Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 March 2010 at 21:19:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 March 2010, Man_City vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   72  +51      84.29     3.09    57.36    57.60    86.30    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +53      82.79     2.64    61.42    35.01    78.29    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   68  +40      80.66     2.87    47.80     7.39    35.36    99.13    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +28      69.27     3.42    30.86     0.00     0.04     0.81    60.75    95.89     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +19      66.76     3.53    20.35     0.00     0.00     0.18    24.20    81.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   54  +21      65.32     3.14    25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.29    76.87     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   51  +11      63.15     3.49    14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.70    38.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   49   +8      59.35     3.05    11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     7.01     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   45   -4      53.39     3.00    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   41  -15      46.67     2.99   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           31   39   -5      47.32     3.09    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   38   -3      47.74     3.18    -3.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      32   35   -9      42.89     3.16    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -22      38.45     2.93   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.65R    0.00  
Bolton          32   32  -24      37.50     2.71   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.99R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -33      36.32     2.70   -39.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.38R    0.00  
West_Ham        32   27  -17      33.73     2.95   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.40R    0.00  
Hull            31   27  -33      34.46     3.32   -36.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.88R    0.02  
Burnley         32   24  -34      28.38     2.82   -40.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.62R    1.65  
Portsmouth      32   13  -32      19.32     3.02   -35.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.33  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 March 2010, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        39   83  +46      98.32     3.20    54.77    96.57   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   79  +35      90.36     3.18    40.02     3.43    98.78   100.00    99.21P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   70  +21      80.73     3.19    24.57     0.00     1.21    99.99    35.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   65  +18      74.93     3.20    20.68     0.00     0.01    98.25    26.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   62   +2      70.37     3.11     2.48     0.00     0.00    73.94    12.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   61   +8      70.23     3.22     9.42     0.00     0.00    75.28    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   57  +12      65.95     3.20    12.94     0.00     0.00    25.30     5.31P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   55   +4      63.64     3.17     4.77     0.00     0.00     8.49     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   54   +9      63.12     3.13    10.22     0.00     0.00     6.90     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   54   +2      62.40     3.13     2.10     0.00     0.00     3.67     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   52   -2      63.02     3.77    -2.07     0.00     0.00     7.08     1.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -8      59.84     3.21    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     40   52   -9      59.44     3.21   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   50  -13      57.36     3.06   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.31R    0.00  
Preston          40   49  -10      57.03     3.24   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.73R    0.00  
Ipswich          40   48   -8      54.50     2.98   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33R    0.00  
Derby            40   48  -10      55.65     3.27   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.79R    0.00  
QPR              39   47   -5      55.95     3.49    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.46R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   47  -18      54.82     3.44   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.93R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   44  -17      50.45     3.08   -19.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.37R    0.01  
Watford          39   43  -11      51.14     3.48   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.03R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   40   42   -3      49.90     3.21    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.53R    0.00  
Plymouth         40   38  -17      43.90     2.93   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.47R    3.16  
Peterborough     40   30  -26      35.22     2.95   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.83  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 March 2010, Oldham vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          38   82  +40      99.43     3.36    51.40    99.34    99.96   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   71  +29      86.15     3.70    35.35     0.36    46.13    99.45    64.58P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   71  +28      85.77     3.67    33.61     0.28    38.59    99.19    58.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   70  +13      82.53     3.64    15.36     0.02    10.71    94.48    26.26P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   68  +19      79.86     3.84    20.24     0.00     3.32    82.34    19.92P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   65  +15      77.68     3.76    17.56     0.00     0.97    61.99    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   62  +18      76.30     3.80    23.03     0.00     0.32    52.45    12.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   58   +0      67.70     3.77    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   57   -1      67.28     3.62    -2.70     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      70.89     3.89    37.69     0.00     0.00     8.48     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        37   50   +0      62.92     3.98     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.92     3.54    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         38   47   -4      57.96     3.87    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          38   47   -7      58.74     3.74    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.79     3.71    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   41  -10      50.49     3.46   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.56R    0.00  
Gillingham       38   40  -11      48.28     3.48   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.81R    0.00  
Exeter           38   40  -13      48.92     3.68   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.84R    0.00  
Oldham           37   40  -14      49.26     3.76   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.13R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   39  -13      49.90     3.77   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.13R    0.00  
Tranmere         37   38  -28      45.72     3.51   -35.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.70R    0.09  
Southend         38   37  -14      46.90     3.56   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.51R    0.03  
Wycombe          38   32  -25      40.77     3.67   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.71R    1.23  
Stockport        38   24  -42      30.39     3.24   -50.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.65  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Barnet vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             37   78  +45      96.42     3.75    55.50    87.90    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         36   68  +43      89.20     3.90    54.73    12.06    99.36   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          38   67   +9      79.79     3.67    11.66     0.03    56.44    98.90    67.58P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   65  +10      77.49     3.86    12.26     0.01    30.80    94.55    48.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   61   +2      72.10     3.87     2.15     0.00     3.42    58.04    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   61   +1      71.69     3.76     0.62     0.00     1.85    52.71    12.42P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   60  +10      72.87     3.88    12.86     0.00     5.75    70.77    23.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   59  +11      70.20     3.77    11.13     0.00     1.53    43.79    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   56   +5      68.89     3.85     7.92     0.00     0.51    30.83     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   55   +6      65.95     3.84     5.73     0.00     0.08    11.23     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   55   +2      65.68     3.75     1.63     0.00     0.04     8.18     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   54   +3      66.04     3.67     4.48     0.00     0.05    10.19     2.59P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   53  +10      63.76     3.80     9.92     0.00     0.02     4.79     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   53   -6      66.93     4.17    -3.73     0.00     0.13    14.96     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   50   +0      61.12     3.88     0.08     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   48   -7      57.81     3.83    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   44  -15      53.35     3.61   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   43  -17      50.78     3.46   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Barnet               37   42   -9      52.50     3.98   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   42  -10      53.04     3.80    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Torquay              38   37   -6      45.75     3.64    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.65R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   35  -16      45.45     3.82   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.78R    0.01  
Grimsby              38   31  -25      39.80     3.68   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.70R    0.23  
Darlington           36   19  -46      24.99     3.31   -60.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.76  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          37   81  +46      94.76     3.31    52.42    92.43   100.00    94.96P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   76  +34      86.94     2.89    38.88     4.02   100.00    27.55P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         37   73  +30      87.16     3.36    36.81     3.50    99.98    30.73P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   70  +36      81.35     3.10    41.11     0.05    99.43    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   68  +21      78.96     2.94    25.28     0.00    95.18    19.61P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          39   60   +8      69.67     2.83    11.96     0.00     0.64     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      37   58  +23      70.18     3.33    27.29     0.00     4.58     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   58  +13      65.61     3.22    12.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       37   55   -7      63.86     3.44    -8.16     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   51   +8      61.94     3.83     8.11     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         37   50   +9      58.21     3.38     7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      38   49   +9      57.87     3.25    10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   48   +4      56.38     3.14     4.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             38   44  -15      50.27     3.02   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   43  -20      50.53     3.46   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Barrow             35   41  -14      51.53     4.04   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Salisbury          37   40  -15      48.82     3.51   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   39  -12      45.95     3.04   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.61R    0.00  
Gateshead          38   38  -21      43.67     3.04   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.92R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   37  -29      41.52     2.61   -32.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.46R    0.00  
Forest_Green       37   36  -25      45.15     3.46   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.88R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.27     2.73   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.32R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     38   20  -51      23.20     2.34   -60.59     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1