Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 March 2010 at 22:19:42 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Aston_Villa vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   69  +47      83.30     3.37    54.41    50.74    78.30    99.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +47      81.74     2.99    55.69    29.46    64.89    99.71    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +40      81.44     3.21    48.46    19.80    56.71    99.31    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +26      68.87     3.60    31.13     0.00     0.08     1.08    58.28    93.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +16      66.04     3.70    19.26     0.00     0.01     0.18    21.35    71.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   51  +18      64.43     3.40    23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.86    63.05     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   51  +17      64.65     3.66    20.73     0.00     0.00     0.03    11.08    59.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   48   +8      59.91     3.38    11.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47    11.40     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      31   44   -4      53.32     3.31    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   38   -1      49.60     3.51    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   38  -16      44.75     3.30   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           30   36   -6      45.22     3.40    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   35   -6      43.74     3.42    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Bolton          31   32  -20      38.25     2.94   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   31  -22      38.59     3.26   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.74R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.71     2.84   -38.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.50R    0.00  
West_Ham        31   27  -16      35.42     3.29   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.59R    0.02  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.14     3.23   -38.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.68R    0.96  
Hull            30   24  -35      32.17     3.58   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.84R    0.34  
Portsmouth      31   13  -30      19.36     3.09   -35.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.68  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Cardiff vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        38   80  +44      97.05     3.51    53.26    90.31    99.89   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        39   78  +35      90.98     3.51    40.41     9.65    97.34   100.00    98.30P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   70  +23      81.73     3.42    26.14     0.04     2.74    99.99    37.90P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   61  +10      72.78     3.79    11.16     0.00     0.03    88.46    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   61   +2      71.24     3.42     3.12     0.00     0.00    78.54    14.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   59  +16      71.87     3.75    18.97     0.00     0.00    85.80    21.32P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   54  +10      64.39     3.51    11.02     0.00     0.00    12.69     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   54   +3      64.64     3.43     4.45     0.00     0.00    12.66     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   53   +9      63.42     3.43    10.12     0.00     0.00     7.97     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        39   52   +3      61.89     3.47     3.60     0.00     0.00     3.50     0.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          37   51   -2      63.14     4.06    -2.51     0.00     0.00     8.04     1.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         39   51   -8      60.64     3.49    -7.96     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     39   49  -10      57.75     3.51   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.53R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   49  -12      59.07     3.68   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.07P    0.26R    0.00  
Preston          39   48  -10      57.70     3.56    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.71R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   47   -8      54.40     3.22   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.37R    0.00  
QPR              38   46   -5      56.05     3.76    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.46R    0.00  
Derby            39   45  -11      53.92     3.54   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.83R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       38   44  -19      52.40     3.65   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.72R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        39   43  -17      50.37     3.35   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.67R    0.08  
Watford          37   42   -9      53.26     4.06   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.76R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   38   39   -4      49.22     3.77    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.19R    0.29  
Plymouth         38   37  -15      45.88     3.61   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.54R    3.89  
Peterborough     39   30  -25      36.62     3.29   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   95.69  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Colchester vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          37   79  +39      97.98     3.71    50.55    96.27    99.71   100.00    99.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   71  +30      87.29     3.94    35.96     3.21    60.18    99.60    73.74P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   68  +23      84.94     3.84    30.03     0.43    26.84    97.84    49.23P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   67  +19      79.83     4.11    19.56     0.04     3.98    77.58    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   67  +12      80.87     3.94    14.25     0.03     5.84    84.94    20.23P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   64  +15      79.21     3.97    19.41     0.00     2.46    73.05    19.15P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   61  +18      77.14     4.06    23.75     0.00     0.98    57.63    15.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   56   -1      67.61     3.93    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   55   -1      66.54     4.02    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      70.99     3.88    37.84     0.00     0.00     7.87     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.91     3.54    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Walsall          37   47   -6      60.03     4.02    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Brentford        35   44   -2      59.87     4.52    -0.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.82     3.72    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.10R    0.00  
Brighton         37   44   -7      56.64     4.11    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   41   -9      51.56     3.76   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.87R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.57     4.01   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.57R    0.00  
Gillingham       37   39  -11      48.84     3.79   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.40R    0.01  
Hartlepool       37   39  -12      51.50     4.09   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.64R    0.00  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.76     3.80   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.37R    0.14  
Southend         37   37  -13      47.70     3.81   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.92R    0.04  
Exeter           37   37  -14      47.23     3.95   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.09R    0.03  
Wycombe          37   31  -25      40.00     3.85   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.00R    3.10  
Stockport        37   24  -37      30.89     3.42   -46.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.68  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             36   75  +42      95.92     3.89    54.45    88.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         35   65  +42      88.27     4.16    54.95    11.66    98.12    99.98    99.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   65  +11      78.23     4.06    12.26     0.03    39.68    93.67    53.65P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          37   64   +7      78.28     3.98     9.88     0.03    38.07    93.87    51.94P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   61   +3      74.20     4.13     4.23     0.00    10.05    69.83    23.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61   +2      73.28     4.06     1.92     0.00     5.61    60.95    17.25P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   58  +11      70.80     4.05    11.46     0.00     2.74    42.71    14.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   57   +9      70.99     4.12    11.53     0.00     3.10    44.53    14.57P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   55   +5      69.34     4.09     8.02     0.00     1.07    28.81     8.48P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   55   +4      68.62     3.98     6.06     0.00     0.51    21.46     6.08P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   53  +11      65.67     4.06    11.67     0.00     0.13     9.56     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   53   +3      66.58     3.92     4.84     0.00     0.14    10.53     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   53   -4      68.14     4.37    -1.96     0.00     0.73    18.83     4.69P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   52   +4      64.51     4.11     4.00     0.00     0.03     4.97     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   47   -1      58.77     4.08    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   47   -7      58.16     4.11    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   42  -17      50.88     3.75   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.00  
Barnet               36   41   -9      52.89     4.28   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Hereford             37   41  -16      51.17     3.84   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.00  
Macclesfield         37   39  -11      51.71     4.07   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Torquay              37   37   -4      46.81     3.93    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.13R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   35  -15      46.63     4.09   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.09R    0.00  
Grimsby              37   31  -22      40.17     3.80   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.39R    0.02  
Darlington           35   16  -48      21.86     3.30   -64.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Cambridge_Utd vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +42      92.21     3.89    49.37    77.06   100.00    85.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         35   70  +30      87.76     3.80    38.35    18.76    99.91    44.51P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   70  +22      84.71     3.47    28.33     4.06    99.38    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   36   64  +32      77.66     3.74    36.46     0.04    78.22    19.67P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +17      78.85     3.48    22.77     0.07    85.01    18.89P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   59  +11      71.83     3.43    15.56     0.00    11.64     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      72.86     3.89    29.57     0.00    24.83     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   57  +13      65.69     3.50    11.58     0.00     0.54     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      64.76     3.68    -5.79     0.00     0.29     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         36   50  +10      60.39     3.71     9.50     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   48   +8      62.71     4.43     9.63     0.00     0.17     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   46   +7      58.20     3.73     9.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   44   +1      54.44     3.63     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      51.63     3.70   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Histon             36   43  -12      51.66     3.63   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   38  -12      45.66     3.27   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.53R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   38  -19      45.43     3.50   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.17R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   37  -12      47.03     3.90   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.91R    0.00  
Barrow             33   37  -15      50.88     4.58   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.44     2.74   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.05R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      40.69     3.22   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.75R    0.01  
Forest_Green       36   33  -26      42.84     3.70   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.80R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     36   20  -44      24.52     2.82   -55.60     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.97  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1