Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 April 2010 at 21:19:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 March 2010, Man_City vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   72  +51      84.28     3.09    57.33    57.63    85.87    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +53      82.78     2.63    61.46    34.71    78.04    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   68  +40      80.71     2.88    47.85     7.66    36.07    99.13    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +28      69.20     3.41    30.74     0.00     0.03     0.79    60.02    95.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +19      66.78     3.52    20.40     0.00     0.00     0.21    24.57    80.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   54  +21      65.36     3.11    25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.47    77.33     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   51  +11      63.19     3.49    14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.86    38.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   49   +8      59.35     3.07    11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     6.99     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   45   -4      53.34     2.99    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   41  -15      46.66     2.98   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           31   39   -5      47.30     3.09    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   38   -3      47.72     3.15    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      32   35   -9      42.93     3.19    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -22      38.46     2.93   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.61R    0.00  
Bolton          32   32  -24      37.54     2.70   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.82R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -33      36.31     2.69   -39.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.42R    0.00  
West_Ham        32   27  -17      33.72     2.93   -19.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.16R    0.01  
Hull            31   27  -33      34.43     3.31   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.29R    0.02  
Burnley         32   24  -34      28.40     2.82   -40.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.61R    1.64  
Portsmouth      32   13  -32      19.31     3.02   -35.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.34  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 March 2010, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        39   83  +46      98.32     3.18    54.76    96.61   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   79  +35      90.35     3.19    39.99     3.39    98.79   100.00    99.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   70  +21      80.75     3.17    24.60     0.00     1.18   100.00    36.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   65  +18      74.89     3.19    20.62     0.00     0.03    98.27    26.06P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   62   +2      70.48     3.12     2.59     0.00     0.00    74.71    13.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   61   +8      70.26     3.21     9.43     0.00     0.00    75.58    15.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   57  +12      65.95     3.19    12.97     0.00     0.00    24.92     5.18P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   55   +4      63.63     3.15     4.75     0.00     0.00     8.49     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   54   +9      63.13     3.14    10.24     0.00     0.00     6.73     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   54   +2      62.37     3.12     2.03     0.00     0.00     3.46     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   52   -2      63.03     3.75    -2.06     0.00     0.00     6.80     1.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -8      59.84     3.18    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City     40   52   -9      59.42     3.18   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   50  -13      57.37     3.07   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.29R    0.00  
Preston          40   49  -10      57.05     3.24   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.76R    0.00  
Ipswich          40   48   -8      54.53     2.99   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    2.16R    0.00  
Derby            40   48  -10      55.63     3.27   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
QPR              39   47   -5      55.91     3.47    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    2.52R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   47  -18      54.80     3.43   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     4.19R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   44  -17      50.48     3.10   -19.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.67R    0.00  
Watford          39   43  -11      51.14     3.47   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.09R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   40   42   -3      49.89     3.21    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.75R    0.01  
Plymouth         40   38  -17      43.86     2.91   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.62R    3.13  
Peterborough     40   30  -26      35.20     2.94   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.85  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 1 April 2010, Brighton vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          38   82  +40      99.44     3.39    51.40    99.31    99.95   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   71  +29      86.24     3.67    35.48     0.39    46.67    99.53    65.15P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   71  +28      85.76     3.66    33.60     0.28    38.30    99.28    58.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   70  +13      82.48     3.64    15.28     0.02    10.38    94.87    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   68  +19      79.85     3.87    20.24     0.00     3.48    83.18    20.61P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   65  +15      77.63     3.74    17.49     0.00     0.91    62.95    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   62  +18      76.27     3.79    22.99     0.00     0.31    53.16    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   58   +0      67.59     3.75    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   57   -1      67.32     3.62    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   54  +29      70.28     3.60    37.42     0.00     0.00     5.31     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        37   50   +0      62.94     3.95     0.83     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.89     3.54    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         39   48   -4      57.92     3.59    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Walsall          38   47   -7      58.79     3.73    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.79     3.72    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.51R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   41  -10      50.46     3.48   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.66R    0.00  
Gillingham       38   40  -11      48.36     3.49   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.03R    0.00  
Exeter           38   40  -13      49.04     3.68   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.84R    0.00  
Oldham           37   40  -14      49.26     3.78   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.22R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   39  -13      49.98     3.77   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.87R    0.01  
Tranmere         37   38  -28      45.72     3.51   -35.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.59R    0.09  
Southend         38   37  -14      46.77     3.55   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.35R    0.03  
Wycombe          38   32  -25      40.68     3.70   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.82R    1.35  
Stockport        38   24  -42      30.38     3.25   -50.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.52  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Barnet vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             37   78  +45      96.46     3.74    55.56    88.21   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         36   68  +43      89.18     3.93    54.70    11.76    99.40   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          38   67   +9      79.72     3.67    11.55     0.03    56.08    98.88    67.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   65  +10      77.44     3.87    12.20     0.00    30.99    94.42    47.50P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   61   +2      72.09     3.87     2.14     0.00     3.44    57.88    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   61   +1      71.75     3.77     0.68     0.00     1.97    53.81    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   60  +10      72.84     3.87    12.80     0.00     5.78    70.48    23.89P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   59  +11      70.17     3.78    11.10     0.00     1.50    43.73    13.07P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   56   +5      68.90     3.84     7.93     0.00     0.46    30.87     8.51P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   55   +6      65.94     3.83     5.72     0.00     0.08    11.17     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   55   +2      65.70     3.75     1.66     0.00     0.04     8.17     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   54   +3      66.01     3.67     4.46     0.00     0.06    10.11     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   53  +10      63.74     3.79     9.88     0.00     0.03     4.81     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   53   -6      66.90     4.14    -3.78     0.00     0.17    14.63     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   50   +0      61.12     3.87     0.09     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   48   -7      57.89     3.82    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   44  -15      53.39     3.65   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   43  -17      50.84     3.48   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Barnet               37   42   -9      52.50     4.00   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   42  -10      53.06     3.81    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Torquay              38   37   -6      45.75     3.65    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.52R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   35  -16      45.47     3.79   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.52R    0.00  
Grimsby              38   31  -25      39.79     3.68   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.99R    0.20  
Darlington           36   19  -46      24.97     3.29   -60.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 31 March 2010, Forest_Green vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          37   81  +46      94.77     3.29    52.40    92.61   100.00    95.12P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   76  +34      86.90     2.89    38.80     3.82   100.00    27.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         37   73  +30      87.21     3.36    36.86     3.51    99.99    30.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   70  +36      81.32     3.10    41.06     0.05    99.42    26.32P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   68  +21      78.95     2.92    25.25     0.00    95.08    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          39   60   +8      69.63     2.83    11.93     0.00     0.64     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      37   58  +23      70.16     3.33    27.30     0.00     4.75     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   58  +13      65.58     3.22    11.94     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       37   55   -7      63.82     3.44    -8.21     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   51   +8      62.01     3.84     8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         37   50   +9      58.25     3.38     7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   49   +9      57.88     3.25    10.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   48   +4      56.37     3.14     4.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             38   44  -15      50.29     3.01   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   43  -20      50.53     3.46   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Barrow             36   41  -15      50.16     3.71   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Salisbury          37   40  -15      48.80     3.48   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   39  -12      45.98     3.04   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.38R    0.00  
Forest_Green       38   39  -24      46.75     3.13   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.25R    0.00  
Gateshead          38   38  -21      43.65     3.02   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.89R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   37  -29      41.50     2.61   -32.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.83R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.32     2.72   -34.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.16R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     38   20  -51      23.17     2.35   -60.61     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1