Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 24 March 2010 at 22:19:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Aston_Villa vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   69  +47      83.30     3.40    54.40    50.59    78.15    99.72   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +47      81.71     2.99    55.61    29.36    64.66    99.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +40      81.46     3.22    48.52    20.05    57.09    99.25    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +26      68.94     3.57    31.28     0.01     0.09     1.15    59.16    94.05     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +16      65.97     3.70    19.15     0.00     0.01     0.16    20.80    71.32     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   51  +18      64.43     3.40    23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.79    63.56     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   51  +17      64.64     3.66    20.73     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.85    59.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   48   +8      59.90     3.39    11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43    11.34     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      31   44   -4      53.29     3.31    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   38   -1      49.60     3.53    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   38  -16      44.74     3.29   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           30   36   -6      45.28     3.42    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   35   -6      43.72     3.39    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Bolton          31   32  -20      38.25     2.94   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   31  -22      38.54     3.27   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.65     2.81   -38.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.59R    0.00  
West_Ham        31   27  -16      35.44     3.28   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.38R    0.00  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.12     3.22   -38.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.72R    1.00  
Hull            30   24  -35      32.18     3.55   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.83R    0.39  
Portsmouth      31   13  -30      19.42     3.11   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.61  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Cardiff vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        38   80  +44      96.98     3.51    53.15    89.82    99.89   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        39   78  +35      90.99     3.51    40.43    10.13    97.54   100.00    98.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   70  +23      81.75     3.40    26.15     0.05     2.55    99.99    37.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   61  +10      72.70     3.78    11.03     0.00     0.02    88.05    19.30P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   61   +2      71.25     3.38     3.13     0.00     0.00    78.80    14.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   59  +16      71.89     3.76    19.01     0.00     0.00    85.86    21.26P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   54  +10      64.36     3.49    11.02     0.00     0.00    12.33     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   54   +3      64.68     3.44     4.52     0.00     0.00    13.01     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   53   +9      63.44     3.45    10.16     0.00     0.00     7.90     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        39   52   +3      61.86     3.46     3.54     0.00     0.00     3.50     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   51   -2      63.14     4.08    -2.49     0.00     0.00     8.21     1.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         39   51   -8      60.66     3.50    -7.95     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City     39   49  -10      57.70     3.50   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.51R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   49  -12      59.06     3.66   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.08P    0.23R    0.00  
Preston          39   48  -10      57.64     3.54    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.70R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   47   -8      54.39     3.22   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.30R    0.00  
QPR              38   46   -5      56.10     3.76    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    2.40R    0.00  
Derby            39   45  -11      53.91     3.53   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.79R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       38   44  -19      52.45     3.69   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.72R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        39   43  -17      50.36     3.34   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.62R    0.09  
Watford          37   42   -9      53.30     4.07   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.27R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   38   39   -4      49.22     3.76    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.75R    0.31  
Plymouth         38   37  -15      45.87     3.61   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.72R    4.18  
Peterborough     39   30  -25      36.69     3.30   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   95.37  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Colchester vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          37   79  +39      98.08     3.70    50.74    96.83    99.70   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   71  +30      87.17     3.95    35.79     2.70    58.69    99.51    72.44P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   68  +23      84.98     3.84    30.10     0.40    27.67    97.92    50.02P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   67  +19      79.81     4.10    19.52     0.03     4.14    77.34    19.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   67  +12      80.92     3.92    14.32     0.04     6.11    85.40    20.78P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   64  +15      79.20     3.98    19.41     0.01     2.62    73.48    19.07P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   61  +18      77.07     4.08    23.69     0.00     1.07    56.95    14.95P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   56   -1      67.65     3.92    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   55   -1      66.51     4.00    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      70.96     3.89    37.77     0.00     0.00     7.84     2.77P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.97     3.54    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          37   47   -6      60.08     4.00    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Brentford        35   44   -2      59.79     4.49    -0.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.18R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.89     3.72    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01R    0.00  
Brighton         37   44   -7      56.62     4.11    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   41   -9      51.49     3.73   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.25R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.61     4.01   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.32R    0.00  
Gillingham       37   39  -11      48.83     3.79   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.52R    0.01  
Hartlepool       37   39  -12      51.41     4.08   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.26R    0.00  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.83     3.78   -32.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.54R    0.10  
Southend         37   37  -13      47.69     3.80   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.17R    0.03  
Exeter           37   37  -14      47.31     3.98   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.71R    0.01  
Wycombe          37   31  -25      39.97     3.85   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.08R    3.19  
Stockport        37   24  -37      30.85     3.39   -47.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.67  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             36   75  +42      95.90     3.89    54.44    88.15   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         35   65  +42      88.26     4.17    54.93    11.80    98.17    99.98    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   65  +11      78.10     4.07    12.11     0.02    38.96    93.40    52.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          37   64   +7      78.28     3.96     9.87     0.02    38.39    93.97    52.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   61   +3      74.27     4.14     4.32     0.00    10.38    70.58    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61   +2      73.32     4.07     1.97     0.00     5.84    61.17    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   58  +11      70.79     4.01    11.45     0.00     2.65    42.22    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   57   +9      71.04     4.14    11.60     0.00     3.13    45.29    14.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   55   +5      69.27     4.11     7.90     0.00     0.95    28.33     8.25P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   55   +4      68.53     3.96     5.92     0.00     0.49    20.99     5.74P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   53  +11      65.72     4.11    11.75     0.00     0.19     9.90     3.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   53   +3      66.52     3.94     4.75     0.00     0.14    10.35     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   53   -4      68.13     4.35    -1.97     0.00     0.66    18.72     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   52   +4      64.51     4.10     3.99     0.00     0.05     4.81     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   47   -1      58.79     4.13    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   47   -7      58.16     4.09    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   42  -17      50.87     3.76   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Barnet               36   41   -9      52.84     4.25   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Hereford             37   41  -16      51.15     3.86   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Macclesfield         37   39  -11      51.68     4.08   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Torquay              37   37   -4      46.84     3.92    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.08R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   35  -15      46.68     4.07   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.24R    0.00  
Grimsby              37   31  -22      40.21     3.79   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.34R    0.03  
Darlington           35   16  -48      21.98     3.34   -64.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 March 2010, Cambridge_Utd vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +42      92.20     3.89    49.42    77.15   100.00    85.19P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         35   70  +30      87.68     3.81    38.23    18.63    99.89    43.64P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   70  +22      84.74     3.47    28.41     4.11    99.41    23.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   36   64  +32      77.70     3.72    36.51     0.05    78.75    20.29P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +17      78.87     3.49    22.82     0.06    84.63    18.64P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   59  +11      71.81     3.44    15.56     0.00    11.57     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      72.86     3.90    29.60     0.00    24.66     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   57  +13      65.69     3.51    11.59     0.00     0.60     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      64.73     3.69    -5.87     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         36   50  +10      60.44     3.73     9.56     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   48   +8      62.71     4.41     9.62     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      36   46   +7      58.28     3.74     9.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   44   +1      54.39     3.66     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      51.65     3.71   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Histon             36   43  -12      51.65     3.61   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   38  -12      45.66     3.24   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.22R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   38  -19      45.50     3.50   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.62R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   37  -12      47.05     3.89   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.87R    0.00  
Barrow             33   37  -15      50.88     4.58   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.34     2.73   -34.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.07R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      40.74     3.21   -33.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.40R    0.00  
Forest_Green       36   33  -26      42.80     3.69   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.03R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     36   20  -44      24.48     2.79   -55.70     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1