Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 March 2010 at 23:06:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         31   67  +40      81.36     3.20    48.39    21.56    59.64    99.07    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         30   66  +46      82.64     3.62    54.96    45.63    74.98    99.27    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.77     3.53    52.63    32.78    65.18    99.13    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +26      68.80     3.61    30.95     0.03     0.15     1.58    48.96    91.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   51  +19      65.00     3.60    23.67     0.00     0.00     0.06     9.80    63.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +17      66.49     4.24    21.54     0.00     0.05     0.66    23.92    71.08     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   50  +17      66.10     3.88    22.40     0.00     0.00     0.23    17.44    69.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   45   +6      57.19     3.61     7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     3.13     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   44   -3      54.63     3.60    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   38   +0      51.31     3.79     1.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           30   36   -6      45.32     3.42    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   34   -6      43.08     3.59    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.68     3.82   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Bolton          31   32  -20      38.15     2.94   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.60R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.57     2.80   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.82R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   30   28  -24      35.96     3.42   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.56R    0.04  
West_Ham        30   27  -14      37.83     3.57   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.41R    0.01  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.25     3.23   -38.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.26R    2.17  
Hull            30   24  -35      32.22     3.55   -39.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.89R    0.81  
Portsmouth      30   13  -25      20.47     3.37   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   96.96  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Blackpool vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        37   77  +43      95.86     3.77    52.94    86.88    99.74   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   75  +34      90.22     3.74    40.83    13.03    96.45   100.00    97.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     38   67  +21      80.75     3.66    25.00     0.08     3.15    99.96    35.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   61   +6      73.02     3.66     7.72     0.00     0.02    88.65    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   60  +11      75.95     4.32    14.20     0.01     0.60    96.05    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   55  +14      71.71     4.31    18.77     0.00     0.04    82.40    19.27P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   53   +3      64.29     3.65     3.30     0.00     0.00    10.73     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        38   52   +4      62.91     3.71     4.17     0.00     0.00     5.74     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        38   51   +6      62.52     3.76     6.67     0.00     0.00     5.05     0.96P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   50   +7      62.20     3.72     8.72     0.00     0.00     4.10     0.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         37   50   -7      60.91     3.93    -9.42     0.00     0.00     1.94     0.26P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   49  -10      60.20     3.97   -12.04     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.20P    0.10R    0.00  
Reading          36   48   -3      60.69     4.26    -4.76     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.49P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston          38   48   -8      58.62     3.79    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.04P    0.25R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -6      56.56     3.56    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.68R    0.00  
Bristol_City     38   46  -12      56.14     3.76   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.87R    0.00  
QPR              37   45   -5      56.81     4.05    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    1.45R    0.00  
Derby            38   44  -11      53.71     3.79   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.83R    0.01  
Watford          35   42   -6      55.50     4.60    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    4.83R    0.02  
Scunthorpe       37   41  -23      50.65     3.85   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.62R    0.59  
Sheff_Wed        38   40  -18      48.82     3.63   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.23R    0.91  
Crystal_Palace   37   39   -2      50.15     3.96    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.18R    0.28  
Plymouth         37   34  -17      43.43     3.82   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.69R   18.30  
Peterborough     38   30  -21      38.21     3.62   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.15R   79.89  

Adjustments:
Crystal_Palace   -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Charlton vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          37   79  +39      98.02     3.72    50.72    92.34    99.75   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.44     4.19    39.16     7.47    79.47    99.85    86.46P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   67  +19      79.66     4.10    19.29     0.04     2.76    76.45    18.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   67  +12      80.85     3.90    14.23     0.04     4.02    85.28    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.46     4.12    26.79     0.09     9.98    92.08    34.54P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   63  +15      80.29     4.24    20.41     0.02     3.41    80.14    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   61  +18      77.13     4.12    23.75     0.00     0.62    57.73    15.03P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   56   -1      67.57     3.87    -2.85     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   55   -1      66.56     4.00    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   50  +28      70.44     4.08    38.62     0.00     0.00     6.83     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.81     3.56    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -3      61.80     4.32    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.92     3.72    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.00  
