.08    67.95    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      80.94     2.77    46.10     6.33    36.52    99.60    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   59  +24      68.23     3.24    25.23     0.00     0.02     0.37    47.34    89.44     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.35     3.10    27.95     0.00     0.00     0.11    36.11    88.28     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   55  +21      64.92     2.78    25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.62    68.57     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.57     3.16    15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94    51.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   50   +8      57.95     2.79     9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.83     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      33   46   -4      53.16     2.66    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           32   42   -3      48.40     2.81    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   42  -15      46.46     2.66   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   41   -2      48.51     2.89    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   38   -7      45.14     2.86    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   32  -23      38.22     2.83   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Bolton          33   32  -25      36.42     2.35   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.79R    0.00  
Wigan           33   31  -34      35.78     2.46   -39.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.75R    0.00  
West_Ham        33   28  -17      34.11     2.76   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.95R    0.00  
Hull            32   27  -35      33.58     3.09   -37.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.76R    0.00  
Burnley         33   24  -39      27.34     2.46   -45.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.83R    1.12  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.71     2.65   -35.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.87  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Bristol_City vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        40   86  +47      98.98     2.97    54.32    96.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        41   82  +38      91.56     2.88    42.34     3.25    99.88   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     41   71  +21      80.08     2.87    24.20     0.00     0.12   100.00    35.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   68  +19      76.20     2.90    21.20     0.00     0.00    99.79    27.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   62   +1      69.45     2.83     2.01     0.00     0.00    68.72    11.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   61   +5      69.24     2.97     7.03     0.00     0.00    69.17    12.49P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        41   60  +14      67.56     2.85    14.92     0.00     0.00    49.79    10.70P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   +9      62.24     2.83     9.49     0.00     0.00     4.02     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        41   55   +3      61.47     2.86     2.61     0.00     0.00     2.86     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   55   +2      61.45     2.79     1.23     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   53   -9      59.32     2.91    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          39   52   -3      61.73     3.49    -2.99     0.00     0.00     3.46     0.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         41   52   -9      58.09     2.86   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Ipswich          41   51   -7      56.09     2.65    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.21R    0.00  
Derby            41   51   -9      57.60     2.96    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   51  -13      57.48     2.77   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Preston          41   50  -10      56.36     2.91   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
QPR              40   48   -5      55.01     3.17    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.25R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   47  -20      53.52     3.11   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.39R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   45  -17      50.62     2.80   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.39R    0.00  
Watford          40   44  -11      51.22     3.20   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.74R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   43   -3      49.96     2.94    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.14R    0.00  
Plymouth         41   41  -16      46.27     2.68   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.66R    0.35  
Peterborough     41   30  -27      34.72     2.76   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.65  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Leeds_United vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          39   82  +38      96.94     3.18    47.54    99.00    99.90   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          39   73  +16      85.09     3.37    19.79     0.38    32.40    99.10    46.37P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   72  +28      84.58     3.42    32.45     0.33    34.18    98.94    54.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   71  +26      83.81     3.44    30.88     0.23    23.70    98.56    46.82P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   71  +20      81.71     3.55    21.62     0.07     8.82    93.06    27.01P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   65  +19      77.52     3.49    23.40     0.00     0.76    68.19    16.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   65  +13      75.73     3.47    14.68     0.00     0.25    37.34     7.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   58   -2      66.42     3.48    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   57   -2      65.95     3.33    -3.58     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   54  +29      70.25     3.62    37.34     0.00     0.00     4.44     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        38   51   +0      63.17     3.73     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   51   -1      58.57     3.27    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   48   -4      57.88     3.59    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          39   48   -7      57.83     3.44    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   45   -6      53.70     3.45    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.00  
Exeter           39   43  -11      50.93     3.42   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.62R    0.00  
Oldham           38   43  -13      50.81     3.46   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.94R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   42  -11      52.14     3.50   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.63R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   41  -12      48.65     3.14   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.17R    0.00  
Tranmere         38   41  -26      48.55     3.41   -31.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.42R    0.00  
Gillingham       39   40  -12      47.12     3.22   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.96R    0.00  
Southend         39   38  -14      46.28     3.28   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.22R    0.01  
Wycombe          39   32  -26      39.55     3.41   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.46R    1.54  
Stockport        39   25  -42      30.30     2.98   -49.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.45  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Bournemouth vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             38   78  +43      94.20     3.48    52.00    72.70   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         37   71  +48      90.41     3.63    59.32    27.22    99.85   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          39   70  +10      80.83     3.40    11.83     0.08    71.79    99.74    78.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   65   +9      75.74     3.61    10.72     0.00    14.04    87.91    33.31P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   64   +4      74.54     3.62     5.39     0.00     8.38    79.75    24.16P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          39   62  +12      71.57     3.49    11.77     0.00     1.76    55.48    16.52P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   61  +10      72.32     3.60    12.59     0.00     2.82    64.05    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 39   61   -4      70.75     3.58    -3.68     0.00     0.61    38.83     7.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   59   +7      70.20     3.53     9.40     0.00     0.63    39.44    10.85P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   58   +7      67.30     3.55     6.18     0.00     0.06    15.14     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   56  +11      65.76     3.53    11.37     0.00     0.03     9.07     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   55   +1      64.21     3.46     0.43     0.00     0.00     2.64     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   54   +2      63.36     3.45     1.17     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   38   53   -8      65.57     3.89    -5.70     0.00     0.02     6.15     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   50   -1      60.12     3.59    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   48   -8      56.89     3.57    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   47  -14      55.07     3.36   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         39   43  -10      52.72     3.49    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         39   43  -18      49.69     3.16   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Barnet               38   42  -10      51.20     3.70   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Torquay              39   40   -5      47.50     3.37    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80R    0.00  
Cheltenham           38   38  -15      47.01     3.56   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.65R    0.00  
Grimsby              39   31  -26      38.66     3.41   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.59R    1.43  
Darlington           37   22  -45      27.93     3.23   -56.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   98.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          38   81  +45      92.78     3.02    50.48    83.72   100.00    89.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   79  +35      89.16     2.59    40.71    15.11   100.00    37.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         38   73  +29      84.86     3.08    34.34     1.16    99.93    26.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   39   71  +36      79.91     2.87    39.47     0.01    98.63    25.08P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   68  +21      78.99     2.94    25.31     0.00    94.09    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      38   61  +25      71.38     3.02    28.72     0.00     7.24     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          40   61   +8      68.39     2.53    10.65     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   58  +12      64.00     2.92    10.67     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       38   56   -7      64.41     3.28    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         38   53  +10      59.76     3.07     8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   51   +7      60.82     3.55     7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   51   +5      58.35     2.83     5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   49   +7      55.97     2.92     7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   46  -19      53.06     3.26   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Histon             39   44  -17      49.37     2.73   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Salisbury          38   43  -13      50.21     3.19   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   42   -9      47.72     2.72   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.26R    0.00  
Barrow             37   41  -18      48.65     3.42   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.00  
Gateshead          39   41  -19      45.71     2.73   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.95R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    40   40  -28      43.20     2.24   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.71R    0.00  
Forest_Green       39   39  -25      45.22     2.79   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.64R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   35  -34      39.27     2.39   -36.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.33R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     39   21  -51      23.58     2.06   -59.36     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1