Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 March 2010 at 22:54:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         31   67  +40      81.38     3.20    48.40    21.44    59.42    99.12    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         30   66  +46      82.64     3.62    54.94    45.72    74.90    99.28    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +42      81.81     3.57    52.68    32.83    65.48    99.18    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   55  +26      68.85     3.57    31.08     0.01     0.12     1.47    49.57    91.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   51  +19      64.96     3.62    23.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     9.73    62.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +17      66.46     4.24    21.45     0.01     0.07     0.70    23.58    70.78     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   50  +17      66.10     3.86    22.43     0.00     0.00     0.19    17.25    70.27     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   45   +6      57.19     3.64     7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.17     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      30   44   -3      54.60     3.59    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          29   38   +0      51.34     3.81     1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           30   36   -6      45.36     3.37    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   34   -6      43.09     3.59    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   34  -17      42.62     3.75   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Bolton          31   32  -20      38.15     2.93   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -30      36.57     2.82   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.38R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   30   28  -24      35.92     3.44   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.69R    0.04  
West_Ham        30   27  -14      37.90     3.59   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.38R    0.00  
Burnley         31   24  -33      30.24     3.22   -38.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.48R    2.04  
Hull            30   24  -35      32.20     3.56   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.00R    0.82  
Portsmouth      30   13  -25      20.48     3.34   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   97.09  

