Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 March 2010 at 21:19:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 March 2010, Man_City vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   72  +51      84.22     3.10    57.27    56.48    85.65    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +53      82.82     2.63    61.50    36.06    78.60    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   68  +40      80.68     2.88    47.80     7.45    35.71    99.06    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +28      69.23     3.42    30.78     0.00     0.03     0.90    60.50    95.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +19      66.77     3.52    20.38     0.00     0.00     0.19    24.45    81.10     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   54  +21      65.33     3.10    25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.97    76.95     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   51  +11      63.19     3.51    14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01    38.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   49   +8      59.34     3.06    11.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     7.07     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   45   -4      53.36     3.01    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   41  -15      46.68     3.01   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           31   39   -5      47.33     3.09    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   38   -3      47.76     3.17    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      32   35   -9      42.95     3.18    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -22      38.44     2.94   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.00  
Bolton          32   32  -24      37.54     2.70   -30.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.80R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -33      36.30     2.68   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.52R    0.00  
West_Ham        32   27  -17      33.71     2.94   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.99R    0.01  
Hull            31   27  -33      34.44     3.32   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.05R    0.03  
Burnley         32   24  -34      28.36     2.80   -40.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.73R    1.69  
Portsmouth      32   13  -32      19.32     3.02   -35.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.28  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 March 2010, Newcastle vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        39   83  +46      98.32     3.18    54.78    96.68   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   79  +35      90.32     3.19    39.96     3.31    98.82   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   70  +21      80.73     3.19    24.60     0.00     1.16   100.00    35.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   62  +17      73.60     3.49    20.09     0.00     0.01    94.44    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   62   +2      70.39     3.12     2.51     0.00     0.00    73.65    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   61   +9      71.22     3.50     9.86     0.00     0.01    81.40    17.40P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   57  +12      65.96     3.19    12.96     0.00     0.00    24.53     5.20P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   55   +4      63.71     3.16     4.88     0.00     0.00     8.62     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   54   +9      63.14     3.14    10.26     0.00     0.00     6.24     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   54   +2      62.38     3.11     2.04     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   52   -2      63.03     3.76    -2.05     0.00     0.00     6.75     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -8      59.80     3.20    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     40   52   -9      59.43     3.20   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston          40   49  -10      57.01     3.23   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.52R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   49  -13      57.59     3.37   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.35R    0.00  
Ipswich          40   48   -8      54.46     2.99   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.00  
Derby            40   48  -10      55.72     3.24   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
QPR              39   47   -5      55.98     3.50    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.80R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   47  -18      54.83     3.43   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   44  -17      50.53     3.07   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.96R    0.00  
Watford          38   43   -9      53.03     3.78   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.23R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   39   -5      47.72     3.49    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.78R    0.12  
Plymouth         39   37  -17      44.39     3.26   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.08R    2.92  
Peterborough     40   30  -26      35.21     2.95   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   96.96  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          38   82  +40      99.46     3.36    51.47    99.41    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   71  +29      86.26     3.67    35.52     0.31    46.31    99.46    64.98P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   71  +28      85.83     3.68    33.72     0.25    39.17    99.16    59.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   70  +13      82.50     3.60    15.29     0.02    10.08    94.64    25.46P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   68  +19      79.84     3.85    20.22     0.01     3.30    82.25    19.70P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   65  +15      77.63     3.76    17.49     0.00     0.86    61.50    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   62  +18      76.27     3.80    22.97     0.00     0.33    52.42    12.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   58   +0      67.59     3.74    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   57   -1      67.29     3.60    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      70.98     3.90    37.85     0.00     0.00     8.95     3.09P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.95     3.54    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Brentford        36   47   -1      61.08     4.23    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         38   47   -4      57.91     3.87    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          38   47   -7      58.72     3.73    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.81     3.72    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   41  -10      50.41     3.46   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    0.00  
Gillingham       38   40  -11      48.28     3.48   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.38R    0.00  
Exeter           38   40  -13      49.10     3.69   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.80R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.57     4.02   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   39  -13      50.01     3.75   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.38R    0.00  
Tranmere         37   38  -28      45.70     3.54   -35.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.22R    0.07  
Southend         38   37  -14      46.83     3.55   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.83R    0.01  
Wycombe          38   32  -25      40.72     3.72   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.97R    1.28  
Stockport        38   24  -42      30.38     3.25   -50.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.63  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Barnet vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             37   78  +45      96.51     3.73    55.67    88.43   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         36   68  +43      89.18     3.91    54.68    11.54    99.37   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          38   67   +9      79.73     3.70    11.58     0.03    55.92    98.80    67.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   65  +10      77.50     3.88    12.29     0.01    31.19    94.66    48.00P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   61   +2      72.07     3.89     2.09     0.00     3.50    57.90    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   61   +1      71.64     3.74     0.53     0.00     1.80    52.55    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   60  +10      72.83     3.89    12.81     0.00     5.94    70.49    23.87P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   59  +11      70.17     3.75    11.09     0.00     1.42    43.73    13.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   56   +5      68.89     3.82     7.90     0.00     0.49    30.97     8.35P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   55   +6      65.90     3.84     5.66     0.00     0.07    11.17     2.82P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   55   +2      65.76     3.76     1.74     0.00     0.04     8.58     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   54   +3      66.03     3.68     4.49     0.00     0.06    10.34     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   53  +10      63.75     3.77     9.90     0.00     0.02     4.70     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   53   -6      66.92     4.15    -3.75     0.00     0.18    14.99     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   50   +0      61.15     3.88     0.13     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   48   -7      57.84     3.83    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   44  -15      53.37     3.63   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   43  -17      50.93     3.51   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Barnet               37   42   -9      52.54     4.00   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   42  -10      52.99     3.79    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Torquay              38   37   -6      45.74     3.67    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.45R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   35  -16      45.41     3.81   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.66R    0.00  
Grimsby              38   31  -25      39.76     3.69   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.03R    0.21  
Darlington           36   19  -46      25.02     3.32   -59.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.79  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 March 2010, Barrow vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          36   78  +45      93.47     3.61    51.93    82.31   100.00    88.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         36   73  +31      88.19     3.63    37.36    13.49   100.00    39.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   73  +30      86.03     3.16    35.91     4.15    99.97    26.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   37   67  +33      79.51     3.45    37.75     0.05    94.47    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   65  +17      77.87     3.24    21.99     0.00    85.40    17.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          38   60  +11      71.07     3.13    15.05     0.00     7.21     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   58  +13      65.69     3.24    12.07     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      36   57  +23      71.08     3.60    27.94     0.00    12.47     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       37   55   -7      63.82     3.43    -8.20     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         37   50   +9      58.28     3.40     7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49  +10      59.07     3.55    10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   48   +7      60.45     4.14     7.31     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   47   +4      56.15     3.37     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             38   44  -15      50.26     3.00   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   43  -20      50.48     3.45   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Barrow             35   41  -14      51.57     4.06   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Salisbury          36   40  -11      49.58     3.66   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   39  -12      46.02     3.06   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.92R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   38  -20      45.10     3.34   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.17R    0.00  
Forest_Green       37   36  -25      45.15     3.46   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.30R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.26     2.72   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.77R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    38   34  -30      39.87     2.97   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.87R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     37   20  -47      23.97     2.61   -57.09     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1