Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 March 2010 at 22:19:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 March 2010, Blackburn vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   69  +47      83.35     3.39    54.52    56.86    82.46    99.59    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +40      81.36     3.20    48.36    22.30    63.69    98.79    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   65  +42      80.56     3.26    51.20    20.83    53.58    98.48    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +26      68.85     3.60    31.04     0.00     0.11     1.50    43.70    91.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +18      68.44     3.97    23.09     0.01     0.16     1.38    36.50    83.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   51  +18      64.48     3.39    24.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.29    53.91     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   50  +17      66.05     3.88    22.33     0.00     0.01     0.25    14.66    67.32     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   45   +6      57.21     3.62     7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.90     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   44   -3      54.62     3.56    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   38   -1      49.64     3.50    -0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           30   36   -6      45.36     3.41    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       30   35  -17      43.09     3.58   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   34   -6      43.10     3.57    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Bolton          31   32  -20      38.18     2.94   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.50R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.59     2.82   -39.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.10R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   30   28  -24      35.94     3.44   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.57R    0.04  
West_Ham        30   27  -14      37.86     3.57   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.41R    0.00  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.15     3.19   -38.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.04R    2.04  
Hull            30   24  -35      32.22     3.55   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.08R    0.83  
Portsmouth      30   13  -25      20.46     3.35   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   97.08  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 March 2010, Cardiff vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        37   77  +43      95.79     3.82    52.81    86.57    99.73   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   75  +34      90.23     3.75    40.87    13.36    96.83   100.00    97.90P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     38   67  +21      80.68     3.68    24.91     0.07     3.10    99.96    35.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   61  +11      74.80     4.08    13.10     0.00     0.30    94.15    21.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   61   +6      72.91     3.66     7.60     0.00     0.01    87.70    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   58  +16      72.79     4.05    19.88     0.00     0.04    88.56    21.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   53   +3      64.29     3.67     3.30     0.00     0.00     9.64     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        38   52   +4      62.98     3.72     4.27     0.00     0.00     5.51     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        38   51   +6      62.57     3.75     6.73     0.00     0.00     4.70     0.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         38   51   -7      61.23     3.72    -8.46     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   50   +7      62.25     3.72     8.81     0.00     0.00     3.84     0.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   49  -10      60.18     3.95   -12.06     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.15P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading          36   48   -3      60.59     4.28    -4.96     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.37P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston          38   48   -8      58.69     3.80    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.25R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -6      56.51     3.57    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.64R    0.00  
Bristol_City     38   46  -12      56.16     3.77   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    1.78R    0.00  
QPR              37   45   -5      56.86     4.06    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    1.48R    0.00  
Derby            38   44  -11      53.75     3.79   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.74R    0.01  
Watford          36   42   -8      54.70     4.37    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    6.12R    0.04  
Scunthorpe       37   41  -23      50.76     3.88   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.27R    0.51  
Sheff_Wed        38   40  -18      48.83     3.64   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.88R    0.94  
Crystal_Palace   37   39   -2      50.09     4.00    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.98R    0.36  
Plymouth         37   34  -17      43.44     3.81   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.58R   18.65  
Peterborough     38   30  -21      38.26     3.67   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.10R   79.48  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Charlton vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          37   79  +39      98.07     3.70    50.79    92.40    99.77   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.53     4.19    39.30     7.42    80.16    99.81    86.88P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   67  +19      79.62     4.10    19.27     0.02     2.64    75.94    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   67  +12      80.82     3.91    14.19     0.01     3.94    85.17    19.11P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.48     4.11    26.85     0.13     9.76    92.32    34.83P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   63  +15      80.34     4.22    20.46     0.02     3.14    80.67    22.79P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   61  +18      77.15     4.09    23.77     0.00     0.58    57.91    15.26P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   56   -1      67.56     3.91    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   55   -1      66.50     3.99    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   50  +28      70.45     4.06    38.65     0.00     0.00     6.62     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.81     3.53    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -3      61.82     4.27    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.90     3.73    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.00  
