Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 April 2010 at 21:20:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Arsenal vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         33   74  +54      85.04     2.29    63.54    76.22    95.56   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         33   72  +50      82.15     2.78    55.11    17.29    67.76    99.90   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +41      80.96     2.77    46.12     6.49    36.68    99.65    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   59  +24      68.31     3.23    25.31     0.00     0.01     0.33    45.57    89.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   58  +26      67.38     3.07    28.03     0.00     0.00     0.12    34.85    87.53     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   54  +21      65.37     3.12    25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.40    70.31     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   54  +12      64.52     3.14    15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.14    48.45     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   49   +8      59.28     3.08    11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     4.67     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   45   -4      53.40     3.00    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           32   42   -3      48.39     2.78    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   42  -15      46.47     2.65   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   38   -3      47.77     3.17    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   38   -7      45.15     2.86    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   32  -23      38.20     2.83   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77R    0.00  
Bolton          33   32  -25      36.38     2.34   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.01R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -33      36.32     2.69   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.84R    0.00  
West_Ham        32   27  -17      33.56     2.95   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.73R    0.00  
Hull            32   27  -35      33.60     3.06   -37.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.07R    0.01  
Burnley         33   24  -39      27.30     2.44   -45.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R    1.15  
Portsmouth      33   14  -32      18.77     2.64   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.84  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Bristol_City vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        40   86  +47      98.97     2.97    54.29    96.59   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        41   82  +38      91.51     2.89    42.26     3.41    99.84   100.00    99.90P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     41   71  +21      80.08     2.88    24.20     0.00     0.16   100.00    35.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   68  +19      76.16     2.91    21.11     0.00     0.00    99.77    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   62   +1      69.47     2.85     2.04     0.00     0.00    68.49    12.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   61   +5      69.26     2.98     7.04     0.00     0.00    68.75    12.91P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        41   60  +14      67.57     2.85    14.96     0.00     0.00    50.14    10.64P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   55   +9      62.28     2.84     9.55     0.00     0.00     4.15     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        41   55   +3      61.54     2.87     2.70     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   55   +2      61.47     2.80     1.25     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   53   -9      59.27     2.91   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          39   52   -3      61.83     3.48    -2.83     0.00     0.00     3.65     0.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         41   52   -9      58.06     2.85   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Ipswich          41   51   -7      56.05     2.66    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Derby            41   51   -9      57.66     2.96    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.16R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   51  -13      57.50     2.78   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Preston          41   50  -10      56.36     2.91   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
QPR              40   48   -5      55.06     3.17    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.92R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   47  -20      53.51     3.13   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.28R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   45  -17      50.62     2.80   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.11R    0.00  
Watford          40   44  -11      51.15     3.20   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.37R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   43   -3      49.91     2.96    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.74R    0.00  
Plymouth         41   41  -16      46.28     2.69   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.28R    0.39  
Peterborough     41   30  -27      34.68     2.76   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.61  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Leeds_United vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          39   82  +38      96.92     3.18    47.48    99.09    99.90   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          39   73  +16      85.09     3.39    19.78     0.33    32.69    99.13    46.76P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   72  +28      84.58     3.41    32.44     0.35    34.00    98.98    53.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   71  +26      83.78     3.44    30.84     0.16    23.21    98.72    46.41P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   71  +20      81.75     3.54    21.68     0.06     9.16    93.07    27.61P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   65  +19      77.52     3.50    23.43     0.00     0.76    68.25    15.96P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   65  +13      75.73     3.46    14.69     0.00     0.27    37.41     7.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   58   -2      66.42     3.46    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   57   -2      65.99     3.33    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   54  +29      70.22     3.61    37.31     0.00     0.00     4.11     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        38   51   +0      63.21     3.77     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   51   -1      58.57     3.27    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   48   -4      57.92     3.61    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          39   48   -7      57.82     3.42    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   45   -6      53.67     3.45    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.55R    0.00  
Exeter           39   43  -11      50.93     3.41   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.34R    0.00  
Oldham           38   43  -13      50.78     3.46   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   42  -11      52.13     3.51   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.56R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   41  -12      48.63     3.16   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.57R    0.00  
Tranmere         38   41  -26      48.51     3.41   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.69R    0.00  
Gillingham       39   40  -12      47.18     3.23   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.98R    0.00  
Southend         39   38  -14      46.26     3.24   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.50R    0.01  
Wycombe          39   32  -26      39.54     3.43   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.41R    1.53  
Stockport        39   25  -42      30.33     2.97   -49.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.45  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Bournemouth vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             38   78  +43      94.24     3.46    52.07    72.72    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         37   71  +48      90.44     3.64    59.35    27.20    99.88   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          39   70  +10      80.89     3.37    11.90     0.08    72.14    99.73    79.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   65   +9      75.77     3.61    10.72     0.00    13.65    87.88    32.98P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   64   +4      74.47     3.63     5.32     0.00     8.34    79.14    23.59P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          39   62  +12      71.62     3.48    11.84     0.00     1.83    56.11    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   61  +10      72.38     3.59    12.70     0.00     2.84    64.54    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 39   61   -4      70.71     3.56    -3.75     0.00     0.55    38.65     7.65P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   59   +7      70.18     3.54     9.37     0.00     0.65    39.15    10.73P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   58   +7      67.21     3.52     6.08     0.00     0.09    14.59     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   56  +11      65.76     3.53    11.38     0.00     0.03     8.96     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   55   +1      64.20     3.46     0.40     0.00     0.00     2.66     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   54   +2      63.40     3.49     1.24     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   38   53   -8      65.68     3.90    -5.53     0.00     0.01     6.52     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   50   -1      60.09     3.61    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   48   -8      56.91     3.58    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   47  -14      55.00     3.35   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         39   43  -10      52.72     3.52    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         39   43  -18      49.71     3.21   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Barnet               38   42  -10      51.17     3.72   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Torquay              39   40   -5      47.46     3.34    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.82R    0.00  
Cheltenham           38   38  -15      46.93     3.55   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.00  
Grimsby              39   31  -26      38.67     3.42   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.41R    1.41  
Darlington           37   22  -45      27.96     3.23   -56.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   98.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 April 2010, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          38   81  +45      92.75     3.03    50.45    83.56   100.00    89.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   79  +35      89.14     2.59    40.72    15.37   100.00    38.15P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         38   73  +29      84.85     3.08    34.32     1.06    99.93    26.30P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   39   71  +36      79.94     2.85    39.51     0.01    98.67    25.12P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   68  +21      79.04     2.93    25.40     0.00    94.00    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      38   61  +25      71.37     3.04    28.72     0.00     7.29     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          40   61   +8      68.39     2.54    10.66     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   58  +12      64.07     2.93    10.75     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       38   56   -7      64.42     3.27    -6.61     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         38   53  +10      59.77     3.09     8.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   51   +7      60.81     3.57     7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   51   +5      58.38     2.81     5.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   49   +7      55.94     2.90     7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   46  -19      53.05     3.25   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Histon             39   44  -17      49.32     2.71   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Salisbury          38   43  -13      50.23     3.19   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   42   -9      47.67     2.72   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.00  
Barrow             37   41  -18      48.62     3.41   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.79R    0.00  
Gateshead          39   41  -19      45.74     2.72   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.78R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    40   40  -28      43.20     2.25   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.87R    0.00  
Forest_Green       39   39  -25      45.27     2.78   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.15R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   35  -34      39.24     2.38   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.46R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     39   21  -51      23.53     2.04   -59.47     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1