Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 2 April 2010 at 21:19:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 March 2010, Man_City vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   72  +51      84.28     3.08    57.37    57.29    86.23    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +53      82.82     2.64    61.51    35.38    78.61    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   68  +40      80.66     2.89    47.75     7.32    35.13    99.07    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +28      69.19     3.42    30.73     0.00     0.03     0.86    60.30    95.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +19      66.79     3.49    20.40     0.00     0.00     0.20    24.43    81.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   54  +21      65.32     3.14    25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.38    76.70     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   51  +11      63.18     3.48    14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.86    39.18     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   49   +8      59.30     3.05    11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     6.95     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   45   -4      53.37     2.99    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   41  -15      46.69     3.00   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           31   39   -5      47.35     3.09    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   38   -3      47.75     3.15    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      32   35   -9      42.97     3.19    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -22      38.47     2.95   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.72R    0.00  
Bolton          32   32  -24      37.52     2.69   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.82R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -33      36.32     2.70   -39.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.30R    0.00  
West_Ham        32   27  -17      33.72     2.94   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.87R    0.01  
Hull            31   27  -33      34.40     3.31   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.49R    0.03  
Burnley         32   24  -34      28.37     2.82   -40.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.72R    1.82  
Portsmouth      32   13  -32      19.31     3.03   -35.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.14  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 2 April 2010, Scunthorpe vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        39   83  +46      98.25     3.22    54.65    94.64   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        41   82  +38      91.52     2.88    42.34     5.36    99.62   100.00    99.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   70  +21      80.73     3.19    24.57     0.00     0.38    99.99    35.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   65  +18      74.87     3.20    20.59     0.00     0.00    97.93    25.97P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   62   +2      70.47     3.12     2.59     0.00     0.00    71.84    13.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   61   +5      69.24     2.96     7.02     0.00     0.00    61.60    11.58P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        41   60  +14      67.58     2.84    14.97     0.00     0.00    43.03     9.51P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   55   +4      63.60     3.16     4.71     0.00     0.00     8.26     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   54   +9      63.14     3.14    10.22     0.00     0.00     6.21     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   54   +2      62.37     3.12     2.07     0.00     0.00     3.18     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   52   -2      63.09     3.77    -1.98     0.00     0.00     7.08     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -8      59.82     3.18    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     40   52   -9      59.42     3.20   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   50  -13      57.34     3.06   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.23R    0.00  
Preston          40   49  -10      57.11     3.24   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.67R    0.00  
Ipswich          40   48   -8      54.51     2.99   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.07R    0.00  
Derby            40   48  -10      55.70     3.25   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
QPR              39   47   -5      56.03     3.49    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.25R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   47  -20      53.43     3.12   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.42R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   44  -17      50.44     3.08   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.15R    0.01  
Watford          39   43  -11      51.12     3.46   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.40R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   40   42   -3      49.86     3.22    -3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.97R    0.01  
Plymouth         40   38  -17      43.90     2.91   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R    3.11  
Peterborough     40   30  -26      35.24     2.95   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.86  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 2 April 2010, Carlisle vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          39   82  +38      96.88     3.17    47.47    98.19    99.88   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   72  +28      84.57     3.43    32.43     0.35    29.01    99.31    52.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   71  +29      86.22     3.69    35.48     1.34    54.06    99.73    69.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   70  +13      82.45     3.64    15.22     0.09    12.21    96.16    28.04P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   68  +19      79.83     3.85    20.19     0.03     4.16    86.39    21.89P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   65  +13      75.87     3.48    14.89     0.00     0.22    49.06    10.30P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   62  +18      76.24     3.79    22.95     0.00     0.46    60.50    14.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   58   -2      66.40     3.46    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   57   -1      67.44     3.66    -2.45     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   54  +29      70.29     3.60    37.45     0.00     0.00     7.31     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        38   51   +0      63.26     3.79     1.87     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   51   -1      58.52     3.24    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   48   -4      57.89     3.59    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          38   47   -7      58.59     3.69    -6.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.80     3.73    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.61R    0.00  
