Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 March 2010 at 22:19:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, West_Ham vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   69  +47      83.32     3.38    54.47    56.72    82.71    99.54    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +40      81.31     3.22    48.27    22.08    63.48    98.60    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   65  +42      80.55     3.28    51.10    21.18    53.52    98.48    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +26      68.86     3.60    31.03     0.01     0.11     1.61    43.60    91.26     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +18      68.53     3.98    23.21     0.01     0.18     1.52    36.41    83.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   51  +18      64.58     3.41    24.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.77    54.86     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   50  +17      66.04     3.85    22.30     0.00     0.01     0.23    14.39    66.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   45   +6      57.23     3.64     8.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.66     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   44   -3      54.57     3.57    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   38   -1      49.65     3.51    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           30   36   -6      45.33     3.41    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   35  -17      43.04     3.58   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   34   -6      43.12     3.59    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Bolton          31   32  -20      38.17     2.96   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.80R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   31  -22      38.64     3.27   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.60R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.60     2.82   -38.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.03R    0.01  
West_Ham        31   27  -16      35.43     3.27   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.33R    0.03  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.14     3.21   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.41R    2.04  
Hull            30   24  -35      32.21     3.56   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.60R    0.87  
Portsmouth      30   13  -25      20.40     3.36   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   97.05  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Blackpool vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        38   80  +44      97.09     3.50    53.32    91.67    99.89   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   75  +34      90.28     3.73    41.01     8.28    95.86   100.00    97.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   70  +23      81.71     3.41    26.10     0.06     4.02    99.99    37.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   61  +11      74.93     4.05    13.29     0.00     0.21    94.67    22.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   61   +2      71.26     3.42     3.14     0.00     0.00    78.18    14.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   58  +16      72.87     4.04    19.96     0.00     0.03    88.63    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        39   54  +10      64.29     3.52    10.89     0.00     0.00    10.47     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   53   +9      63.41     3.44    10.12     0.00     0.00     6.59     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   53   +3      64.51     3.68     3.61     0.00     0.00    12.31     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        39   52   +3      61.93     3.49     3.66     0.00     0.00     3.31     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -7      61.19     3.69    -8.53     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     39   49  -10      57.74     3.51   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.41R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   49  -12      59.05     3.68   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.05P    0.21R    0.00  
Reading          36   48   -3      60.71     4.28    -4.75     0.00     0.00     3.12     0.48P    0.12R    0.00  
Preston          39   48  -10      57.66     3.55    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.57R    0.00  
Ipswich          39   47   -8      54.50     3.23   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.52R    0.00  
QPR              38   46   -5      55.98     3.74    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.10R    0.00  
Derby            39   45  -11      53.82     3.53   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.07R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       38   44  -19      52.43     3.63   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.27R    0.02  
Watford          36   42   -8      54.72     4.36    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    7.33R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        38   40  -18      48.79     3.65   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.80R    0.61  
Crystal_Palace   38   39   -4      49.12     3.75    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.42R    0.30  
Plymouth         38   37  -15      45.87     3.60   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.28R    3.96  
Peterborough     39   30  -25      36.69     3.31   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   95.10  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Colchester vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          37   79  +39      98.01     3.71    50.62    96.40    99.72   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   71  +30      87.23     3.99    35.85     3.09    59.36    99.55    72.79P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   68  +23      84.94     3.87    30.04     0.41    27.37    97.88    49.62P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   67  +19      79.79     4.10    19.53     0.04     4.00    77.39    19.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   67  +12      80.95     3.92    14.37     0.05     6.02    85.71    20.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   64  +15      79.25     3.98    19.49     0.02     2.55    73.79    19.46P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   61  +18      77.03     4.08    23.61     0.00     0.98    56.28    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   56   -1      67.65     3.90    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   55   -1      66.53     4.02    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   53  +29      70.94     3.91    37.79     0.00     0.00     7.76     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.94     3.56    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Walsall          37   47   -6      60.00     4.06    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford        35   44   -2      59.89     4.49    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.19R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.89     3.72    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