Brighton         37   44   -7      56.71     4.08    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Brentford        34   43   -2      59.59     4.71    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.23R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   41   -9      51.58     3.75   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.37R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.68     4.00   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.21R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   39  -11      51.78     4.21   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.98R    0.00  
Gillingham       37   39  -11      48.86     3.77   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.88R    0.01  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.79     3.79   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.31R    0.08  
Exeter           37   37  -14      47.23     3.96   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.34R    0.02  
Southend         36   34  -16      45.61     4.04   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.16R    0.26  
Wycombe          37   31  -25      39.94     3.83   -30.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.33R    3.15  
Stockport        37   24  -37      30.90     3.43   -46.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   96.49  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             36   75  +42      96.01     3.89    54.65    83.53    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         34   64  +42      89.43     4.42    56.33    16.42    98.81    99.99    99.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          37   64   +7      78.27     3.97     9.84     0.04    42.18    93.80    54.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   62   +9      76.85     4.33    10.61     0.01    29.99    87.11    44.91P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   61   +3      74.22     4.12     4.25     0.00    11.26    69.82    24.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61   +2      73.35     4.07     1.99     0.00     6.61    61.56    18.24P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   58  +11      70.76     4.04    11.38     0.00     3.05    41.96    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   55   +5      69.36     4.13     8.01     0.00     1.23    29.38     8.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   55   +4      68.65     3.98     6.08     0.00     0.63    21.84     6.35P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            36   54   +8      70.27     4.35    11.92     0.00     2.81    38.88    13.07P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   53  +11      65.65     4.09    11.64     0.00     0.24     9.66     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   53   -2      70.16     4.67     1.09     0.00     3.07    34.93     9.92P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   52   +4      64.59     4.13     4.09     0.00     0.04     5.55     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   50   +1      64.46     4.20     1.87     0.00     0.09     5.13     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   47   -1      58.76     4.10    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   46   -7      57.79     4.33   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   42  -17      50.82     3.76   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Barnet               36   41   -9      52.81     4.28   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Hereford             37   41  -16      51.06     3.84   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Macclesfield         36   39   -9      52.85     4.31    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Torquay              37   37   -4      46.74     3.90    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.28R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   35  -15      46.55     4.08   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.42R    0.00  
Grimsby              37   31  -22      40.17     3.76   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.31R    0.06  
Darlington           34   16  -47      22.50     3.53   -65.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Altrincham vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          34   72  +41      91.95     4.02    50.76    68.97    99.99    80.29P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   70  +22      84.67     3.49    28.25     3.58    98.92    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   68  +30      88.83     4.31    38.87    27.28    99.77    49.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   63  +32      78.03     4.01    36.48     0.14    74.48    19.40P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   61  +16      77.15     3.78    21.76     0.02    63.23    13.17P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   59  +11      71.78     3.44    15.51     0.00    10.35     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      34   57  +26      75.64     4.08    33.93     0.01    51.11    13.79P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   56  +13      66.19     3.78    11.76     0.00     1.05     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      64.81     3.67    -5.75     0.00     0.25     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         35   49  +10      60.41     4.00     8.99     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   +9      64.37     4.68    11.14     0.00     0.84     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   44   +2      56.13     3.96     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   43   +5      56.87     4.00     7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      51.66     3.68   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Histon             36   43  -12      51.79     3.60   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury          34   37  -10      49.51     4.21   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   37  -10      46.59     3.71   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.29R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   35  -20      43.48     3.75   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.05R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.28     2.71   -35.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.42R    0.01  
Barrow             32   34  -17      47.52     4.70   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.36R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      40.88     3.22   -32.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.25R    0.02  
Forest_Green       35   30  -28      40.42     3.95   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.17R    0.12  
Grays_Athletic     35   20  -43      24.80     2.93   -56.83     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.85  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1