Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 31 March 2010 at 21:19:37 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 March 2010, Man_City vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   72  +51      84.27     3.08    57.33    57.19    85.80    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +53      82.81     2.65    61.46    35.29    78.37    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   68  +40      80.72     2.89    47.86     7.52    35.79    99.11    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +28      69.18     3.41    30.70     0.00     0.04     0.81    59.91    95.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +19      66.75     3.53    20.36     0.00     0.00     0.18    24.47    81.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   54  +21      65.35     3.13    25.83     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.72    76.95     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   51  +11      63.18     3.48    14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.84    39.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   49   +8      59.31     3.06    11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     7.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   45   -4      53.36     3.01    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   41  -15      46.65     2.99   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           31   39   -5      47.40     3.09    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   38   -3      47.73     3.16    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      32   35   -9      42.94     3.19    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -22      38.49     2.93   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.00  
Bolton          32   32  -24      37.56     2.70   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.72R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -33      36.33     2.69   -39.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.10R    0.00  
West_Ham        32   27  -17      33.70     2.94   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.95R    0.01  
Hull            31   27  -33      34.35     3.32   -36.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.29R    0.02  
Burnley         32   24  -34      28.45     2.83   -40.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.29R    1.53  
Portsmouth      32   13  -32      19.26     3.01   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.44  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 March 2010, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        39   83  +46      98.35     3.20    54.81    96.71   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   79  +35      90.34     3.20    39.96     3.28    98.75   100.00    99.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   70  +21      80.73     3.19    24.58     0.00     1.23    99.99    35.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   65  +18      74.83     3.18    20.52     0.00     0.02    98.21    25.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   62   +2      70.49     3.12     2.62     0.00     0.00    75.06    13.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   61   +8      70.18     3.21     9.34     0.00     0.00    74.73    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   57  +12      65.96     3.19    12.94     0.00     0.00    25.18     5.26P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   55   +4      63.62     3.17     4.75     0.00     0.00     8.69     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   54   +9      63.15     3.15    10.28     0.00     0.00     6.83     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   54   +2      62.37     3.11     2.02     0.00     0.00     3.37     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   52   -2      63.07     3.76    -2.02     0.00     0.00     6.96     1.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -8      59.85     3.19    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     40   52   -9      59.46     3.20   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   50  -13      57.43     3.06   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.24R    0.00  
Preston          40   49  -10      57.02     3.25   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.77R    0.00  
Ipswich          40   48   -8      54.50     3.00   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.00  
Derby            40   48  -10      55.64     3.25   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.00  
QPR              39   47   -5      56.00     3.49    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    2.35R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   47  -18      54.81     3.45   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     4.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   44  -17      50.41     3.08   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.32R    0.00  
Watford          39   43  -11      51.15     3.47   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.95R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   42   -3      49.88     3.22    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.57R    0.01  
Plymouth         40   38  -17      43.86     2.92   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.52R    3.04  
Peterborough     40   30  -26      35.20     2.93   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.95  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 March 2010, Oldham vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          38   82  +40      99.43     3.38    51.42    99.35    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   71  +29      86.24     3.70    35.47     0.35    46.86    99.45    65.19P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   71  +28      85.76     3.69    33.61     0.27    38.29    99.12    58.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   70  +13      82.57     3.63    15.41     0.02    10.45    94.61    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   68  +19      79.87     3.86    20.26     0.01     3.31    81.81    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   65  +15      77.63     3.77    17.47     0.00     0.83    61.37    14.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   62  +18      76.38     3.77    23.17     0.00     0.32    53.12    13.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   58   +0      67.66     3.78    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   57   -1      67.28     3.63    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      71.02     3.88    37.91     0.00     0.00     8.92     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        37   50   +0      62.86     3.96     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.94     3.54    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         38   47   -4      57.88     3.90    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          38   47   -7      58.69     3.71    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.85     3.75    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   41  -10      50.42     3.47   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.67R    0.00  
Gillingham       38   40  -11      48.20     3.48   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.42R    0.00  
Exeter           38   40  -13      48.99     3.69   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.23R    0.00  
Oldham           37   40  -14      49.22     3.74   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.37R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   39  -13      50.00     3.79   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.62R    0.00  
Tranmere         37   38  -28      45.73     3.53   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.34R    0.08  
Southend         38   37  -14      46.85     3.56   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.10R    0.04  
Wycombe          38   32  -25      40.73     3.70   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.53R    1.31  
Stockport        38   24  -42      30.38     3.25   -50.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.56  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Barnet vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             37   78  +45      96.45     3.74    55.51    87.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         36   68  +43      89.24     3.92    54.81    12.22    99.39   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          38   67   +9      79.71     3.69    11.54     0.03    56.02    98.87    67.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   65  +10      77.49     3.85    12.26     0.00    31.12    94.74    48.19P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   61   +2      72.10     3.84     2.17     0.00     3.47    58.20    15.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   61   +1      71.72     3.76     0.65     0.00     1.95    53.39    12.80P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   60  +10      72.80     3.87    12.76     0.00     5.76    70.44    23.74P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   59  +11      70.17     3.76    11.07     0.00     1.51    43.63    13.05P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   56   +5      68.85     3.82     7.83     0.00     0.46    30.32     8.23P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   55   +6      65.95     3.83     5.74     0.00     0.08    11.31     3.05P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   55   +2      65.64     3.74     1.59     0.00     0.04     8.03     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   54   +3      66.07     3.67     4.55     0.00     0.05    10.49     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   53  +10      63.77     3.78     9.92     0.00     0.02     4.86     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   53   -6      66.89     4.13    -3.81     0.00     0.13    14.69     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   50   +0      61.13     3.84     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   48   -7      57.85     3.81    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   44  -15      53.41     3.64   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   43  -17      50.94     3.51   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Barnet               37   42   -9      52.53     3.99   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   42  -10      53.00     3.79    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Torquay              38   37   -6      45.74     3.65    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.19R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   35  -16      45.41     3.82   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.73R    0.01  
Grimsby              38   31  -25      39.73     3.66   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.23R    0.19  
Darlington           36   19  -46      24.99     3.30   -59.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 31 March 2010, Forest_Green vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          37   81  +46      94.78     3.30    52.44    92.52   100.00    95.06P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   76  +34      86.90     2.88    38.78     3.98   100.00    27.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         37   73  +30      87.19     3.34    36.83     3.46    99.99    31.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   70  +36      81.32     3.12    41.06     0.04    99.46    26.15P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   68  +21      78.95     2.96    25.27     0.00    95.27    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          39   60   +8      69.61     2.85    11.90     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      37   58  +23      70.12     3.32    27.24     0.00     4.51     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   58  +13      65.65     3.22    12.04     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       37   55   -7      63.84     3.43    -8.19     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   51   +8      62.03     3.83     8.26     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         37   50   +9      58.26     3.41     7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   49   +9      57.85     3.24    10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   48   +4      56.37     3.14     4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             38   44  -15      50.32     3.01   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   43  -20      50.56     3.45   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Barrow             36   41  -15      50.08     3.69   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.00  
Salisbury          37   40  -15      48.83     3.47   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   39  -12      46.00     3.05   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.35R    0.00  
Forest_Green       38   39  -24      46.74     3.12   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.31R    0.00  
Gateshead          38   38  -21      43.59     3.01   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.63R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   37  -29      41.53     2.62   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.29R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.31     2.71   -34.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.93R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     38   20  -51      23.18     2.33   -60.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1