Brighton         37   44   -7      56.62     4.12    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   41   -9      51.51     3.76   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.03R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.66     4.03   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.94R    0.00  
Gillingham       37   39  -11      48.78     3.78   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.00R    0.01  
Hartlepool       37   39  -12      51.41     4.08   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.05R    0.00  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.80     3.80   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.03R    0.10  
Southend         37   37  -13      47.71     3.81   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.17R    0.03  
Exeter           37   37  -14      47.28     3.97   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.67R    0.03  
Wycombe          37   31  -25      39.99     3.86   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.03R    3.11  
Stockport        37   24  -37      30.92     3.41   -46.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   96.71  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             36   75  +42      95.93     3.90    54.48    88.11    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         35   65  +42      88.24     4.17    54.90    11.83    98.13    99.99    99.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   65  +11      78.30     4.08    12.37     0.02    40.17    93.83    53.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          37   64   +7      78.35     3.98     9.97     0.04    38.29    94.18    52.36P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   61   +3      74.22     4.11     4.24     0.00     9.67    70.03    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61   +2      73.30     4.04     1.96     0.00     5.58    61.24    17.55P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   58  +11      70.78     4.03    11.44     0.00     2.55    42.41    13.81P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   57   +9      71.03     4.12    11.59     0.00     3.07    44.96    14.39P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   55   +5      69.28     4.12     7.93     0.00     1.01    28.48     8.31P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   55   +4      68.62     3.96     6.02     0.00     0.50    21.45     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   53  +11      65.57     4.08    11.54     0.00     0.19     9.29     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   53   +3      66.50     3.95     4.70     0.00     0.16    10.40     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   53   -4      68.09     4.34    -2.01     0.00     0.64    18.37     4.36P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   52   +4      64.52     4.12     4.01     0.00     0.05     5.04     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   47   -1      58.80     4.11    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   47   -7      58.20     4.09    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   42  -17      50.81     3.76   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Barnet               36   41   -9      52.77     4.27   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Hereford             37   41  -16      51.14     3.86   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Macclesfield         37   39  -11      51.72     4.09   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Torquay              37   37   -4      46.78     3.94    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.41R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   35  -15      46.69     4.09   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.30R    0.00  
Grimsby              37   31  -22      40.23     3.78   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.95R    0.04  
Darlington           35   16  -48      21.99     3.36   -64.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 March 2010, AFC_Wimbledon vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          35   75  +42      92.20     3.86    49.41    75.64   100.00    84.55P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   70  +22      84.76     3.49    28.44     4.00    99.42    23.77P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   69  +30      87.90     4.08    38.07    20.12    99.85    44.34P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   64  +17      78.85     3.49    22.76     0.08    84.75    18.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   63  +32      78.14     4.01    36.64     0.16    80.44    21.18P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   59  +11      71.70     3.44    15.41     0.00    11.00     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      35   57  +24      72.74     3.88    29.40     0.00    23.46     5.70P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   57  +13      65.77     3.49    11.71     0.00     0.61     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      64.72     3.67    -5.86     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         36   50  +10      60.42     3.75     9.52     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      34   48   +8      62.74     4.41     9.66     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   44   +1      54.50     3.65     0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   43   +5      56.90     4.01     7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      51.68     3.71   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Histon             36   43  -12      51.79     3.62   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   38  -10      46.74     3.51   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.32R    0.00  
Gateshead          36   38  -19      45.53     3.50   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.90R    0.00  
Salisbury          35   37  -12      47.06     3.88   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.72R    0.00  
Barrow             33   37  -15      50.78     4.59   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.31     2.71   -34.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.54R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      40.72     3.22   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.97R    0.01  
Forest_Green       36   33  -26      42.78     3.72   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.65R    0.01  
Grays_Athletic     36   20  -44      24.55     2.81   -55.56     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.98  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1