Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 25 March 2010 at 22:19:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Aston_Villa vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   69  +47      83.39     3.37    54.58    52.02    79.18    99.72    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +47      81.67     2.98    55.56    28.19    64.17    99.66    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +40      81.43     3.22    48.42    19.79    56.55    99.25    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +26      68.87     3.59    31.13     0.00     0.09     1.15    58.19    93.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +16      66.07     3.70    19.26     0.00     0.01     0.19    21.45    72.27     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   51  +18      64.43     3.42    23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.83    62.98     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   51  +17      64.70     3.68    20.83     0.00     0.00     0.02    11.16    59.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   48   +8      59.84     3.38    11.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42    10.94     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      31   44   -4      53.32     3.30    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   38   -1      49.59     3.51    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   38  -16      44.70     3.30   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           30   36   -6      45.20     3.40    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   35   -6      43.69     3.41    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Bolton          31   32  -20      38.25     2.95   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.50R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   31  -22      38.61     3.26   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.78R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.69     2.84   -38.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.75R    0.00  
West_Ham        31   27  -16      35.42     3.29   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.59R    0.01  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.10     3.21   -38.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.03R    0.97  
Hull            30   24  -35      32.23     3.58   -39.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.24R    0.35  
Portsmouth      31   13  -30      19.43     3.11   -35.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.66  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Cardiff vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        38   80  +44      97.05     3.49    53.24    90.49    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        39   78  +35      90.96     3.50    40.39     9.47    97.38   100.00    98.29P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   70  +23      81.79     3.41    26.22     0.04     2.68   100.00    38.07P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   61  +10      72.81     3.78    11.19     0.00     0.01    88.54    19.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   61   +2      71.27     3.41     3.16     0.00     0.00    78.72    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   59  +16      71.80     3.78    18.87     0.00     0.01    85.26    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   54  +10      64.33     3.51    10.97     0.00     0.00    12.28     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   54   +3      64.69     3.43     4.55     0.00     0.00    12.83     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   53   +9      63.47     3.45    10.18     0.00     0.00     8.24     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        39   52   +3      61.89     3.50     3.60     0.00     0.00     3.60     0.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          37   51   -2      63.14     4.06    -2.53     0.00     0.00     8.27     1.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         39   51   -8      60.67     3.50    -7.94     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City     39   49  -10      57.74     3.49   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.60R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   49  -12      59.06     3.69   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.08P    0.23R    0.00  
Preston          39   48  -10      57.65     3.55    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.74R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   47   -8      54.38     3.23   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.43R    0.00  
QPR              38   46   -5      56.05     3.77    -6.46     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    2.57R    0.00  
Derby            39   45  -11      53.93     3.52   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.79R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       38   44  -19      52.39     3.64   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.65R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        39   43  -17      50.35     3.35   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.79R    0.09  
Watford          37   42   -9      53.26     4.06   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    12.46R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   38   39   -4      49.25     3.78    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.57R    0.31  
Plymouth         38   37  -15      45.91     3.62   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.17R    3.94  
Peterborough     39   30  -25      36.65     3.30   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   95.61  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Colchester vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          37   79  +39      98.05     3.70    50.69    96.40    99.74   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   71  +30      87.28     3.95    35.94     3.02    59.74    99.55    73.42P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   68  +23      84.91     3.87    29.98     0.48    26.90    97.77    49.46P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   67  +19      79.75     4.10    19.42     0.05     4.04    76.84    19.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   67  +12      80.89     3.93    14.28     0.04     5.98    85.03    20.35P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   64  +15      79.22     4.01    19.44     0.01     2.63    73.11    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   61  +18      77.20     4.07    23.83     0.00     0.97    57.95    15.03P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   56   -1      67.74     3.94    -2.54     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   55   -1      66.52     4.01    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      71.01     3.91    37.90     0.00     0.00     7.99     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.92     3.55    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Walsall          37   47   -6      59.98     4.00    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Brentford        35   44   -2      59.85     4.48    -0.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.18R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.88     3.72    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.00  
Brighton         37   44   -7      56.58     4.12    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   41   -9      51.44     3.74   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.30R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.55     4.03   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.76R    0.00  
Gillingham       37   39  -11      48.84     3.80   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.49R    0.01  
Hartlepool       37   39  -12      51.47     4.10   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.68R    0.00  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.79     3.83   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.83R    0.10  
Southend         37   37  -13      47.65     3.79   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.32R    0.03  
Exeter           37   37  -14      47.30     3.97   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.57R    0.02  
Wycombe          37   31  -25      39.98     3.85   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.98R    3.09  
Stockport        37   24  -37      30.90     3.41   -46.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   96.74  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             36   75  +42      95.96     3.88    54.58    88.10    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         35   65  +42      88.35     4.16    55.08    11.84    98.31    99.99    99.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   65  +11      78.20     4.06    12.24     0.03    39.74    93.66    53.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          37   64   +7      78.25     3.94     9.81     0.04    37.64    94.08    51.81P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   61   +3      74.21     4.12     4.24     0.00    10.03    70.04    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61   +2      73.28     4.07     1.97     0.00     5.83    60.61    17.62P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   58  +11      70.64     4.04    11.21     0.00     2.62    40.96    13.16P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   57   +9      71.07     4.14    11.64     0.00     3.24    45.62    15.43P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   55   +5      69.33     4.11     8.00     0.00     0.99    29.08     8.35P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   55   +4      68.63     3.95     6.08     0.00     0.52    21.78     5.95P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   53  +11      65.66     4.09    11.66     0.00     0.16     9.54     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   53   +3      66.52     3.95     4.71     0.00     0.17    10.41     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   53   -4      68.14     4.36    -1.96     0.00     0.72    18.89     4.63P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   52   +4      64.53     4.11     4.03     0.00     0.03     5.03     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   47   -1      58.76     4.11    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             37   47   -7      58.28     4.10    -8.79     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   42  -17      50.80     3.75   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Barnet               36   41   -9      52.78     4.28   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.54R    0.00  
Hereford             37   41  -16      51.11     3.85   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Macclesfield         37   39  -11      51.73     4.09   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Torquay              37   37   -4      46.77     3.92    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.47R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   35  -15      46.67     4.10   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.25R    0.00  
Grimsby              37   31  -22      40.24     3.79   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.94R    0.03  
Darlington           35   16  -48      21.98     3.34   -64.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Cambridge_Utd vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +42      92.20     3.87    49.39    77.37   100.00    85.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         35   70  +30      87.73     3.78    38.29    18.53    99.89    43.78P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   70  +22      84.76     3.48    28.42     4.00    99.41    23.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   36   64  +32      77.66     3.72    36.45     0.04    78.38    20.41P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +17      78.82     3.52    22.74     0.06    84.62    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   59  +11      71.77     3.45    15.50     0.00    11.64     2.21P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      72.83     3.89    29.53     0.00    24.94     6.19P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   57  +13      65.73     3.51    11.63     0.00     0.62     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      64.77     3.68    -5.81     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         36   50  +10      60.36     3.71     9.44     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   48   +8      62.78     4.40     9.75     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   46   +7      58.21     3.72     9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   44   +1      54.42     3.63     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      51.65     3.71   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Histon             36   43  -12      51.72     3.63   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   38  -12      45.71     3.26   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.09R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   38  -19      45.46     3.48   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.76R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   37  -12      47.04     3.90   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.00  
Barrow             33   37  -15      50.83     4.57   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.37     2.73   -34.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.95R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      40.74     3.23   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.22R    0.00  
Forest_Green       36   33  -26      42.77     3.73   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.42R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     36   20  -44      24.55     2.83   -55.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.98  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1