Exeter           39   43  -11      51.07     3.44   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.41R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   41  -10      50.53     3.48   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.71R    0.00  
Tranmere         38   41  -26      48.57     3.42   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.30R    0.00  
Gillingham       38   40  -11      48.36     3.52   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.00R    0.00  
Oldham           37   40  -14      49.21     3.75   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.31R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   39  -13      49.94     3.77   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.36R    0.00  
Southend         38   37  -14      46.80     3.56   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.29R    0.04  
Wycombe          38   32  -25      40.63     3.68   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.86R    1.37  
Stockport        38   24  -42      30.39     3.25   -50.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.58  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 2 April 2010, Grimsby vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             37   78  +45      96.43     3.75    55.51    88.02   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         36   68  +43      89.22     3.92    54.75    11.96    99.37   100.00    99.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          38   67   +9      79.73     3.70    11.57     0.02    55.46    98.67    66.60P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   65  +10      77.44     3.85    12.20     0.00    30.60    93.78    47.50P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          39   62  +12      71.45     3.47    11.58     0.00     2.33    54.45    16.31P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   61   +2      72.14     3.87     2.20     0.00     3.44    55.97    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   61   +1      71.72     3.78     0.67     0.00     2.04    50.56    12.22P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   60  +10      72.91     3.87    12.92     0.00     5.93    68.72    23.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   58   +7      67.28     3.54     6.24     0.00     0.17    15.06     4.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   56   +5      68.87     3.83     7.88     0.00     0.43    28.47     7.88P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   55   +2      65.69     3.76     1.64     0.00     0.05     7.41     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   54   +3      66.02     3.66     4.48     0.00     0.04     8.97     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   53  +10      63.69     3.78     9.83     0.00     0.02     4.06     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   53   -6      66.97     4.13    -3.71     0.00     0.12    13.61     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   50   -1      60.01     3.60    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   48   -7      57.83     3.83    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   44  -15      53.40     3.64   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   43  -17      50.88     3.51   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Barnet               37   42   -9      52.52     3.98   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   42  -10      53.02     3.81    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Torquay              38   37   -6      45.73     3.64    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.63R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   35  -16      45.39     3.82   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.73R    0.00  
Grimsby              39   31  -26      38.74     3.41   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.20R    0.32  
Darlington           36   19  -46      25.01     3.30   -59.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 2 April 2010, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          37   81  +46      94.80     3.30    52.46    94.91   100.00    96.74P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   76  +34      86.93     2.89    38.87     4.39   100.00    28.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         38   73  +29      84.87     3.10    34.35     0.70    99.96    27.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   39   71  +36      79.97     2.86    39.55     0.00    98.98    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   68  +21      78.94     2.95    25.27     0.00    95.35    19.94P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          39   60   +8      69.59     2.84    11.86     0.00     0.69     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      37   58  +23      70.16     3.31    27.27     0.00     4.81     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   58  +13      65.66     3.26    12.07     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       38   56   -7      64.37     3.27    -6.66     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   51   +8      61.99     3.83     8.19     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         37   50   +9      58.26     3.39     7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   49   +9      57.81     3.25    10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   48   +4      56.38     3.14     4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   46  -19      52.95     3.26   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Histon             38   44  -15      50.29     3.01   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Salisbury          38   43  -13      50.11     3.20   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Barrow             36   41  -15      50.06     3.71   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   39  -12      45.98     3.05   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.55R    0.00  
Forest_Green       38   39  -24      46.69     3.13   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.14R    0.00  
Gateshead          38   38  -21      43.67     3.02   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.96R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   37  -29      41.56     2.64   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.70R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   40   35  -34      39.35     2.39   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.55R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     38   20  -51      23.20     2.33   -60.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1