Adjustments:
Portsmouth      -9


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Blackpool vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        37   77  +43      95.72     3.82    52.74    86.19    99.75   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   75  +34      90.24     3.73    40.85    13.75    96.46   100.00    97.67P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     38   67  +21      80.78     3.68    25.05     0.06     3.18    99.95    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   61   +6      72.96     3.64     7.65     0.00     0.02    88.28    19.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   60  +11      75.96     4.31    14.23     0.00     0.57    95.93    23.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   55  +14      71.64     4.31    18.68     0.00     0.03    81.19    18.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   53   +3      64.39     3.67     3.49     0.00     0.00    11.22     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        38   52   +4      62.95     3.70     4.20     0.00     0.00     5.59     0.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        38   51   +6      62.53     3.77     6.69     0.00     0.00     5.09     0.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   50   +7      62.17     3.72     8.66     0.00     0.00     4.07     0.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         37   50   -7      60.90     3.91    -9.43     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.23P    0.11R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   49   -2      60.15     3.98    -3.42     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.26P    0.16R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   49  -10      60.16     3.97   -12.12     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.17P    0.20R    0.00  
Reading          36   48   -3      60.66     4.29    -4.81     0.00     0.00     2.85     0.43P    0.19R    0.00  
Preston          38   48   -8      58.65     3.79    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.48R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -6      56.52     3.55    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.19R    0.00  
Bristol_City     38   46  -12      56.12     3.76   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.25R    0.00  
QPR              37   45   -5      56.81     4.04    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    2.15R    0.00  
Derby            38   44  -11      53.77     3.80   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.75R    0.02  
Watford          35   42   -6      55.62     4.54    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    5.66R    0.02  
Scunthorpe       37   41  -23      50.71     3.87   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.08R    0.52  
Sheff_Wed        38   40  -18      48.80     3.64   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.54R    1.03  
Plymouth         37   34  -17      43.42     3.79   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.77R   18.24  
Peterborough     38   30  -21      38.21     3.64   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   80.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Charlton vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Norwich          37   79  +39      97.95     3.72    50.61    91.90    99.77   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   71  +32      89.53     4.20    39.31     7.91    80.31    99.83    86.94P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   67  +19      79.69     4.10    19.35     0.03     2.73    76.75    19.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          37   67  +12      80.90     3.90    14.28     0.03     4.14    85.35    19.72P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   65  +21      82.41     4.10    26.75     0.10     9.34    92.05    33.66P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   63  +15      80.32     4.20    20.46     0.02     3.14    80.41    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   61  +18      77.12     4.07    23.72     0.00     0.58    57.44    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   56   -1      67.54     3.89    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   55   -1      66.56     3.99    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   50  +28      70.45     4.09    38.63     0.00     0.00     6.67     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   48   -3      56.86     3.56    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          36   47   -3      61.79     4.29    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   44   -6      53.94     3.72    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52R    0.00  
Brighton         37   44   -7      56.69     4.11    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Brentford        34   43   -2      59.52     4.68    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.24R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   41   -9      51.57     3.75   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.38R    0.00  
Oldham           36   40  -13      50.61     4.00   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.79R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   39  -11      51.74     4.21   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.04R    0.00  
Gillingham       37   39  -11      48.84     3.79   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         36   38  -25      46.79     3.80   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.71R    0.08  
Exeter           37   37  -14      47.29     3.97   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.59R    0.03  
Southend         36   34  -16      45.68     4.04   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.59R    0.26  
Wycombe          37   31  -25      39.88     3.83   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.47R    3.42  
Stockport        37   24  -37      30.93     3.43   -46.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   96.20  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Accrington_Stanley vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Rochdale             36   75  +42      96.04     3.87    54.65    83.68    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         34   64  +42      89.45     4.39    56.34    16.27    98.86    99.98    99.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          37   64   +7      78.34     3.98     9.97     0.02    42.79    94.12    55.57P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   62   +9      76.77     4.32    10.49     0.02    29.22    86.69    43.64P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   61   +3      74.13     4.10     4.13     0.00    10.97    69.33    23.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61   +2      73.39     4.07     2.11     0.00     6.77    62.19    19.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          37   58  +11      70.76     4.03    11.39     0.00     2.98    41.93    13.89P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   55   +5      69.30     4.13     7.96     0.00     1.26    28.61     8.49P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   55   +4      68.70     3.98     6.14     0.00     0.75    22.28     6.49P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            36   54   +8      70.29     4.33    11.97     0.00     2.87    39.06    13.40P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   53  +11      65.68     4.08    11.67     0.00     0.22     9.87     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   53   -2      70.21     4.65     1.18     0.00     3.20    35.31    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   52   +4      64.62     4.10     4.13     0.00     0.05     5.40     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        36   50   +1      64.35     4.21     1.72     0.00     0.08     4.84     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   47   -1      58.73     4.10    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   46   -7      57.76     4.29   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   42  -17      50.74     3.72   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Barnet               36   41   -9      52.83     4.26   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.48R    0.00  
Hereford             37   41  -16      51.07     3.85   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Macclesfield         36   39   -9      52.96     4.31    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Torquay              37   37   -4      46.72     3.90    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.43R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   35  -15      46.57     4.09   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.55R    0.00  
Grimsby              37   31  -22      40.21     3.79   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.96R    0.04  
Darlington           34   16  -47      22.43     3.50   -65.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 March 2010, Altrincham vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Stevenage          34   72  +41      91.90     4.01    50.65    68.76    99.99    80.39P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   70  +22      84.66     3.47    28.25     3.55    98.99    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   68  +30      88.87     4.34    38.94    27.51    99.75    48.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   63  +32      78.02     4.00    36.48     0.14    74.92    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   61  +16      77.09     3.80    21.68     0.03    62.70    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   59  +11      71.72     3.44    15.44     0.00    10.17     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      34   57  +26      75.71     4.04    34.02     0.01    51.45    13.89P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   56  +13      66.20     3.77    11.77     0.00     0.94     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       36   55   -4      64.89     3.67    -5.60     0.00     0.23     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham         35   49  +10      60.50     4.00     9.11     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   +9      64.43     4.67    11.19     0.00     0.86     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   44   +2      56.17     3.96     1.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   43   +5      56.83     3.99     7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   43  -12      51.65     3.69   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Histon             36   43  -12      51.81     3.60   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury          34   37  -10      49.43     4.21   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   37  -10      46.58     3.71   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.24R    0.00  
Gateshead          35   35  -20      43.45     3.77   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.39R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   39   35  -32      40.30     2.72   -34.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.98R    0.01  
Barrow             32   34  -17      47.51     4.68   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.32R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   34  -29      40.89     3.23   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.97R    0.01  
Forest_Green       35   30  -28      40.36     3.92   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.60R    0.09  
Grays_Athletic     35   20  -43      24.79     2.91   -56.80     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.89  

Adjustments:
Gateshead          0 - 0   Hayes_&_Yeading 
Salisbury          -10
Gateshead          -1