Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 March 2010 at 22:19:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Birmingham vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   72  +51      84.27     3.10    57.37    56.79    85.83    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +53      82.86     2.66    61.48    36.01    78.86    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   68  +40      80.71     2.86    47.90     7.20    35.27    99.17    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   58  +28      69.14     3.43    30.64     0.00     0.04     0.83    63.35    96.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +16      66.24     3.69    19.56     0.00     0.00     0.14    22.80    78.86     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   51  +18      64.38     3.39    23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.85    69.16     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   51  +11      63.25     3.50    14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.87    45.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   49   +8      59.35     3.06    11.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     9.55     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      32   45   -4      53.39     3.02    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           31   39   -5      47.31     3.08    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   38   -3      47.78     3.17    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   38  -16      44.77     3.32   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   35   -6      43.68     3.41    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -22      38.47     2.96   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.16R    0.00  
Bolton          32   32  -24      37.51     2.70   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.07R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.69     2.83   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.85R    0.00  
West_Ham        32   27  -17      33.66     2.94   -19.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.78R    0.03  
Hull            31   27  -33      34.33     3.32   -36.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.12R    0.03  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.11     3.22   -38.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.92R    0.73  
Portsmouth      32   13  -32      19.29     3.02   -35.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.21  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Barnsley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        38   80  +44      97.08     3.50    53.27    93.09    99.88   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   79  +35      90.33     3.18    39.94     6.86    97.23   100.00    98.26P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   70  +23      81.76     3.42    26.16     0.05     2.88   100.00    37.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   62  +17      73.52     3.49    19.98     0.00     0.00    93.41    24.06P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   62   +2      70.46     3.09     2.60     0.00     0.00    71.11    12.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   61   +9      71.32     3.48    10.02     0.00     0.00    80.14    17.30P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        40   57  +12      65.99     3.19    13.00     0.00     0.00    22.96     4.70P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   55   +4      63.67     3.15     4.84     0.00     0.00     7.30     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   54   +9      63.14     3.13    10.26     0.00     0.00     5.40     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   54   +3      64.64     3.42     4.47     0.00     0.00    12.52     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   52   -2      63.06     3.78    -2.00     0.00     0.00     6.30     0.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -8      59.79     3.22    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_City     40   52   -9      59.37     3.20   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston          40   49  -10      57.03     3.23   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.41R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   49  -13      57.58     3.35   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.27R    0.00  
Ipswich          40   48   -8      54.51     2.99   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Derby            40   48  -10      55.65     3.26   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.21R    0.00  
QPR              39   47   -5      55.94     3.50    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.64R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   44  -17      50.49     3.08   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.15R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       38   44  -19      52.35     3.63   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   13.40R    0.01  
Watford          38   43   -9      53.01     3.77   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.16R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   39   -5      47.72     3.48    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.25R    0.12  
Plymouth         39   37  -17      44.48     3.27   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.06R    2.89  
Peterborough     40   30  -26      35.17     2.94   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.97  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          38   82  +40      99.43     3.37    51.45    99.34    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   71  +29      86.24     3.68    35.48     0.36    46.50    99.50    64.89P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   71  +28      85.78     3.67    33.63     0.26    38.32    99.24    58.57P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          38   70  +13      82.54     3.62    15.37     0.02    10.64    94.75    26.37P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   68  +19      79.86     3.84    20.25     0.01     3.32    82.25    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       38   65  +15      77.68     3.77    17.57     0.00     0.87    62.00    14.57P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   62  +18      76.26     3.82    22.97     0.00     0.38    51.91    12.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   58   +0      67.70     3.76    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   57   -1      67.28     3.63    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      70.94     3.90    37.78     0.00     0.00     8.70     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.92     3.52    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Brentford        36   47   -1      61.09     4.22    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         38   47   -4      57.90     3.88    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          38   47   -7      58.71     3.71    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.82     3.73    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   41  -10      50.45     3.47   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.33R    0.00  
Gillingham       38   40  -11      48.26     3.48   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.36R    0.00  
Exeter           38   40  -13      49.03     3.68   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.12R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.56     4.01   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.20R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   39  -13      50.03     3.77   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.24R    0.01  
Tranmere         37   38  -28      45.71     3.52   -35.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.10R    0.09  
Southend         38   37  -14      46.88     3.56   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.42R    0.02  
Wycombe          38   32  -25      40.68     3.67   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.42R    1.25  
Stockport        38   24  -42      30.34     3.25   -50.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.63  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, Barnet vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             37   78  +45      96.51     3.72    55.63    88.09   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         36   68  +43      89.26     3.90    54.86    11.89    99.36   100.00    99.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          38   67   +9      79.73     3.69    11.59     0.02    55.52    98.88    66.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   65  +10      77.53     3.88    12.32     0.00    31.71    94.63    48.48P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   61   +2      72.11     3.86     2.16     0.00     3.51    58.18    15.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   61   +1      71.75     3.76     0.71     0.00     1.96    53.95    12.80P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   60  +10      72.87     3.86    12.87     0.00     5.80    70.85    23.90P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          38   59  +11      70.12     3.75    11.00     0.00     1.35    42.60    12.59P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   56   +5      68.89     3.82     7.92     0.00     0.46    30.72     8.22P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   55   +6      65.91     3.84     5.68     0.00     0.09    10.88     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   55   +2      65.75     3.75     1.75     0.00     0.06     8.39     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        38   54   +3      66.02     3.65     4.50     0.00     0.04    10.16     2.37P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   53  +10      63.69     3.78     9.82     0.00     0.02     4.51     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   53   -6      66.98     4.14    -3.69     0.00     0.12    15.25     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   50   +0      61.03     3.86    -0.06     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   48   -7      57.85     3.81    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   44  -15      53.34     3.61   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   43  -17      50.83     3.49   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Barnet               37   42   -9      52.49     3.99   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   42  -10      53.05     3.80    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Torquay              38   37   -6      45.69     3.63    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.53R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   35  -16      45.46     3.84   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.60R    0.00  
Grimsby              38   31  -25      39.75     3.65   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.00R    0.22  
Darlington           36   19  -46      24.97     3.29   -60.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.78  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          36   78  +45      93.45     3.60    51.91    82.57   100.00    88.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         36   73  +31      88.16     3.61    37.32    13.25    99.98    38.59P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   73  +30      86.07     3.16    35.99     4.12    99.97    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   37   67  +33      79.57     3.44    37.85     0.05    94.45    24.23P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   65  +17      77.88     3.24    21.97     0.00    85.28    16.86P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          38   60  +11      71.06     3.14    15.06     0.00     7.20     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   58  +13      65.66     3.23    12.07     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      36   57  +23      71.10     3.59    27.98     0.00    12.62     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       37   55   -7      63.80     3.44    -8.26     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         37   50   +9      58.29     3.40     7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      37   49  +10      59.06     3.55    10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   48   +7      60.42     4.15     7.27     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   47   +4      56.10     3.37     3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon             37   43  -15      50.34     3.35   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   43  -20      50.48     3.47   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Salisbury          36   40  -11      49.53     3.65   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Barrow             34   40  -14      52.36     4.34   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   39  -12      45.97     3.06   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.36R    0.00  
Gateshead          37   38  -20      45.07     3.35   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.43R    0.00  
Forest_Green       37   36  -25      45.19     3.47   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.18R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.32     2.71   -34.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.17R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    38   34  -30      39.83     2.98   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.82R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic     37   20  -47      23.95     2.62   -57.12     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1