Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 March 2010 at 21:19:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 March 2010, Burnley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   72  +51      84.26     3.09    57.33    57.27    86.04    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +53      82.79     2.64    61.45    35.23    78.36    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   68  +40      80.67     2.89    47.81     7.50    35.56    99.19    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +28      69.28     3.40    30.87     0.00     0.04     0.80    62.72    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   54  +21      65.36     3.13    25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.69    78.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +16      66.22     3.68    19.52     0.00     0.00     0.15    21.50    76.53     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   51  +11      63.26     3.46    14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01    41.51     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   49   +8      59.33     3.06    11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     7.51     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   45   -4      53.40     3.00    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   41  -15      46.67     3.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           31   39   -5      47.36     3.11    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   38   -3      47.71     3.19    -3.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      32   35   -9      42.93     3.20    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -22      38.48     2.94   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.00  
Bolton          32   32  -24      37.49     2.70   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.50R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.73     2.85   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.16R    0.00  
West_Ham        32   27  -17      33.73     2.96   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.45R    0.01  
Hull            31   27  -33      34.40     3.32   -36.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.26R    0.02  
Burnley         32   24  -34      28.41     2.82   -40.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.72R    1.43  
Portsmouth      32   13  -32      19.24     3.00   -35.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.55  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 March 2010, Sheff_Utd vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        38   80  +44      97.07     3.50    53.30    93.13    99.88   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   79  +35      90.36     3.19    40.02     6.83    97.38   100.00    98.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   70  +23      81.70     3.42    26.06     0.03     2.73    99.99    38.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   62  +17      73.52     3.51    19.99     0.00     0.00    94.09    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   62   +2      70.44     3.11     2.56     0.00     0.00    74.17    13.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   61   +9      71.25     3.51     9.92     0.00     0.00    81.65    16.86P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   57  +12      65.95     3.17    12.95     0.00     0.00    23.96     4.78P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   55   +4      63.63     3.17     4.76     0.00     0.00     8.18     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   54   +9      63.15     3.13    10.27     0.00     0.00     6.27     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   54   +2      62.42     3.14     2.12     0.00     0.00     3.34     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   52   -2      63.09     3.80    -1.97     0.00     0.00     7.32     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -8      59.75     3.19    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     40   52   -9      59.39     3.20   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          40   49  -10      57.03     3.25   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.56R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   49  -13      57.60     3.39   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.37R    0.00  
Ipswich          40   48   -8      54.51     2.99   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.72R    0.00  
Derby            40   48  -10      55.70     3.27   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.00  
QPR              39   47   -5      56.01     3.50    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.87R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   47  -18      54.81     3.44   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.28R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   44  -17      50.53     3.07   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.74R    0.01  
Watford          38   43   -9      52.92     3.77   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.93R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   39   -5      47.75     3.47    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.64R    0.11  
Plymouth         39   37  -17      44.49     3.28   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.34R    3.02  
Peterborough     40   30  -26      35.17     2.97   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.86  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          38   82  +40      99.43     3.37    51.38    99.35    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   71  +29      86.25     3.67    35.50     0.37    46.72    99.51    65.28P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   71  +28      85.80     3.66    33.67     0.25    38.50    99.17    58.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   70  +13      82.48     3.62    15.25     0.02    10.45    94.56    26.01P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   68  +19      79.82     3.86    20.17     0.00     3.21    82.10    20.11P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   65  +15      77.65     3.76    17.54     0.00     0.84    62.05    14.40P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   62  +18      76.23     3.79    22.95     0.00     0.33    51.93    12.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   58   +0      67.66     3.75    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   57   -1      67.35     3.63    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      70.93     3.91    37.81     0.00     0.00     9.02     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.92     3.53    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Brentford        36   47   -1      61.07     4.24    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         38   47   -4      57.93     3.87    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          38   47   -7      58.71     3.74    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.81     3.71    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   41  -10      50.48     3.47   -12.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.29R    0.00  
Gillingham       38   40  -11      48.26     3.47   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.64R    0.00  
Exeter           38   40  -13      49.04     3.69   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.14R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.59     4.01   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.16R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   39  -13      50.04     3.78   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.39R    0.00  
Tranmere         37   38  -28      45.78     3.55   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.63R    0.07  
Southend         38   37  -14      46.87     3.57   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.64R    0.04  
Wycombe          38   32  -25      40.67     3.68   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.27R    1.25  
Stockport        38   24  -42      30.34     3.23   -50.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.65  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Barnet vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             37   78  +45      96.46     3.73    55.56    87.93   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         36   68  +43      89.25     3.91    54.82    12.05    99.47   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          38   67   +9      79.73     3.68    11.57     0.01    55.92    98.80    66.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   65  +10      77.50     3.88    12.25     0.00    30.81    94.51    47.95P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   61   +2      72.12     3.85     2.16     0.00     3.50    58.12    14.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   61   +1      71.69     3.77     0.62     0.00     1.89    53.12    12.50P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   60  +10      72.91     3.89    12.93     0.00     6.15    71.08    24.06P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   59  +11      70.14     3.76    11.05     0.00     1.38    43.05    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   56   +5      68.94     3.84     7.94     0.00     0.50    31.39     8.56P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   55   +6      65.92     3.86     5.69     0.00     0.10    11.06     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   55   +2      65.72     3.75     1.70     0.00     0.04     8.41     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   54   +3      66.05     3.66     4.52     0.00     0.07    10.14     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   53  +10      63.72     3.78     9.84     0.00     0.02     4.70     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   53   -6      66.90     4.12    -3.78     0.00     0.14    14.59     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   50   +0      61.04     3.85    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   48   -7      57.87     3.85    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   44  -15      53.38     3.63   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   43  -17      50.81     3.48   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Barnet               37   42   -9      52.49     3.98   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   42  -10      53.04     3.79    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Torquay              38   37   -6      45.74     3.65    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.32R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   35  -16      45.46     3.81   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.54R    0.00  
Grimsby              38   31  -25      39.77     3.68   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.20R    0.20  
Darlington           36   19  -46      24.95     3.30   -60.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.79  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          36   78  +45      93.51     3.55    51.98    83.19   100.00    89.49P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         36   73  +31      88.16     3.60    37.34    12.71    99.98    38.79P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   73  +30      86.04     3.17    35.96     4.08    99.97    26.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   37   67  +33      79.55     3.44    37.85     0.03    94.47    24.32P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   65  +17      77.80     3.22    21.88     0.00    85.16    16.40P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          38   60  +11      71.05     3.12    15.04     0.00     7.22     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   58  +13      65.63     3.24    12.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      36   57  +23      71.10     3.61    27.97     0.00    12.75     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       37   55   -7      63.84     3.43    -8.21     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         37   50   +9      58.33     3.41     7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49  +10      59.03     3.53    10.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   48   +7      60.48     4.14     7.34     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   47   +4      56.14     3.39     3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             37   43  -15      50.33     3.34   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   43  -20      50.44     3.43   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Salisbury          36   40  -11      49.56     3.67   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.00  
Barrow             34   40  -14      52.34     4.31   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   39  -12      45.98     3.05   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.12R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   38  -20      45.09     3.37   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.31R    0.00  
Forest_Green       37   36  -25      45.16     3.47   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.27R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.31     2.72   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.20R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    38   34  -30      39.85     2.96   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.08R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     37   20  -47      23.96     2.63   -57.09     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1