Brighton         37   44   -7      56.79     4.11    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Brentford        34   43   -2      59.57     4.70    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.23R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   41   -9      51.50     3.76   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.49R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.62     4.01   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.54R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   39  -11      51.74     4.21   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.01R    0.00  
Gillingham       37   39  -11      48.83     3.79   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.79R    0.00  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.74     3.79   -32.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.64R    0.10  
Exeter           37   37  -14      47.24     3.96   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.94R    0.02  
Southend         36   34  -16      45.63     4.04   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.73R    0.25  
Wycombe          37   31  -25      39.96     3.84   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.37R    3.23  
Stockport        37   24  -37      30.95     3.42   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.40  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             36   75  +42      96.04     3.87    54.68    83.69    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         34   64  +42      89.46     4.39    56.37    16.27    98.92    99.99    99.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          37   64   +7      78.33     3.94     9.96     0.02    42.39    94.20    55.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   62   +9      76.85     4.33    10.59     0.01    29.83    86.88    44.18P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   61   +3      74.22     4.11     4.27     0.00    11.20    70.15    24.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61   +2      73.30     4.04     1.97     0.00     6.38    61.26    18.16P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   58  +11      70.77     4.01    11.40     0.00     3.05    42.28    14.10P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   55   +5      69.39     4.09     8.08     0.00     1.21    29.21     8.91P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   55   +4      68.68     3.98     6.15     0.00     0.73    22.34     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            36   54   +8      70.26     4.38    11.91     0.00     2.82    39.11    13.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   53  +11      65.60     4.10    11.59     0.00     0.25     9.48     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   53   -2      70.15     4.66     1.07     0.00     3.08    34.59     9.75P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   52   +4      64.54     4.12     4.01     0.00     0.04     5.16     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   50   +1      64.41     4.22     1.83     0.00     0.09     4.97     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   47   -1      58.79     4.11    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   46   -7      57.77     4.31   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   42  -17      50.82     3.76   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.00  
Barnet               36   41   -9      52.78     4.27   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Hereford             37   41  -16      51.10     3.83   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.16R    0.00  
Macclesfield         36   39   -9      52.87     4.29    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Torquay              37   37   -4      46.74     3.90    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.25R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   35  -15      46.57     4.08   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.58R    0.00  
Grimsby              37   31  -22      40.19     3.80   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.11R    0.06  
Darlington           34   16  -47      22.44     3.51   -65.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 March 2010, Tamworth vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          34   72  +41      91.93     3.99    50.76    74.04    99.99    83.53P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   70  +22      84.66     3.46    28.28     4.09    98.91    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   69  +30      87.93     4.06    38.09    21.64    99.76    45.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   63  +32      77.99     4.00    36.44     0.17    74.30    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   61  +16      77.08     3.77    21.68     0.02    62.45    13.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   59  +11      71.75     3.44    15.47     0.00    10.29     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      34   57  +26      75.79     4.09    34.09     0.03    52.25    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   56  +13      66.19     3.79    11.78     0.00     0.97     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      64.82     3.65    -5.74     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         35   49  +10      60.50     3.99     9.12     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   +9      64.38     4.69    11.11     0.00     0.84     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   44   +2      56.13     3.96     1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   43   +5      56.86     4.00     7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      51.65     3.72   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Histon             36   43  -12      51.80     3.62   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   38  -10      46.79     3.49   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.18R    0.00  
Salisbury          34   37  -10      49.46     4.22   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   35  -20      43.46     3.72   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.50R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.32     2.73   -34.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.78R    0.02  
Barrow             32   34  -17      47.49     4.68   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.36R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      40.90     3.26   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.50R    0.02  
Forest_Green       35   30  -28      40.36     3.92   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.10R    0.12  
Grays_Athletic     35   20  -43      24.79     2.93   -56.88     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.85  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1